Upcoming Free Picks

Twins vs. Tigers,
9-21-2017 - Expert Prediction

This is a past game! View all upcoming games instead!

Game Snapshot with Current Line

#915 Minnesota
Twins
#916 Detroit
Tigers

Thursday, September 21, 2017 at 7:10pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Minnesota Twins

-

W's
L's
0
ERA
0
WHIP

Detroit Tigers

-

W's
L's
0
ERA
0
WHIP

Betting Trends

All MLB

No betting trends available for this game. Click here to see all available for MLB.

Minnesota Twins (78-73 SU, 80-71 RL, 67-75-9 O/U) vs. Detroit Tigers (62-89 SU, 69-82 RL, 82-63-6 O/U)

MLB: Thursday, September 21, 2017, Comerica Park, Detroit, Michigan, 7:10 pm ET

Lines: Minnesota -133, Detroit +123; Over/Under: 10.5

It’s the start of an extended series between a pair of AL Central foes to kick off the weekend in the Motor City. The Minnesota Twins are on the first for the first of four against the Detroit Tigers Thursday night. Minnesota closed a three-game series with the Yankees on the road Wednesday hoping to avoid a sweep: they lost 5-2 Tuesday night. Detroit finished a three-game series at home against the A’s trying to avoid being swept as they fell 9-8 Tuesday. The Twins took two of three in the last series between the teams, which came August 11-13 in Detroit.

Minnesota Twins Fighting to Hold Position in Wild Card Race

Minnesota lost their second straight and their fourth in the last five games as they were dropped again by the Yankees Tuesday. The Twins entered Wednesday’s game 1.5 games ahead of the Angels for the second wild card spot. Minnesota got two hits each from Joe Mauer, Jorge Polanco and Chris Gimenez in the loss. Max Kepler hit a solo homer, his 18th of the year, for the Twins. Jose Berrios (12-8) took the loss on the mound as he failed to get out of the fourth inning. He allowed three runs on five hits with four walks and four strikeouts over 3.1 innings.

Lefty Adalberto Mejia gets the ball for the 20th time this season for Minnesota. He is 4-6 with a 4.62 ERA, a 1.572 WHIP, 40 walks and 77 strikeouts over 89.2 innings of work. Mejia took the loss in his last outing, which came against the Blue Jays at home Saturday to extend his winless streak to seven games. That was his first start since coming off the disabled list with a biceps strain. He threw three innings, allowing three runs on five hits with no walks and three strikeouts in a 7-2 Twins loss. Mejia has a 0-2 record with a 9.00 ERA, a 2.30 WHIP, four walks and 12 strikeouts over 10 innings in his last three starts. This is his third career start against the Tigers: he has no record with a 5.14 ERA and a 2.143 WHIP over seven innings of work. Mejia, in his 21st career appearance and 20th start, makes his first start at Comerica Park.

Detroit Tigers Continuing to Flounder Down the Stretch

Detroit dropped their second straight and their ninth in the last 11 games as they couldn’t hold a lead against the A’s. The Tigers are still 1.5 games ahead of the White Sox in the battle for the basement in the AL Central. Detroit led 8-4 after six innings before letting things slip away. Alex Presley (run, RBI) had four hits for the Tigers while Miguel Cabrera (run) added three in the loss. Ian Kinsler (his 20th), Presley (his second) and Nick Castellanos (his 24th) all went deep for Detroit. Chad Bell recorded a no-decision after allowing three runs on five hits with three walks and five strikeouts over 3.1 innings. Alex Wilson (2-5) took the loss as he allowed four runs on four hits with two strikeouts in one inning of relief.

Jordan Zimmermann takes the hill and makes his 28th start of the season for the Tigers in this contest. He is 8-12 with a 6.18 ERA, a 1.58 WHIP, 42 walks and 96 strikeouts over 150 innings of work this season. Zimmermann makes his first start in nearly three weeks after dealing with a neck issue: he took the loss in his last start, which came at home against the Indians September 2. He threw five innings, allowing five runs on 12 hits with no walks and two strikeouts as the Tigers were dealt a 5-2 loss. Zimmermann is 1-2 with a 9.00 ERA, a 2.13 WHIP, two walks and five strikeouts over 15 innings in his last three starts. He makes his sixth career start against the Twins in this contest: he is 3-2 with a 6.89 ERA and a 1.592 WHIP over 32.2 innings of work. Zimmermann is 10-11 with a 6.80 ERA and a 1.528 WHIP over 127 innings in 24 career appearances, 23 starts, at Comerica Park.

