Upcoming Free Picks

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves,
9-23-2018 - Pick and Prediction

This is a past game! View all upcoming games instead!

Game Snapshot with Current Line

#955 Philadelphia
Phillies -160
#956 Atlanta
Braves 7.5

Sunday, September 23, 2018 at 1:35pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Philadelphia Phillies
A. NOLA

78 - 76

16
W's
5
L's
2.44
ERA
0.98
WHIP

Atlanta Braves
A. SANCHEZ

87 - 68

6
W's
6
L's
3.08
ERA
1.09
WHIP

Betting Trends

All MLB

No betting trends available for this game. Click here to see all available for MLB.

The Philadelphia Phillies will head on the road to SunTrust Park on Sunday afternoon as they conclude their most important series of the season against the Atlanta Braves.

Instead of narrowing the gap in the NL East race, Philadelphia has dropped 7.5-games back of the division-leading Braves after bullpen blunders in back-to-back games cost the Phillies Game 1 and Game 2.

Nola enters with a 5.01 ERA in September

The Phillies are expected to lean on right-hander Aaron Nola on Sunday afternoon as they try to make an improbable run at the final Wild Card spot in the National League. The Phillies enter play on Saturday 6.5-games back of the St. Louis Cardinals for the last postseason slot in the NL with just nine games left on the regular season schedule. Even Nola hasn’t been immune to the Phillies’ struggles as of late. He comes into Sunday’s start having surrendered at least three earned runs in three of his last four outings, but broke that streak in his last start by delivering 5 ⅔ innings of two-run ball at home against the New York Mets. The 25-year-old enters the weekend with a 16-5 overall record to go along with a 2.44 ERA in 31 starts, while establishing himself as a legitimate Major League ace this season. He’s pitched into the sixth inning or later in 27 of those 31 starts and has not surrendered more than four runs in any of his outings.

Nola has made three starts versus the Braves in 2018, going 1-1 with a 2.95 ERA in those outings, but was 5-1 with a 1.96 ERA in his previous seven starts against Atlanta dating back to his rookie season in 2015. According to Baseball Savant, the current Braves’ roster is batting .253 in 156 plate appearances against the Phillies’ right-hander heading into Sunday’s start.

Sanchez tosses another quality start vs. Cardinals

The Braves will counter with veteran right-hander Anibal Sanchez, who has suffered some tough luck as of late despite pitching fairly well. He comes in with a 0-3 record over his last seven starts, but he’s allowing three runs or less in six of those outings and is coming into this matchup on the heels of back-to-back quality outings. The 34-year-old tossed six innings of two-run ball at home against the St. Louis Cardinals in his last start, but was rendered with a loss in an 8-1 Braves’ defeat. The veteran right-hander has experienced a career resurgence since returning to the NL East and comes into the weekend sporting a solid 6-6 overall record to go along with a 3.01 ERA in 23 appearances (22 starts) this season.

Sanchez has yet to face the Phillies as a member of the BRaves and has only made start against the Phillies dating back to 2015. He allowed six runs (three earned) on eight hits in six innings of work to take the loss in that game and is 4-9 with a career 4.91 ERA in 18 starts versus the Phillies coming into this game. The current Phillies roster is batting .274 with an expected slugging percentage of .541 in 134 plate appearances against Sanchez heading into Sunday’s showdown.

The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.

Full-Game Side Bet
Rating:

Nola has had a ton of success against the Braves in his career and has pitched into the sixth inning or later in each of his three starts against them in 2018. However, he hasn’t faced the Braves since April 27 and they’ve been a different team since Ronald Acuna Jr. has gotten comfortable in the big leagues. Meanwhile, Sanchez has kept the Braves competitive in his starts this season, while limiting opposing hitters to a .216 batting average. The Phillies are in a bad spot right now, so I’m leaning towards the Braves at home in this NL East battle on Sunday afternoon.

Prediction: Pick: Atlanta Braves

Full-Game Total Pick
Rating:

Both of these pitchers have been excellent for their respective teams this year. Nola has allowed three earned runs or less in 27 of his 31 starts this season, while Sanchez has accomplished the feat in 19 of his 23 outings this year. Neither pitcher has allowed more than four earned runs in any of their outings – a combined 54 starts. Take the under in this matchup at SunTrust Park on Sunday afternoon.

Prediction: Under

Full-Game Prop Bet
Rating:

Not really known for his power, Nick Markakis is batting .303 with 14 home runs and 93 RBIs so far this season. He has homered in every month so far this season, but has yet to go deep during the month of September, despite batting .289 in 76 at-bats. He’s batting .240 with two home runs against Nola coming into this game and has seen him more than any other Braves’ hitter coming into this game. Take Markakis to hit the first home run of this game.

