The Milwaukee Brewers will host the Chicago Cubs in the second of a three-game series on Saturday. Milwaukee has dominated the season series, winnings 13 of 16 games against Chicago heading into Friday. Friday night's game was not yet complete at the time of this prediction.
Cubs blow seven run lead against Phillies, and then get routed
With one more loss, the Cubs streak of six straight winning seasons will come to an end this year. The Cubs gutted the team's core at the trading deadline and are fourth in the National League Central with a 66-81 record overall and 27-45 mark on the road. The Cubs have lost five of their last six games after being swept at home by the San Franciso Giants and dropping two out of three games to the Philadelphia Phillies.
On Thursday, the Cubs jumped out to a 7-0 lead against the Phillies in the third inning, only to see the Phillies answer with four runs in the fourth and go on to defeat Chicago 17-8.
Chicago ranks 21st in MLB, averaging 4.3 runs per game and 10th with 195 home runs. The pitching staff has struggled with a 4.80 ERA, ranking 26th in MLB. Starting on Sunday will be 26-year old rookie Justin Steele in 17 games and six starts. Steele is 3-3 with a 4.17 ERA and 1.39 WHIP.
Brewers closing in on NL Central CrownMilwaukee is first in the NL Central with an 89-57 record, leading the St. Louis Cardinals by 12.5 games. Milwaukee's magic number to clinch the division in 5.
The Brewers have won seven of their last 10 games but are coming off of two straight losses after being swept in Detroit by the Tigers in short series. The Brewers lost to the Tigers 1-0 in 10-innings on Tuesday and 4-1 on Wednesday. The Brewers were off on Thursday before returning home, where they have a 40-31 record on the season.
The Brewers are 13th in MLB with a .319 on-base percentage, 12th with 674 runs scored, and 18th with 176 home runs. Leading the team is Avisail Garcia, with a .269 batting average, 27 homers, and 82 RBI.
The team's pitching staff is strong with a 3.34 ERA, ranking third in MLB and second with a .215 opponents batting average. Corbin Burnes will start for the Brewers on Saturday. In 25 starts, Burnes 10-4 with a 2.25 ERA and 0.91 WHIP.
- Cubs are 4-23 in their last 27 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Brewers are 8-0 in Burnes' last 8 home starts.
Best Bets for this Game
Full-Game Side Bet
The Cubs have lost 39 of their last 56 games as a road underdog this season and will have a hard time keeping this game close. The Cub's pitching has struggled recently, allowing at least six runs in five of their last six games, for an average of 8.8 runs allowed in those previous six games.
The Brewers have a considerable advantage with Corbin Burnes starting on the mound. Burnes is 2-0 against the Cubs this season, tossing 14 scoreless innings against them. Milwaukee has also won the last 10 games started by Burnes. Don't overthink this too hard. Take the Brewers on the run line.
Full-Game Total Pick
Corbin Burnes has been fantastic this season, but you have to believe that the Cubs should be able to plate at least a couple of runs in this game since they are seeing him for the third time this season. I also expect to see the Brewers do damage at the plate. Milwaukee has scored at least six runs in four of their last five games against Chicago. There's no reason not to believe the Brewers will mash again on Saturday, as Chicago has recently allowed runs in bunches. Take the over.