Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#959 Toronto Blue Jays -115 vs.
#960 Baltimore Orioles 10.5
Thursday, September 19, 2019 at 7:05pm EDT
Written by Adam Rauzino

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The Baltimore Orioles will host the Toronto Blue Jays as the AL East foes conclude a three-game set Thursday afternoon from Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The Blue Jays will give the nod to 24-year old left-hander Anthony Kay, and the Orioles will hand the ball to 26-year old right-hander Gabriel Ynoa. The Blue Jays lead the season series 8-7.

Anthony Kay Seeks First Career MLB Win

Anthony Kay will make his third start of the season, eying his first career Major League victory. Kay was roughed up in his previous start, serving up five runs in 4.1 innings against the Yankees, leading to his first career defeat. The rookie right-hander was sharp in his debut as he held the Rays to only two runs in five innings. Kay was acquired in the Marcus Stroman trade from the Mets. He posted a terrific 2.96 ERA in the minors this season.

Look for Randal Grichuk as he features a sizzling .371 paired with eight RBI’s against the Orioles this season. The 28-year old centerfielder registered a career-high 72 RBI’s along with 29 home runs on the season. Grichuk is red-hot right now, accumulating 10 RBI’s along with four homers in his last eight games.

Toronto is a team in transition and there is plenty of positives to take from their season. Their young core led by Vladdy Guerrero Jr. along with Cavan Baggio and Bo Bichette should all continue to develop nicely.

The Blue Jays are scoring an average of 4.41 runs on the year, ranking them 23rd overall. The Toronto pitching staff holds a subpar 4.74 team ERA, pegging them down at 21st in the big leagues. The Blue Jays are 29-47 on the road.

Ynoa Remains at 1-8 on the Season

Gabriel Ynoa will be on the hill for the 35th time of the season in this one. Ynoa was solid in his latest effort, holding the Tigers to two runs across four innings in a game the O’s lost by an 8-4 score. The young right-hander is pitching better recently, although he still holds a poor 5.74 ERA and a 1.40 WHIP accompanied with a 1-8 record in 100.1 innings of action. Ynoa has squandered four runs with an 0-1 record in eight innings against Toronto this season.

Trey Mancini has done more damage against the Blue Jays than any other team this season, accumulating 19 RBI’s along with six home runs in 54 at-bats. The 27-year old right fielder is playing well, driving in 11 runs in his last five games, and he is now hitting .280 with 34 big flys and 88 RBI’s.

The Orioles split their four-game series in Detroit this past weekend which means the Orioles will finish in second last in the Majors and choose second overall in the draft. Baltimore does have some promising hitters, but they definitely need to revamp their pitching core.

The Orioles offense hasn’t been the big issue, and they are now averaging 4.38 runs per game, ranking them 24th overall. The Baltimore pitching staff owns a Major League worst 5.70 team ERA. The O’s are 23-53 at home.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

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I am siding with the Blue Jays in this one. The Blue Jays are playing solid baseball. They have won their last two series’ against the Red Sox and Yankees, and they took Tuesday’s series opener by an 8-5 score. They are consistently scoring runs against the O’s pitching, averaging a solid 5.6 runs in the 14 meetings entering Wednesday.

Furthermore, the Orioles pitching continues to have issues and Gabriel Ynoa is not the answer. Toronto has tallied 10 hits and three home runs for a total of four runs against Ynoa this season. The O’s have lost in each of Ynoa’s last 11 appearances.

Prediction: Toronto Blue Jays

Full-Game Total Pick

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I am going with the over in this matchup. As mentioned the Blue Jays are swinging the bats well, and Gno is not a reliable option. Also, the over is  3-0-1 in the Blue Jays’ last four games against a right-handed starter.

While I expect Anthony Kay to contain the O’s, he is only making his third career start, and I don’t expect Kay to pitch deep into the game either. The over is 4-0-1 in the Blue Jays’ last five games overall, and that trend should resume in this one.

Prediction: Over

Full-Game Prop Bet

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The over on the Blue Jays team total available on PointsBet is a solid option. Toronto is locked in at the plate. They have scored at least six runs in four out of their last five games overall which includes 19 runs in the first two games of this series. Also, Baltimore consistently gives up a ton of runs when Ynoa is on the hill, squandering at least seven runs in four out of his last five outings.

Prediction: Blue Jays Team Total Over

First Five Innings Prop Prediction

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I am selecting the Blue Jays on the three-inning line as well. Gabriel Ynoa owns a weak 4.95 ERA through innings 1-3. Also, Anthony Kay has yet to allow a run in the first three innings in his two starts against two good lineups in the Rays and Yankees.

Prediction: Three Inning Line Toronto Blue Jays
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Written By Adam Rauzino

Adam has been a sports fanatic his entire life, closely following hockey, baseball, basketball and football. Adam enjoys analyzing various stats, as well as studying Sabermetrics and analytics to take his picks to a whole new level. Adam has a passion for writing about various sports as well as personal finance and has brought his talents to us here at Winners and Whiners. He graduated with a diploma in business marketing and business finance.