The New York Yankees will host the Baltimore Orioles in the second game of a three game set Saturday afternoon from Yankee Stadium. The Orioles will send 25-year old right-hander David Hess to the hill, and the Yankees will respond with 31-year old right-hander Lance Lynn. The Yankees lead the season-series 10-6.
Hess Makes First Career Start Against Yankees
David Hess will get the call for the 20th time of the season, eying his first win of the month. Hess wasn’t sharp in his previous start, squandering four runs (three earned) in 4.1 innings against the White Sox, resulting in a no decision in an 8-4 Orioles’ victory. The rookie right-hander is having a rough entrance to the Majors, posting a 5.22 ERA and a 1.42 WHIP accompanied with a 3-10 record in 91.1 innings of work. Hess is making his first career start against the Yankees in this contest. He has served up 22 hits in his last 13.1 innings logged.
Chris Davis has struggled against the Yankees this season, posting a poor .200 average with two homers and four RBI’s, plus he has struck out 17 times in 50 at bats. The 32-year old slugger is having a rough season, hitting an abysmal .171 with 16 home runs and 49 RBI’s. Davis has only tallied one RBI on the month. The Orioles weak lineup is only averaging 3.82 runs per game, ranking them down at 28th in the Majors. The Baltimore pitching staff continues to falter, placing last in all of baseball with a 5.17 team ERA.
Lynn Targets First Home Win at Yankee Stadium
Lance Lynn will make his 30th start and 10th as a member of the Yankees in this one, aiming for win number 10, and his first home win at Yankee Stadium. Lynn was sharp in his previous performance, holding the Blue Jays to only one run in five innings, leading to the no-decision in a 3-2 Yankees’ defeat. The six-year veteran left-hander has pitched well in two straight starts, and he stands at 9-10 with a weak 4.90 ERA and a 1.53 WHIP in 148.2 innings logged. Lynn has limited the Orioles to one run in 10.1 innings this season, and he possesses a 2-1 record with a 4.37 ERA in 22.2 career innings against the division rivals.
Miguel Andujar drove in another six runs in his previous series against the Orioles, and he currently features a .356 average with 16 RBI’s in 59 at-bats against Baltimore this season. The 23-year old third baseman should win AL Rookie of the Year. He is currently hitting .295 with 25 homers and 84 RBI’s. Andujar has notched five RBI’s in his last five games. The power-hitting Yankees rank second in all of baseball with an average of 5.14 runs per game. The New York pitching staff features a 3.75 team ERA, pegging them seventh overall.
The New York Yankees are:
- 10-3 in their last 13 games against the AL East.
- 70-30 in their last 100 home games.
- 40-19 in their last 59 games against a starter with a WHIP above 1.30.
The Baltimore Orioles are:
- 1-10 in Hess’ last 11 road starts.
- 3-13 in Hess’ last 16 road starts overall.
- 0-4 in their last 4 games against the Yankees.
The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.
Full-Game Side Bet
I am taking the Yankees on the run line (-1.5) in this contest. I can’t justify a play on the last place Orioles in this matchup. The Yankees have won six out of their last seven games against the Orioles heading into Friday’s action, and all six wins in that span came by at least two runs. Furthermore, Orioles’ starter David Hess owns a terrible 1-7 road record, and he has squandered a combined 11 runs in his last two road starts.
Prediction: New York Yankees -1.5
Full-Game Total Pick
The over is a strong play in this one. The Yankees have done big damage against the Orioles all season, and they are currently averaging 6.1 runs in 16 games against them this season, plus the over is 19-7 in their last 26 home games against the Orioles. While I don’t expect a ton of offense from Baltimore, they are averaging four runs against the Yankees this season which is above their season average, plus the over is 4-1 in their last five road games.
Prediction: Over 9.5
Full-Game Prop Bet
I anticipate a productive performance from the Yankees’ bats. The Yankees are consistently producing against the Orioles weak pitching, plating at least five runs in 10 consecutive games against the divisional foes, and Orioles’ starter David Hess owns a terrible 5.22 ERA on the season.
Prediction: Yankees Team Total: Over 5.5
First Five Innings Side Pick
I am sticking with New York on the five inning line. David Hess has surrendered 15 runs (nine earned) on 22 hits in his last three starts spread across 13.1 innings. Furthermore, Lance Lynn has only allowed three runs in his last 11 innings pitched.
Prediction: New York Yankees -1.5
First Five Innings Total Bet
The over on the five inning total is also a solid play. Orioles’ starter David Hess is carrying a weak 5.34 ERA on the road this season. In addition, while Lance Lynn has been solid in his last two starts, he is still carrying a poor 6.67 ERA over his last six starts.
Prediction: Over 5.5
First Five Innings Prop Prediction
I definitely expect the Yankees to score first in this matchup. The Yankees have tallied 105 runs accompanied with an .829 OPS in the opening frame, marking their second highest scoring inning. In addition, Orioles’ starter David Hess owns a subpar 4.76 ERA in the first inning.
Prediction: Yankees to Score First -165