Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#957 Colorado Rockies vs.
#958 San Diego Padres
Monday, September 18, 2023 at 9:40pm EDT
Written by Chris King

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It’s the opening game of an early week series on the diamond between a pair of NL West foes down in southern California. The Colorado Rockies are on the road as they make the trip to open a three-game series with the San Diego Padres on Monday night. Colorado closed a four-game series at home with the Giants Sunday afternoon looking for a sweep. The Rockies swept a doubleheader Saturday, winning the opener 9-5 and the nightcap 5-2. San Diego went into Sunday with a shot at a sweep of the A’s on the road. The Padres earned a 5-2 victory in the middle game of the series Saturday. In the season series, the Padres own a 6-4 advantage, including taking two of three on the road in the most recent series between the teams from July 31-August 2.

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Colorado Rockies Looking to Play Spoiler

Colorado went into Sunday having won five straight games after sweeping a doubleheader from the Giants Saturday. The Rockies entered Sunday’s action last in the NL West with a 56-92 record and stood 34.5 games behind the Dodgers for the top spot. They were the lone team in the National League eliminated from playoff contention going into Sunday. On Saturday, Ezequiel Tovar (run, four RBI) had three hits while Brenton Doyle (two runs) added two in the opener. Brent Suter allowed two runs on two hits with two walks and one strikeout in two innings of work, though he didn’t factor in the decision. Karl Kauffmann (2-4) earned the win in relief as he threw four innings, allowing one run (none earned) on two hits with three walks and four strikeouts. Gavin Hollowell threw 2.2 innings, allowing two runs on two hits with one walk and two strikeouts, for his first save. In the nightcap, Charlie Blackmon (two runs), Tovar (two runs, RBI), Kris Bryant (run, two RBI) and Brendan Rodgers each had two hits for the Rockies. Kyle Freeland didn’t factor in the decision as he threw three innings, allowing one run on four hits with one walk and one strikeout. Victor Vodnik (1-0) earned the win as he threw two innings, allowing one run on two hits with no walks and one strikeout. Tyler Kinley worked the ninth, allowing no runs on two hits with one walk and one strikeout, to earn his fourth save.

Ty Blach is on the bump for the Rockies as he makes his 18th appearance and 11th start of the season in this contest. He is 3-1 with a 4.64 ERA, a 1.547 WHIP, 17 walks and 38 strikeouts over 64 innings of work this season. Blach earned the win in his last start, which came Wednesday at home against the Cubs. He threw five innings, allowing three runs on nine hits with one walk and four strikeouts in a game the Rockies went on to win 7-3. In his last three starts, Blach is 2-0 with a 6.75 ERA, a 1.94 WHIP, five walks and 12 strikeouts over 16 innings of work. Blach makes his 14th career appearance and sixth start against the Padres in this contest. He is 1-3 with a 5.44 ERA, a 1.395 WHIP, 14 walks and 24 strikeouts over 43 innings of work against them. Blach is 0-2 with a 7.54 ERA, a 1.765 WHIP, 10 walks and 11 strikeouts over 22.2 innings in seven career appearances, three starts, at Petco Park.

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Padres Fading In NL Wild Card Race

San Diego won their third straight game Saturday but has been a massive disappointment this season as the schedule winds down. The Padres entered Sunday 71-78 on the year and stood fourth in the NL West, 20 games behind the Dodgers for the top spot. They were 6.5 games behind the Reds and Diamondbacks, who were tied for the final wild-card spot in the National League. On Saturday, Xander Bogaerts (RBI) had two of the team’s six hits as they took advantage of eight free passes in the contest. Matt Waldron (1-3) earned the win as he threw 5.1 innings, allowing two runs on seven hits with one walk and five strikeouts. Josh Hader worked the ninth, allowing no runs on one hit with no walks and one strikeout, to earn his 29th save.

Michael Wacha is on the mound for the Padres as he makes his 22nd start of the season in this contest. He comes in 10-2 with a 3.43 ERA, a 1.214 WHIP, 41 walks and 105 strikeouts over 115.1 innings of work on the year. Wacha took the loss in his last start, which came against the Dodgers on the road Tuesday night. He threw four innings, allowing seven runs on seven hits with three walks and three strikeouts in a game the Padres lost 11-2. In his last three starts, Wacha is 1-2 with a 7.71 ERA, a 2.00 WHIP, eight walks and 15 strikeouts over 14 innings of work. Wacha makes his ninth career appearance and eighth start against the Rockies in this contest. He is 2-2 with a 5.31 ERA, a 1.564 WHIP, nine walks and 41 strikeouts over 39 innings of work in those outings. Wacha is 11-4 with a 2.57 ERA, a 1.163 WHIP, 34 walks and 93 strikeouts over 98 innings of action in 17 career starts at Petco Park.

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Colorado has won five straight entering Sunday but the fact remains that they are an offensively challenged team away from Coors Field. The Rockies are playing a lot of younger guys at this stage, having been eliminated from playoff contention, and are being liberal with their pitching staff as well. San Diego has seen their playoff chances fade with each passing day but if they hope to have any shot of making the postseason, they have to get hot while beating the teams that they are better than. Wacha struggled in his last two starts but pitches well at Petco Park. Give the upper hand to the Padres as they take care of business in the opening game of this series.

Prediction: San Diego Padres ML
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Colorado has seen the under post a 79-68-1 mark on the season entering Sunday’s action. The Rockies are 19th in runs per game as they average 4.44 per contest, though that number drops down to 3.72 runs per game on the road. Colorado has an average total of 10.29 runs per game this season and that drops to 8.93 runs per contest away from Coors Field. San Diego entered Sunday having seen the under hit in 77 of their 149 games, with eight pushes, on the season. The Padres put up an average of 4.61 runs per game, which is tied for 14th in the league. They average 4.25 runs per game as the home team this season, which is tied for 21st in the majors. San Diego has an average total of 8.76 runs per game on the year, a number that drops to 7.92 runs per game as the hosts this season. With offensive numbers down at Petco Park, coupled with the Rockies’ inability to generate offense on the road, look to this one falling under the number.

Prediction: Under
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Written By Chris King , "Chris King"

Chris King has been immersed in the world of professional and collegiate sports for more than three decades. Whether it's playing pickup games or being involved in organized sports to being a fan, he's checked all the boxes. From the NFL to arena football, the NHL to the KHL, the NBA to the WNBA to college hoops, and even MLB to the KBO.  If it's out there, he's covered it and bet on it as well, as Chris has been an expert bettor in his career.  Before joining Winners and Whiners back in 2015, his work appeared around the internet and in print. He's written books for Ruckus Books about college basketball, the NBA, NFL, MLB, NHL, golf, and the World Cup. If you're looking for the inside track on hitting a winner, do yourself a favor and read what Chris has to say.

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