The Toronto Blue Jays will wrap up a six-game homestand in the finale of a three-game series against Minnesota. The Twins took the series opener on Friday 7-3 as a +179 underdog, and the Blue Jays won 6-2 on Saturday as a -165 favorite.
Toronto is third in the AL East with an 83-65 record, and the Twins are last in the AL Central at 65-84.
Twins fail to do much after the first-inning in lossThe Minnesota Twins came into the season with a set over/win total of 88.5 but have never been able to get positive consistency all year. The Twins have lost seven of their last 10 games and are 31-44 on the road after losing 6-2 on Saturday. The Twins took a 2-0 first-inning lead on a two-run home by former Blue Jay Josh Donaldson but would not score the rest of the way. Donaldson now has 24 home runs and 65 RBI on the year.
The Twins are 16th in MLB, averaging 4.5 runs per game, with the strength being the team's power, ranking fourth with 211 home runs. Jorge Polanco leads the club with a .277 batting average, 31 homers, and 90 RBI.
The Twins will send Luke Farrell to the mound first on Sunday. This year, Farrell has made 16 relief appearances and is 1-0 with a 1.31 ERA in 20 2/3 innings pitched, with no starts.
Blue Jays lead MLB in home runsThe Toronto Blue Jays are currently holding a slim half-game lead of the New York Yankees for the second and final Wild Card spot in the American League. The Blue Jays are third in MLB, averaging 5.3 runs per game, first with 236 home runs and a .464 slugging percentage. Leading the way is MVP candidate Vladimir Guerrero Jr. with a .318 batting average, 46 home runs, and 104 RBI. Teoscar Hernandez is batting .304 with 28 home runs and a team-best 106 RBI.
On Saturday, Hernandez led the team with three RBI, followed by Bo Bichette, who drove in two runs, and Marcus Semien, who hit his 40th home run of the season. Bichette now has 95 RBI on the year.
For the first time in franchise HISTORY, we have four players with 25+ homers and 90+ RBI 👏— Toronto Blue Jays (@BlueJays) September 17, 2021
🔹 Bo Bichette
🔹 Marcus Semien
🔹 Vlad Jr.
🔹 Teoscar Hernández pic.twitter.com/jWU33GYkZI
The Twin's former ace, Jose Berrios, will be starting for Toronto on Sunday. Berrios was traded before the deadline this season. In 20 starts with the Twins this year, Berrios went 7-5 with a 3.48 ERA and 1.04 WHIP, and in nine starts with the Blue Jays, he is 4-3 with a 3.31 ERA and 1.18 WHIP.
- Twins are 3-8 in their last 11 vs. American League East.
- Blue Jays are 20-6 in their last 26 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Blue Jays are 16-5 in their last 21 overall.
Best Bets for this Game
Full-Game Side Bet
This game is relatively meaningless for Minnesota, but Toronto has a lot to play for. The Blue Jays don't have much room to fall to a losing team as they are locked in a tight fight for the postseason with the Yankees and Red Sox. Toronto has the pitching advantage with Jose Berrios facing his former team for the first time and a better bullpen. The Blue Jays pitchers will also have the support of one of the most dangerous lineups in baseball. This will be a bullpen game on the mound for the Twins, and their bullpen is not very good. The Twins relievers have posted a 4.92 ERA over the last 27 games and a 4.53 ERA on the season, which is 22nd in baseball. The Blue Jays bullpen has been outstanding lately, posting a 3.47 ERA, the fourth-best over teams' last 29 games.
Take Toronto in this contest.
Full-Game Total Pick
Double-check the line close to game time. As of last Saturday night, there was still no available total for this game. It is hard to expect a lower-scoring game because both of these teams are amongst baseball's top five in power. I see the Blue Jays scoring at least six runs in this game against the Twins bullpen, and Minnesota may have some success due to their familiarity with Berrios, their former teammate.
Only one of the last nine Blue Jays games has gone under, and four of the previous five Twins games have gone over. I expect to see a total of 9 and will take the over, predicting a 7-3 Blue Jays victory.