Trends:

Minnesota

  • Twins are 4-1 in their last 5 Thursday games

Detroit

  • Tigers are 0-7 in their last 7 vs. a team with a winning record
  • Tigers are 0-4 in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record

This one is a matchup of two struggling division rivals. Both teams are throwing pitchers that have had issues lately and who had a recent stint on the disabled list. Zimmermann has been atrocious since signing with the Tigers before last season as his ability to get guys out apparently stayed in the nation’s capital. Mejia has been up and down though he’s currently in a trough. The difference between the teams is the Twins have something to play for and the Tigers don’t: that’s enough to swing the pendulum Minnesota’s way in the opener.

Pick: Minnesota Twins -133

Minnesota simply has to win a few games at this point as the majority of the rest of the field in the chase for the second wild card spot has died off from self-inflicted wounds. The Twins are still 1.5 games up on the Angels entering Wednesday with seven of their final 10 games against a Detroit team that couldn’t beat, to paraphrase former Ohio State and current West Virginia president E. Gordon Gee, the Little Sisters of the Poor. The Tigers are a rudderless ship and there will be plenty of changes in the organization in the offseason.

The over is 4-0 in the Tigers last 4 overall, 4-0 in their last four on grass, 5-0 in their last five series openers, 22-6 in their last 28 at home, 8-3 in their last 11 against AL Central opponents and 10-4 in their last 14 at home against teams with a winning record. The teams have combined to go over the total in each of their last four meetings in Detroit and each of their last five matchups overall. With shaky pitching on both sides, this one seems poised to exceed the total as well.

Over 10.5

4

Chris Kubala

Christopher Kubala has been crunching stats and following sports for over 30 years. His in depth analysis and passion for sports have led him to writing books about sports, regularly being featured on sports talk radio and as the go-to person for any obscure trivia. He keeps an eye on transactions and statistics like a hawk, especially when it comes to football, both the NFL and college, the NHL, the NBA and college basketball and MLB.

Login

Forgot Password?
Forgot your password? Enter your email and we'll send you a reset token:

Return to login
Enter the token from your email and a new password. Don't forget to check your spam folder if you didn't get the email.

