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Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates,
9-23-2018 - Pick and Prediction

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#953 Milwaukee
Brewers -135
#954 Pittsburgh
Pirates 8

Sunday, September 23, 2018 at 1:35pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Milwaukee Brewers
W. MILEY

88 - 67

5
W's
2
L's
2.08
ERA
1.18
WHIP

Pittsburgh Pirates
N. KINGHAM

78 - 75

5
W's
6
L's
4.77
ERA
1.24
WHIP

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The Pittsburgh Pirates and the  Milwaukee Brewers will wrap up a three game NL Central series Sunday afternoon from PNC Park. The Brewers will send 31-year old left-hander Wade Miley to the mound, and 25-year old right-hander Joe Musgrove will take the mound for the Pirates. The Pirates lead the season-series 11-6. The Brewers trail the Cubs by 1.5 games in the NL Central, and they hold a three game cushion for the top wildcard position.

Miley Aims for Fourth Straight Win

Wade Miley will take the mound for the 15th time of the season, hunting for his fourth consecutive win. Miley was outstanding in his latest effort, tossing five shutout innings against the Reds, leading to the victory to lift his record to 5-2. The veteran left-hander has been the Brewers best pitcher in the second half, and he enters this one with a stellar 2.08 ERA and a 1.18 WHIP accompanied with a 5-2 record in 73.2 innings logged. Miley has limited the Pirates to only four runs in 10 innings this season, and he possesses a 3-2 record with a poor 6.82 ERA in six career starts.

Christian Yelich remains the hottest hitter in the Brewers lineup, bashing another three homers with seven RBI’s in his last seven games. The career .295 hitter is having a tremendous season, registering a .320 average with 31 home runs and 93 RBI’s. Yelich has notched four home runs along with nine RBI’s against the Pirates this season. The Brewers are scoring an average of 4.51 runs per game, ranking them 13th in the big leagues. The Milwaukee pitching staff continues to succeed, and they enter this one with a 3.77 team ERA, good for ninth in the Majors.

Musgrove Roughed Up By Royals

Joe Musgrove will get the call for the 20th time of the season, looking to rebound from a couple of rough outings. Musgrove conceded five runs in six innings against the Royals in his previous start, leading to the no decision in a 7-6 Pirates’ win. The young right-hander has conceded nine runs over his last two starts, and he now owns a 4.06 ERA and a 1.18 WHIP accompanied with a 6-9 record in 115.1 innings of work. The Brewers have given Musgrove some trouble this season as he has surrendered nine runs in 11.2 innings, and he escaped with the no-decision in both meetings.

Starling Marte has fared well against Brewers’ starter Wade Miley, collecting 9 hits in 20 at bats. The 29-year old center fielder is having a decent season, posting a .276 average with 19 home runs and 67 RBI’s. Marte has tallied nine hits in his last six games, and he has belted five homers with 11 RBI’s against the Brewers this season. The Pirates are currently averaging 4.29 runs per game, ranking them 21st in the Major Leagues. The Pittsburgh pitching staff owns a decent 4.04 team ERA, pegging them 16th overall.

The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.

Full-Game Side Bet
Rating:

I am siding with the Brewers in this contest. Milwaukee starter Wade Miley has led his team to a victory in five consecutive starts, and a win in five out of his last six road starts. Miley continues to excel, sporting a minuscule 1.54 ERA over his last four starts. In addition, the Brewers have won seven out of their last nine road games heading into Saturday’s action, and they are up against a scuffling Joe Musgrove.

Prediction: Milwaukee Brewers -120

Full-Game Total Pick
Rating:

The under is a solid play. Milwaukee is only averaging 3.52 runs in 17 games against the Brewers this season, and the under is 5-1 in their last six games overall. Also, the Pirates have scored three or fewer runs in five out of their last six games heading into Saturday’s action, and the under is 12-5-1 in their last 18 home games against the Brewers.

Prediction: Under 8

Full-Game Prop Bet
Rating:

I am opting with the under on the Pirates team total. The Pirates have scored three or fewer runs in six out of their last seven games, and they are up against Wade Miley who has limited them to four runs in 10 innings this season. In addition, the Pirates are only hitting .247 as a team against lefties this season.

Prediction: Pirates Team Total: Under

First Five Innings Side Pick
Rating:

I am sticking with the Brewers on the five inning line. Wade Miley limited the Pirates to only two runs in five innings in his latest meeting, and he features a solid 2.14 ERA on the road this season. Furthermore, Milwaukee has tallied nine runs in 11.2 innings against Pirates’ starter Joe Musgrove this season.

Prediction: Milwaukee Brewers

First Five Innings Total Bet
Rating:

The over on the five inning total is worth a look. The Brewers scored four runs in four innings against Joe Musgrove in the previous meeting, and he owns a subpar 4.21 ERA at home this season. In addition, Musgrove has allowed at least four runs in four out of his last five starts.

Prediction: Over

First Five Innings Prop Prediction
Rating:

I am taking Milwaukee to score first. The Brewers most productive inning takes place in the first frame where they have accumulated 105 runs paired with an .869 OPS. Furthermore, Joe Musgrove is carrying a poor 4.74 ERA in his 19 innings logged in the first inning this season.

Prediction: Milwaukee to Score First

Adam Rauzino

Adam has been a sports fanatic his entire life, closely following hockey, baseball, basketball and football. Adam enjoys analyzing various stats, as well as studying Sabermetrics and analytics to take his picks to a whole new level. Adam has a passion for writing about about various sports as well as personal finance. He graduated with a diploma in business marketing and business finance.

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