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Rockies vs. Padres,
9-21-2017 - Prediction & Preview

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#909 Colorado
Rockies
#910 San Diego
Padres

Thursday, September 21, 2017 at 10:10pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Colorado Rockies

-

W's
L's
0
ERA
0
WHIP

San Diego Padres

-

W's
L's
0
ERA
0
WHIP

Betting Trends

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Colorado Rockies (82-69 SU, 77-74 RL, 62-82-7 O/U) vs San Diego Padres (68-83 SU, 82-69 RL, 75-68-8 O/U)

When: 10:10 PM EDT, Thursday, September 21, 2017

Where: Petco Park in San Diego, California

Lines: Colorado -125/ San Diego +115

Total: 8.5

MLB action within the National League West this evening and the Colorado Rockies will grapple with the San Diego Padres at Petco Park in San Diego, California in game one of their four-game series. The Rockies lead the season series 10-5. Pitching Probables: Tyler Anderson (5-5, 5.28 ERA) will toe the slab for the Rockies and the Padres will counter with Clayton Richard (7-14, 4.82 ERA).

Colorado Is Struggling At The Wrong Time

The Milwaukee Brewers are hot as they have won eight of their last 10 games, while the Rockies have lost four of their last six games after falling 4-3 in game one of their two-game set with the Giants, who have one of the worst records in the league. The Rockies just can’t afford losses to teams like that, especially since their lead in the wildcard race is now down to just one game over the Brewers. This is not a good time for them to be slumping. They have these four games against the Padres and three at home against both the Marlins and Dodgers left on their schedule, so they have a favorable schedule, but they also must take advantage of it. The Rockies have been getting great pitching of late as they have allowed just 3.42 rpg over their last 12 games and will need that pitching to show here against the worst offense in the league. Colorado has gone 39-37 on the road and have averaged 4.26 rpg and have allowed 4.28 rpg in those games. Tyler Anderson gets the nod for the Rockies in this one and he has gone 5-5 with a 5.28 ERA in 15 games (13 starts) on the year, including 1-1 with a 6.75 ERA in his last three starts and 3-2 with a 5.44 ERA in eight games (seven starts) on the road. Anderson has gone 9-11 with a 4.34 ERA in 32 career starts overall and he has gone 1-0 with a 0.73 ERA in two career starts against the Padres.  

Colorado has been strong on offense this year so far as they come in ranked 4th in the league in scoring, putting up 5.11 rpg, while also ranking 2nd in hitting at .272 and 21st in homers with 178. On the mound, they have been a bit below average so far as they come in ranked 16th in the league in ERA at 4.55, while also ranking 19th in WHIP at 1.39.

Padres Looking To Play Spoiler

The only thing that the Padres really have left to play for this year is to try and keep another team from reaching the postseason and they have that chance in this four-game home set with the Rockies. The Padres will also bee looking for a bit of revenge after losing two of three in Colorado last week, which included a 16-0 in the middle game of that series. The Rockies have just a one-game lead over the Brewers for the 2nd wildcard slot, so if the Padres can take three of the four games in this series or even split the four games, then that could hinder the Rockies’ chances of getting in. The Padres have been a horrible road team this year, but they have played very well at home where they have gone 41-35, averaging 3.71 rpg and allowing 4.16 rpg in those games. Toeing the rubber for the Padres in this one will be Clayton Richard and he has gone 7-14 with a 4.82 ERA in 30 starts on the year, including 1-1 with a 3.50 ERA in his last three starts and 6-7 with a 4.62 ERA in 15 starts here at home. Richard has gone 10-13 with a 4.26 ERA in 43 games (29 starts) during Sept/ Oct and he has gone 29-26 with a 3.28 ERA in 72 games (70 starts) here at Petco Park in his career, while against the Rockies in his career he has gone 4-6 with a 5.60 ERA in 18 games (17 starts).

The Padres have not been a good offensive team so far as they come in ranked 30th in the league in scoring, putting up 3.79 rpg, while also ranking 30th in hitting at .232 and 23rd in homers with 176. On the mound, they have been a bit below average so far as they come in ranked 17th in the league in ERA at 4.59, while also ranking 14th in WHIP at 1.36.

Trends

Colorado is:

  • 5-1 in their last six games vs. a left-handed starter
  • 7-2 in their last nine road games vs. a team with a winning home record

San Diego is:

  • 2-6 in their last eight during game one of a series
  • 3-8 in Richard’s last 11 starts with five days of rest

This is a series that the Rockies cannot afford to struggle in as they have a slim one-game lead over the Brewers for the 2nd wildcard slot in the National League. The Padres will be looking for some revenge and also will be looking to play spoiler. This should be a very interesting series. The Rockies have played well on the road and the Padres have played well at home, which makes it more interesting. Tyler Anderson has not pitched well for the Rockies this year, but he is 1-0 with a 0.93 ERA in two career starts against the Padres. Clayton Richard gets the nod for the Padres and he has struggled as well this year, especially at home where he is 6-7 with a 4.67 ERA and he is 4-6 with a 5.60 ERA in 18 games (17 starts) in his career against the Rockies. Colorado needs this game far more than the Padres do and I see them rising up and getting a huge win in game one, especially since Colorado is 7-1 the last eight games in this series.

Pick: Colorado -125

David Hess (@DavidHess311)

I have always had a fascination with numbers and sports, so I combined the two to become a handicapper and a blogger. I love sports and I love writing about them and all the info I put in my blogs is well-thought-out and well-researched. I am a big fan of all the major sports and the colleges, plus I know golf pretty well, tennis and the WNBA. I am very versatile. Hope you enjoy my content.

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