Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#903 Philadelphia Phillies vs.
#904 Atlanta Braves
Tuesday, September 19, 2023 at 7:20pm EDT
Written by Mike Fink

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The Philadelphia Phillies face the Atlanta Braves in a matchup between two of the best teams in the National League. The Phillies have an 82-68 record and hold the top wild card spot in the National League. The Braves have a 96-54 record and have the best record in baseball but hope to bounce back from four losses in a row. For the upcoming game, the Phillies will turn to Cristopher Sanchez as their starting pitcher who has allowed only four runs in his last two starts while the Braves will turn to Spencer Strider who has allowed only one run in his last start.

Phillies hope Sanchez and lineup step up

The Phillies are having a great season and look to secure a wild card spot in the upcoming games. Cristopher Sanchez will start the upcoming game and he hopes to build off a great season on the mound as he's allowed only 39 runs in 87.1 innings pitched while tossing 83 strikeouts. In addition, with a 4.0 Walk Rate, a 57.0 Ground Ball Percentage, and a 3.72 expected ERA, opponents are making poor contact and struggling to drive in runs against Sanchez this season.

Sanchez has stepped up but the lineup has carried the Phillies, scoring 4.90 runs per game. Bryce Harper is slashing .291/.395/.480 with 17 home runs and 203 total bases while Brandon Marsh and Kyle Schwarber have added 54 home runs and 430 total bases to the heart of the lineup but the rest of the batting order has stepped up as well. Trea Turner is slashing .271/.321/.470 with 26 home runs and 283 total bases while Nick Castellanos and J.T. Realmuto have added 42 home runs and 474 total bases to round out the lineup, making the Phillies tough to stop.

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Braves hope Strider and lineup return team to winning ways

The Braves have been the best team in baseball but have lost a handful of games recently and hope to bounce back and secure home-field advantage throughout the playoffs. Spencer Strider has been the ace of the staff and a Cy Young favorite, allowing only 75 runs in 169 innings pitched while tossing 259 strikeouts. Moreover, with a .199 expected opponent Batting Average, a 37.6 Strikeout Percentage, and a 3.03 expected ERA, opponents are making minimal contact and struggling to drive in runs against Strider this season.

Strider has stepped up but the lineup has been the best in the league, scoring 5.81 runs per game. Ronald Acuna Jr. is slashing .337/.418/.586 with 37 home runs and 350 total bases while Matt Olson and Sean Murphy have added 72 home runs and 518 total bases but the rest of the lineup has also stepped up. Marcell Osuna is slashing 266/.338/.531 with 35 home runs and 256 total bases while Austin Riley and Ozzie Albies have added 66 home runs and 569 total bases to add depth to the lineup, making the Braves lineup tough to put away.

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The Phillies have been one of the best teams in the National League and look to pull off the upset. However, the Braves look to step up at home and control this game from the first inning. The Braves, who average 5.81 runs per game, should drive in runs at will with Ronald Acuna Jr., Matt Olson, and the rest of the lineup making hard contact and powering the ball to easily drive in runs. The Braves should limit the Phillies lineup with Spencer Strider stepping up on the mound and tossing multiple strong innings to allow the bullpen to close out the game with a comfortable lead. The Braves should win the game and cover the spread in a dominant win at home.

Prediction: Braves -1.5 (-125)
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Both starting pitchers have looked great in recent games and look to step up and take over this game from the first pitch. The Phillies should limit the Braves lineup with Cristopher Sanchez, who allowed only four runs in his last two starts, pitching multiple strong innings with minimal contact. The Braves should eliminate the Phillies lineup with Spencer Strider building off a start where he allowed only one run and pitching multiple scoreless innings with minimal contact and a surplus of strikeouts. The Under should cover in a low-scoring game with both lineups stepping up.

Take the Under on 9 runs.

Prediction: Under 9
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Written By Mayer Fink , "Mike Fink"

Mike Fink is a sports writer and a passionate football fan. After graduating from college, Fink picked up the passion he had since being a young child in following and covering all things sports and we are very excited to have him as a part of the StatSalt team. In recent weeks, Mike started a podcast which you can find on Spotify, called "The Mike and Grover Show" and it discusses all things football. He covers all forms of sports betting and also bets on all of the plays he gives out. Mike would advise hockey betting since the odds give you great payouts "Hockey is built to bet the Money Line Underdogs. Be sure and follow him on a daily basis. 
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