Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#901 Arizona Diamondbacks vs.
#902 Los Angeles Dodgers
Tuesday, September 20, 2022 at 3:10pm EDT
Written by Adam Rauzino

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The Arizona Diamondbacks (68-78, 83-63 RL, 66-75-5 O/U) and the Los Angeles Dodgers (101-44, 90-55 RL, 62-70-13 O/U) battle in game one of Tuesday’s doubleheader from Dodger Stadium. The D-Backs will give Zach Davies the nod. The Dodgers counter with Michael Grove. The Dodgers lead the season series 11-3.

Davies Starts Game One

Zach Davies will make the start in the first game. Davies was fantastic in his previous start, allowing two runs in 5.1 innings against this Dodgers team, and finished with the no-decision in a game the D-Backs won. The veteran right-hander had a great August but has been inconsistent this month and enters with a 4.06 ERA and a 1.25 WHIP accompanied by a 2-4 record in 122 innings pitched. Davies has squandered 13 runs in 18.2 innings against the Dodgers this season and is 4-5 with a 3.16 ERA in 74 career innings. 

Arizona went 2-5 on a seven-game homestand which concluded on Sunday. They lost two of three against the Dodgers and had a rough series against the Padres, dropping three of four games, scoring a total of just eight runs in the series. 

Very few of the D-Backs' hitters have enjoyed any success against the Dodgers pitching including Christian Walker. The veteran slugger only has six RBIs and a .574 OPS against the rivals. Walker has good stats, launching 34 homers with 83 RBIs and has four RBIs in his last five games.

The Diamondbacks are posting an average of 4.38 runs on the season, ranking them 13th overall. The pitching is a weakness, logging a 4.28 team ERA, placing them 23rd. 

Grove Seeks First Career Victory

Michael Grove will get the nod in game one. Grove was stellar in his latest effort, holding this Diamondbacks team to only two runs in five innings, and finished with the no-decision in a game the Dodgers ended up losing. The rookie right-hander has pitched well in two of his four outings this season and has allowed 11 runs (seven earned) in 14.1 innings pitched. Grove has given up two home runs.

LA has not lost a series since the beginning of the month against the Mets and will likely win at least 110 games. They only have three road games remaining. The Dodgers swept the Giants last weekend to improve to 8-2 in their last ten games. 

Will Smith has been a tough out against the Diamondbacks this season, bashing four homers with 10 RBIs and an .824 OPS. The 27-year-old catcher has 22 big flies with 82 RBIs and an .812 OPS on the year. Smith has cooled down this month, hitting .200 with seven RBIs.

The Dodgers continue to lead the big leagues with 5.41 runs per game. The pitching staff is also the best, filing a 2.80-team ERA. 

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Full-Game Side Bet

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Zach Davies just pitched against the Dodgers last week and was stellar, holding them to only two runs in 5.2 innings in a game Arizona won by a 5-3 score. Davies has been effective, conceding two or fewer runs in five out of his last six outings.

Furthermore, the D-Backs should be able to get to Dodgers’ starter Michael Grove. The rookie has not fared particularly well, squandering 11 runs (seven earned) in 14.1 innings. He just served up two homers against the Diamondbacks last week. Arizona is competitive on the road where they are 5-5 in their last ten games.

Prediction: Arizona Diamondbacks +1.5

Full-Game Total Pick

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I expect a high-scoring game. Arizona launched two home runs against Grove last week and have averaged a stellar 5.6 runs in their last ten road games overall entering Monday night. 

In addition, the Davies has logged a poor 4.85 ERA on the road this season. The Dodgers continue to clobber the Diamondbacks' pitching and have averaged 5.9 runs in their last ten games. The over is also 4-1 in the Diamondbacks' last five road games.

Prediction: Over
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Written By Adam Rauzino , "Adam Rauzino"

Adam has been a sports fanatic his entire life, closely following hockey, baseball, basketball, and football. He enjoys analyzing various stats, as well as studying Sabermetrics and analytics to take his picks to a whole new level. Adam has a passion for writing about various sports as well as personal finance and being an expert sports bettor. Prior to bringing his talents here to Winners and Whiners, Adam graduated with a diploma in business marketing and business finance. You would do yourself a huge favor by following Adam on a daily basis.