Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#2915 Cleveland Indians vs.
#2916 New York Yankees
Saturday, September 18, 2021 at 1:05pm EDT
Written by Adam Rauzino

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The Cleveland Indians take on the New York Yankees in the second of a three-game series Saturday afternoon from the Bronx. The Indians give the nod to Aaron Civale who is attempting to rebound from one of his worst starts of the season. The Yankees counter with rookie Luis Gil. New York leads the seasons series 4-1.

Indians' Starter Civale Tagged with Second Consecutive Loss

Aaron Civale will get the call for the 18th time of the season on Saturday. Civale was awful in his previous start, allowing seven runs in just three frames against the Brewers, and was labeled with the loss to dip his record to 10-4. The young right-hander has been inconsistent recently but overall is having a terrific season, registering a 3.76 ERA and a 1.11 WHIP in 105.1 innings of work. Civale yielded three runs (two earned) in 5.1 innings against the Yankees this season has conceded a total of six runs (four earned) in 11.1 career innings.

The Indians have not been winning very many games recently in what has been a disappointing season. They have filed a poor 3-7 record in their last 10 games overall after winning two of three against Minnesota this week, outscoring them by an 18-8 count.

Jose Ramirez was a tough out in the first series against the NY, collecting 5 hits in 13 at-bats. The 28-year old is one of many Indians’ hitters struggling at the dish, recording just six RBI’s on the month. Overall Ramirez is having a solid year, driving in 90 runs with a stellar .887 OPS.

The Indians are averaging 4.39 runs per game, ranking them 18th in the big leagues. The pitching staff has filed a 4.37 team ERA, placing them 18th overall.

Gil Starts, Yankees In Need of Wins

Yankees’ manager Aaron Boone will opt with Luis Gil on Saturday. Gil was clobbered in his latest outing, surrendering five runs in six frames against the Twins, and was fortunate to escape with the no-decision in a game the Yankees rallied to win. The rookie right-hander was stellar in his first three outings of the season but has struggled in his previous two performances and owns a 2.88 ERA and a 1.28 WHIP with a 1-0 record in 25 innings of work.

The Yankees have countered a seven-game losing streak by winning four out of their last six games including a series win in Baltimore this week. NY is on the outside looking in as of Friday night, trailing the Red Sox and Jays by 0.5 games. They have lost six out of their last seven home clashes.

Aaron Judge has been the Yankees’ MVP this season. The 29-year old slugger has come through with several big hits recently and has walloped four homers along with nine RBI’s in his last seven games. Judge has 84 RBI’s accompanied by a .904 OPS and is 2 for 13 against the Indians this year.

New York ranks 20th in the Majors with 4.34 runs on the season. The pitching staff is sporting a 3.71 team ERA, good for fifth overall.

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Full-Game Side Bet

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Yankees’ rookie starter Luis Gil has struggled in back-to-back starts. He has surrendered eight runs including three home runs in his last two outings spread across only 9.1 innings. His command is an issue, walking eight batters in those two outings.

Furthermore, Indians’ starter Aaron Civale held the Yankees to only two earned runs in 5.2 innings in the lone meeting this season, and the Tribe win games when the right-hander is on the mound as evidenced by his 10-4 record. The Yankees have been involved in several close games as four out of their last six wins have occurred by just one run. NY has also dropped six out of their last eight home games.

Prediction: Cleveland Indians +1.5

Full-Game Total Pick

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I expect this total to go over. Luis Gil just allowed five runs last time out and Cleveland has tallied a total of 18 runs in their last four games. New York is giving up runs, conceding five or more runs in seven out of their last 11 clashes overall entering Friday. The over is also 4-1 in the Indians’ last five games at Yankee Stadium.

In addition, the Bronx Bombers are producing at the plate, averaging 5.5 runs in their last six games. While I expect Aaron Civale to contain NY, he has allowed six runs in 11.1 innings against the foes. The over is 5-1 in the Yankees’ last six home games against a right-handed starter.

Prediction: Over 9.5
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Written By Adam Rauzino , "Adam Rauzino"

Adam has been a sports fanatic his entire life, closely following hockey, baseball, basketball, and football. He enjoys analyzing various stats, as well as studying Sabermetrics and analytics to take his picks to a whole new level. Adam has a passion for writing about various sports as well as personal finance and being an expert sports bettor. Prior to bringing his talents here to Winners and Whiners, Adam graduated with a diploma in business marketing and business finance. You would do yourself a huge favor by following Adam on a daily basis.