Upcoming Free Picks

Saturday, Feb 16
NCAAB
#601 Oklahoma 142.5
#602 TCU -5.5
12:00pm
View Pick
#613 Southern Illinois 137
#614 Indiana State -1
12:00pm
View Pick
#617 Auburn -9.5
#618 Vanderbilt 148
12:00pm
View Pick
#603 Maryland 127
#604 Michigan -6
12:00pm
View Pick
#609 Clemson 132.5
#610 Louisville -6
12:00pm
View Pick
#605 North Carolina
#606 Wake Forest
12:00pm
View Pick
#607 George Washington 137.5
#608 Duquesne -8.5
12:00pm
View Pick
#619 Detroit 163
#620 Wisconsin-Green Bay -4.5
1:00pm
View Pick
#621 Oklahoma State 134
#622 Texas -12
1:00pm
View Pick
#623 Texas A&M 146.5
#624 South Carolina -4
1:00pm
View Pick
#639 Xavier 134
#640 Providence -5.5
2:00pm
View Pick
#651 Florida 133
#652 Alabama -3
2:00pm
View Pick
#649 Rice 147.5
#650 FAU -7
2:00pm
View Pick
#647 Middle Tennessee State 153.5
#648 Marshall -7.5
2:00pm
View Pick
#645 Miami - OH -5.5
#646 Western Michigan 142
2:00pm
View Pick
#643 North Texas -2.5
#644 FIU 150.5
2:00pm
View Pick
#641 Fordham 132
#642 Rhode Island -10
2:00pm
View Pick
#635 Indiana 135
#636 Minnesota -3
2:00pm
View Pick
#633 Coastal Carolina -1
#634 Appalachian State 155
2:00pm
View Pick
#631 Notre Dame
#632 Virginia
2:00pm
View Pick
#629 Baylor 125.5
#630 Texas Tech -6.5
2:00pm
View Pick
#627 Drexel 142
#628 Towson -1
2:00pm
View Pick
#625 Akron 131.5
#626 Ball State -3.5
2:00pm
View Pick
#637 Florida State -6
#638 Georgia Tech 131.5
2:00pm
View Pick
#655 UAB 135
#656 Western Kentucky -7.5
3:00pm
View Pick
#657 UTSA 145
#658 Louisiana Tech -4
3:00pm
View Pick
#659 Valaparaiso 135
#660 Drake -5
3:00pm
View Pick
#661 UTEP 129
#662 Southern Miss -10.5
3:00pm
View Pick
#663 Missouri 137.5
#664 Ole Miss -8.5
3:30pm
View Pick
#673 Penn State 139
#674 Purdue -13
4:00pm
View Pick
#679 West Virginia
#680 Kansas
4:00pm
View Pick
#677 BYU -1
#678 Loyola Marymount 136
4:00pm
View Pick
#675 Texas State -1.5
#676 Arkansas - Little Rock 139
4:00pm
View Pick
#671 Utah State -9.5
#672 Air Force 137
4:00pm
View Pick
#667 Iowa State 129
#668 Kansas State -2.5
4:00pm
View Pick
#665 Northeastern 141
#666 Charleston -2.5
4:00pm
View Pick
#669 VCU 131
#670 Dayton -1.5
4:00pm
View Pick
#685 Virginia Tech -6
#686 Pittsburgh 131
4:30pm
View Pick
#699 Illinois - Chicago -1
#700 Youngstown State 148
6:00pm
View Pick
#701 Iowa -4
#702 Rutgers 149
6:00pm
View Pick
#697 Temple 148
#698 USF 148
6:00pm
View Pick
#695 Memphis 148
#696 UCF -5.5
6:00pm
View Pick
#611 NC State
#612 Duke
6:00pm
View Pick
#705 Hofstra -10
#706 UNCW 162
7:00pm
View Pick
#707 William & Mary -4
#708 Elon 143.5
7:00pm
View Pick
#717 IUPUI -4
#718 Cleveland State 149
7:00pm
View Pick
#719 Fresno State -3.5
#720 New Mexico 147
7:00pm
View Pick
#721 Boise State 138
#722 San Diego State -4
7:00pm
View Pick
#723 Oakland University -1
#724 Wisconsin-Milwaukee 145
7:00pm
View Pick
#737 Delaware 136
#738 James Madison -3
8:00pm
View Pick
#735 DePaul 144.5
#736 Butler -6.5
8:00pm
View Pick
#731 Tennessee 146
#732 Kentucky -2
8:00pm
View Pick
#733 Bradley 132
#734 Illinois State -4
8:00pm
View Pick
#727 Washington -8.5
#728 Washington State 145
8:00pm
View Pick
#729 USC -7
#730 California 150.5
8:00pm
View Pick
#739 Northwestern 127
#740 Nebraska -5.5
8:30pm
View Pick
#741 Mississippi St -1.5
#742 Arkansas 149
8:30pm
View Pick
#743 Pacific 131.5
#744 Santa Clara -1.5
9:00pm
View Pick
#755 Gonzaga
#756 San Diego
10:00pm
View Pick
#759 Nevada
#760 Wyoming
10:00pm
View Pick
#757 Arizona State 154
#758 Utah -1
10:00pm
View Pick
#749 UCSB 125
#750 Cal Irvine -6.5
10:00pm
View Pick
#753 San Francisco
#754 Portland
10:00pm
View Pick
#751 UCLA 150.5
#752 Stanford -2
10:00pm
View Pick
#747 Long Beach State 143
#748 UC Davis -6
10:00pm
View Pick
#745 Cal State Fullerton -2.5
#746 Cal State Northridge 151.5
10:00pm
View Pick
#761 Oregon 131
#762 Oregon State -1
10:30pm
View Pick
#763 Pepperdine 145.5
#764 St Marys -13
11:00pm
View Pick
#765 Cal Riverside
#766 Hawaii
11:55pm
View Pick
NHL
#13 Montreal 6
#14 Tampa Bay -210
7:05pm
View Pick
#15 Dallas 5.5
#16 Carolina -150
8:05pm
View Pick
#17 Columbus -120
#18 Chicago 6.5
8:35pm
View Pick
#21 Vancouver 6.5
#22 San Jose -245
10:05pm
View Pick