Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#925 Seattle Mariners 10 vs.
#926 Pittsburgh Pirates -110
Wednesday, September 18, 2019 at 7:05pm EDT
Written by Nick Raffoul



#925 Seattle
#926 Pittsburgh


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The Seattle Mariners will head on the road to Petco Park on Wednesday evening for the final game of their three-game interleague series clash versus the Pittsburgh Pirates.

Since Seattle’s embarrassing 21-1 loss versus the Astros, the Mariners have on five of their last seven games, including each of their last three contests. The Mariners blanked the Pirates in the series opener, winning 6-0 behind seven scoreless frames from starter Marco Gonazles, who is on the verge of the most complete season of his career. Can Seattle continue to close out the season strong with another victory on the road versus the Pirates on Wednesday night?

Dunn hopes for better control after short debut

Outfield prospect Kyle Lewis isn’t the most heralded prospect in the Mariners farm system, but he’s made a lasting impression in his September cup of coffee with the big league club. The No. 8 overall prospect in the Mariners system batted .260 with 11 home runs in 122 games at Double-A this season, but with the way he’s performing at the plate right now, he might be able to challenge for a spot on the opening day roster next spring. Lewis, who’s earned a reputation as a gamer, is batting .360 through six games with four home runs and nine RBIs, including a walk-off home run versus the Chicago White Sox.

No.5-overall prospect Justin Dunn is scheduled to make his second career start for the Mariners on Wednesday night. Dunn was chased from his Major League debut on Thursday versus the Reds after he walked five batters and allowed two runs in just two-thirds of an inning. Dunn is expected to pitch two or three innings before handing the ball over to veteran lefty Tommy Milone.

Agrazal trying to finish season strong

The Pirates have been awful during the second half, but the clubhouse has completely imploded over the past few weeks and things have come to a tipping point recently. Pittsburgh was struck with some disturbing news on Tuesday afternoon, as All-Star closer Felipe Vasquez was arrested on multiple felony charges in Florida and Pennsylvania, including statutory rape, soliciting a child, and pornography. He was immediately placed on administrative leave by Major League Baseball and the Pirates issued a statement, indicating that the organization is taking the matter “extremely seriously”. Pirates reliever Kyle Crick needed season-ending surgery after getting into a locker room altercation with Vaquez prior to Monday’s game versus the San Francisco Giants.

Pittsburgh is scheduled to hand the ball to right-hander Dario Agrazal for the final game of their series versus the Mariners. Agrazal hasn’t flashed an ability to miss bats at the major league level, but he’s found a way to be effective, going 4-4 with a 4.91 ERA in 13 games (12 starts). He’s compiled just 30 strikeouts in 62 ⅓ innings, but times have been tough on the 24-year-old as of late though. After a fast start, Agrazal has regressed over his last eight starts, increasing his ERA from 2.25 to 4.91 during that span. He failed to complete six innings or more in each of those outings, while allowing three runs or more in seven times. Agrazal’s peripherals don’t exactly point to a turnaround either. His current FIP (6.01) is still more than a run higher than his current ERA and he’s allowing nearly two home runs per nine innings of work.

This will be his first career start versus the Mariners.

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Dunn got his welcome to the big leagues moment early, as he lasted just two innings in his debut last week. The 23-year-old was solid in Double-A this year, striking out an elite 28.6 percent of the batters that he faced. He should be able to miss a few more bats here. Meanwhile, Tommy Milone has been solid for the Mariners as of late, so they should have the edge in the pitching department early. Obviously, the Pirates clubhouse is going through some tough times right now. Take the Mariners to come out on top in this interleague series battle in Pittsburgh on Wednesday night. 

Prediction: Seattle Mariners +105

Full-Game Total Pick

Insiders Status:


Pittsburgh was in no mental state to play baseball in Tuesday’s 6-0 loss and they might need a couple of days to digest the arrest of their All-Star closer. Dunn and Milone should be able to carry the Mariners staff early on in this one and these two teams have stayed under the projected total in nine of their last 13 games. Take this game to stay under the projected total on Wednesday evening. 

Prediction: Under 9.5

Written By Nick Raffoul

Shortly after graduating with an Honors in Business Administration, Nick turned his attention from traditional stocks and bonds to investing in the performance of sports teams. And has now joined our team here at Winners & Whiners. Nick uses a combination of advanced stats and historical data to create sports investment models to identify value and generate consistent profits. Let Nick win for you.