Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#961 Detroit Tigers 9 vs.
#962 Cleveland Indians -405
Thursday, September 19, 2019 at 7:10pm EDT
Written by Scott Reichel

Stats

Back

Teams
Logo
W/L
ATS
O/U
PPG
OPPG
#961 Detroit
#962 Cleveland
45-106
89-63
-
-
-
-

More

This article covers a past game!

View upcoming games.

This Thursday, there is a matchup between two American League Central teams. Specifically, the Detroit Tigers and the Cleveland Indians will face off at about 7:10 PM. This is game three of a three-game series, which will take place at Progressive Field.

Pitching Matchup: The Tigers will hand the ball to Daniel Norris (3-12, 4.62 ERA) and the Indians will counter with Mike Clevinger (11-3, 2.68 ERA).

Tigers Continue To Get Embarrassed by Indians

The Detroit Tigers are the worst team in all of baseball with only 11 games left to go in the regular season. Specifically, the Tigers are a pathetic 45-106 on the season which is well below their initial season projection. Before the season began, oddsmakers expected the Tigers to win about 68 games. Now, the Tigers are on pace to win just 48 games which shows just how badly this team has played all season long. Specifically, the Tigers have been absolutely terrible against the Indians this season and have had no answers at any point. The Tigers are a pathetic 1-17 against the Indians this season with their only win coming back in April. With the last regular season meeting between them on Thursday, Detroit will look to end this series on a high note.

The Tigers have lost six of their last eight games and they have gone just 8-22 in their last 30 games which is tied for the worst record in the league during that span. Yesterday, the Tigers scored just one run and lost to the Indians in extra innings on the road. Leading their attack was Victor Reyes who had the team’s only RBI. This loss was not surprising as the Tigers are just 24-52 on the road this season which is the worst road record in the league.

Pitching for the Tigers in this game will be Daniel Norris and he has gone 3-12 with a 4.62 ERA in 30 appearances (27 starts) on the year, including a 2-5 record with a 4.46 ERA in 18 appearances on the road. Righties are hitting .282 off of him this year, while lefties are hitting .248. However, he has been decent since the All-Star Break as he has a 1-4 record with a 3.97 ERA.

The Tigers have been awful on offense so far as they come into this game ranked last in the league in scoring, putting up just 3.71 runs per game, while also ranking last in the league with 0.86 home runs per game. On the mound, they have been below average as well so far as they come into this game ranked 28th in the league with a 5.26 ERA. Meanwhile, the bullpen for the Tigers ranks 22nd in the league with a 4.95 ERA.

Indians Look For Strong Stretch Run In September

The Cleveland Indians are currently in a dog fight for the AL Wild Card spots with about two weeks left in the regular season. However, they are only 0.5 games separated from the Rays for the second AL Wild Card spot and are 2.5 games back of the Athletics for the first AL Wild Card spot so neither of those three teams are safe. As a result, the Indians will need to win as many games as possible down the stretch in order to create some separation between them and the other two contending teams. It seems like the roster has realized that reality as the Indians have won each of their last three games.

The Indians have won three of their last five games and they have gone 16-14 in their last 30 games. Yesterday, they only scored two runs but held on to defeat the Tigers at home. Leading their attack was Yasiel Puig who had a walk-off single in the tenth inning. This win was not that surprising for the Indians as they have been great at home this season. Specifically, the Indians are 46-31 at Progressive Field this season

Pitching for the Indians in this game will be Mike Clevinger and he has gone 11-3 with a 2.68 ERA in 18 appearances on the year, including a 4-1 record with a 1.98 ERA in nine appearances at home. Righties are hitting .178 off of him this year, while lefties are hitting .219. He has also been unbelievable since the All-Star Break as he has a 9-1 record with a 2.17 ERA.

The Indians have been okay on offense so far as they come into this game ranked 19th in the league in scoring, putting up 4.74 runs per game, while also ranking 21st in the league with 8.42 hits per game. On the mound, they have been great as they come in ranked 3rd in the league in ERA at 3.70. In addition, the bullpen for the Indians ranks 1st in the league with a 3.58 ERA.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

Insiders Status:

Rating:

Simply put, these teams are headed in opposite directions and I will back the much better team in this game. Cleveland is an insane 17-1 against Detroit this season and is also 46-31 at home so I think the Indians should have no problems winning this game. Plus, Cleveland is still fighting for a playoff spot while the Tigers are in the middle of one of the worst seasons in franchise history. Give me the road team as a result.

Prediction: Cleveland Indians

Full-Game Total Pick

Insiders Status:

Rating:

Since Detroit has the worst statistical offense in the league, I have to take the under. Detroit is last in the league in home runs and runs so I would be shocked to see this team score more than two runs against a pitcher like Clevinger who has a 1.98 ERA at home this season. Plus, Norris might have an awful record but he still has a respectable 3.97 ERA since the All-Star Break so I can see him doing a decent job at limiting Cleveland’s offense. As a result, I will take the under.

Prediction: Under 8.5
Loading...

Written By Scott Reichel

Scott Reichel is a University of Wisconsin-Madison graduate with an insane passion for sports. His commitment to endlessly researching statistics helps separate him from other handicappers with regard to MLB, NBA, NCAAB, NCAAF, NHL and NFL coverage. Scott also shares his passion for sports on StatSalt's YouTube page where he does a daily show called Scott's Selections.