Saturday afternoon bases and a pair of teams from the American League Central will square off as the Kansas City Royals grapple with the Detroit Tigers at Comerica Park in Detroit Michigan in game three of a three-game set. Pitching Probables: Getting the nod for the Royals will be Jake Junis (8-12, 4.42 ERA) and the Tigers will counter with Jordan Zimmermann (7-8, 4.41 ERA).
Jorge Lopez Gets Mauled In Game One
The Detroit Tigers have had their issues on offense this year, but that was not the case in game one of this series. In that game, the Royals lost by a score 11-8 and getting mauled in the game was Jorge Lopez. The 25-year-old allowed a whopping seven ERs on eight hits in just one inning of work. That isn’t good on any level. And this was after his mates spotted him three runs in the top of the first. Lopez is now at 2-4 with a 6.35 ERA in seven starts as a member of the Royals. The Royals hit four homers in the game with Adalberto Mondesi (11), Hunter Dozier (10), Jorge Bonifacio (4), and Brian Goodwin (2) all going yard. The Royals have averaged 3.74 rpg and have allowed 5.20 rpg on the road so far.
Toeing the slab for the Royals will be Jake Junis and he has gone 8-12 with a 4.42 ERA in 28 starts on the year, including 4-7 with a 4.67 ERA in 16 starts on the road. In his career, he has gone 10-8 with a 4.50 ERA in 23 games (21 starts) on the road and 4-1 with a 3.91 ERA in nine starts during Sept/ Oct, while against the Tigers he has gone 6-1 with a 3.14 ERA in seven games (six starts), including 4-1 with a 3.67 ERA in five games (four starts) here at Comerica Park.
Kansas City has been a poor offensive team so far as they come in ranked 26th in the league in scoring, putting up 3.92 rpg, while also ranking 18th in hitting at .245 and 25th in homers with 146. On the mound, they have been very poor so far as they come in ranked 29th in the league in ERA at 5.04, while also ranking 29th in WHIP at 1.47 and 29th in K’s with 1094. The pen for the Royals ranks 29th in the league with a 5.05 ERA.
Tigers Outlast Royals In Slugfest
The Detroit Tigers have had another abysmal year as they will enter their game on Friday night at 29 games under .500 the year. They will also enter that game having allowed 7.67 rpg in their previous six games. In game one of this series, they allowed eight runs, but their offense bailed the pitching out by plating 11 runs, including nine in the first two innings. In all, seven homers were hit in the game with the Tigers getting three of them. Christin Stewart had a monster game as he had two homers and drove in six in the win. They were the first two homers of his carer. Also going deep was Nicholas Castellanos (22), which was his 22nd of the year. Zac Reininger allowed two ERs on three hits in 2.1 innings of work in relief to pick up his first career win. Matthew Boyd has the start and allowed five runs (two earned) on six hits in 1.1 innings of work. The Tigers have averaged 4.10 rpg and have allowed 4.51 rpg here at home for the year.
Taking the hill for the Tigers will be Jordan Zimmermann and he has gone 7-8 with a 4.41 ERA in 23 starts on the year, including 4-5 with a 4.75 ERA in 12 starts here at home. In his career, he has gone 14-17 with a 6.11 ERA in 37 games (36 starts) here at Comerica Park and 15-11 with a 4.18 ERA in 36 games (35 starts) during Sept/ Oct. Zimmermann has gone 4-1 with a 2.08 ERA in eight games (seven starts) against the Royals in his career.
The Tigers have been a poor offensive team so far as they come in ranked 25th in the league in scoring, putting up 3.92 rpg, while also ranking 22nd in hitting at .242 and 28th in homers with 131. On the mound, they have been below average so far as they enter this contest ranked 22nd in the league in ERA at 4.52, while also ranking 20th in WHIP at 1.33 and 27th in K’s with 1141. The bullpen ranks 22nd in the league with a 4.45 ERA.
- None Available
- The Over is 15-5-3 in their last 23 vs. the American League Central
- The Over is 8-1-3 in their last 12 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400
Kansas City is:
- 10-41 in their last 51 during game 3 of a series.
- 2-9 in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a losing record
- The Over is 6-2 in their last 8 on grass.
- The Over is 9-3 in their last 12 road games vs. a team with a losing record
The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.
Full-Game Side Bet
Both teams have been out of the playoff race since training camp. No one in this division was going to take down the Indians. The Royals have the 2nd worst record in the league and they will enter their game on Friday having lost their last five games in a row. Jake Junis pitched well at the beginning of the year, but he is now at 8-12 with a 4.42 ERA on the year, including 4-5 with a 4.09 ERA on the road. Jordan Zimmermann has not pitched well in this park in his career, but he is 4-1 with a 2.08 ERA in eight games (seven starts) against the Royals in his career. I look for the Tigers take this battle of a couple of “Who Cares” teams.
Prediction: Detroit -110
Full-Game Total Pick
This game could be a fun one. Both starters have not been very good for most of the year and the offenses for both have been decent of late. Zimmermann has a 4.75 ERA here at home and a 6.11 ERA in this park in his career. He will face a Royals team that has averaged 5.40 rpg over their last 10 games. Jake Junis has pitched well of late, but he still has a 4.09 ERA on the road and behind him is one of the worst pens in the league. Game one of this series put up 19 runs and this one should see at least 12. The clincher is the fact that the Over is 21-7-1 in Zimmermann’s last 29 starts vs. the American League Central.
Prediction: Over 8.5
Full-Game Prop Bet
Neither team has anything to play for, so the offenses should go out and have some. Kansas City’s last 10 games have averaged 10.10 rpg, while Detroit’s last 10 have put up. Both teams have terrible bens so we should see offense early and late in this one.
Prediction: R/H/E Over 26 -115
First Five Innings Side Pick
Junis has pitched better of late and Zimmermann has struggled in this park in his career, but still, I see the Tigers leading at the midway point of this one. They really don’t want to have a bad home series against the 2nd worst team in the league, so they will look to start fast.
Prediction: Detroit -110
First Five Innings Total Bet
Jake Junis has a 4.06 ERA on the year, while Jordan Zimmerman has a 5.93 ERA in his last three starts and a 6.11 ERA in this park in his career, including a 4.75 ERA here at Comerica this. WEe should see plenty of offenses early in this one.
Prediction: Over 4 -120
First Five Innings Prop Prediction
I am expecting some offense in this one and it should start in the first inning. Neither Pitcher has been horrible in the first inning this year, but still, I see at least one of these teams scoring in the first inning. The offenses have been decent for both of late and the pitching that is on the mound is not the greatest.
Prediction: Score In the First— Yes