Prediction: Nick Markakis to hit the first home run

First Five Innings Side Pick
Rating:

Sanchez has allowed three earned runs or less in each of his last six starts, while Nola comes into this game in a bit of a slump — if you can call it that. He’s allowed three earned runs or more in three of his last four starts and sports a 5.01 ERA in four September starts. Take the Braves at home on the five-inning line in this NL East battle in Atlanta on Sunday afternoon.

Prediction: Atlanta Braves

First Five Innings Total Bet
Rating:

While Nolan has been stumbling as of late, he’s still the Phillies’ most consistent pitcher and neither of these hurlers has surrendered more than four earned runs in a start this season. After the Phillies’ bullpen blew back-to-back games to open the series, if you’re siding with Philadelphia, you should prefer the five-inning line in this spot. With that being said, I’m rolling with the hotter pitcher and better team in this spot. Take Atlanta on the five-inning line at home as they close out this series on Sunday.

Prediction: Under

First Five Innings Prop Prediction
Rating:

Nola has been most vulnerable early in ball games in 2018. He sports an ERA under 3.00 in each inning between frames two and six, but sports a lackluster 4.65 ERA in the first inning of frames this season. Meanwhile, Sanchez owns a 2.45 first inning ERA and a 0.82 ERA in the second frame this season. Look for the Braves to win the first inning of this game at home on Sunday afternoon.

Prediction: First Innings Winner – Atlanta Braves

Nick Raffoul

Shortly after graduating with an Honors in Business Administration, Nick turned his attention from traditional stocks and bonds to investing in the performance of sports teams. He uses a combination of advanced stats and historical data to create sports investment models to identify value and generate consistent profits.

Login

Forgot Password?
Forgot your password? Enter your email and we'll send you a reset token:

Return to login
Enter the token from your email and a new password. Don't forget to check your spam folder if you didn't get the email.

Upcoming Free Picks

Bank the Bet Podcast
Wednesday, Dec 19
NCAAF
#213 Ohio U -2.5
#214 San Diego State 55
8:00pm
View Pick
NBA
#553 New York Knicks
#554 Philadelphia 76ers
7:05pm
View Pick
#555 San Antonio Spurs -1
#556 Orlando Magic 207
7:05pm
View Pick
#557 Cleveland Cavaliers 220
#558 Charlotte Hornets -12
7:05pm
View Pick
#559 Phoenix Suns 220
#560 Boston Celtics -12
7:35pm
View Pick
#561 Indiana Pacers
#562 Toronto Raptors
7:35pm
View Pick
#563 Detroit Pistons 220
#564 Minnesota Timberwolves -5
8:05pm
View Pick
#565 Washington Wizards 224.5
#566 Houston Rockets -11
8:05pm
View Pick
#567 Brooklyn Nets -2
#568 Chicago Bulls 215.5
8:05pm
View Pick
#571 Golden State Warriors -3
#572 Utah Jazz 218
9:05pm
View Pick
#573 Memphis Grizzlies
#574 Portland Trailblazers
10:05pm
View Pick
#575 Oklahoma City Thunder -4
#576 Sacramento Kings 236.5
10:05pm
View Pick
NCAAB
#701 Auburn 157
#702 NC State -2
7:00pm
View Pick
#703 Western Michigan 139.5
#704 Dayton -13
7:00pm
View Pick
#705 UNCW 159
#706 Georgia State -12
7:00pm
View Pick
#707 Penn State -6.5
#708 Duquesne 137
7:00pm
View Pick
#709 Virginia -9
#710 South Carolina 134
7:00pm
View Pick
#711 Cal Irvine -4
#712 Eastern Michigan 130
7:00pm
View Pick
#713 Cornell
#714 Toledo
7:00pm
View Pick
#715 ODU -6.5
#716 Richmond 130
7:00pm
View Pick
#717 Arkansas - Little Rock
#718 Memphis
8:00pm
View Pick
#719 Southern Miss
#720 Kansas State
8:00pm
View Pick
#721 Valaparaiso 143
#722 Texas A&M -10.5
8:30pm
View Pick
#723 Georgia Tech 145
#724 Arkansas -8.5
9:00pm
View Pick
#725 UCLA 135
#726 Cincinnati -8
9:00pm
View Pick
#727 California 143.5
#728 Fresno State -10.5
10:00pm
View Pick
#729 Boise State 126
#730 Loyola Marymount -5
10:00pm
View Pick
NHL
#83 Pittsburgh 7
#84 Washington -140
8:05pm
View Pick
#85 Montreal 6
#86 Colorado -155
8:35pm
View Pick
Thursday, Dec 20
NCAAF
#215 Marshall -3
#216 USF 54.5
8:00pm
View Pick
Friday, Dec 21
NCAAF
#217 FIU 66.5
#218 Toledo -6
12:30pm
View Pick
Saturday, Dec 22
NCAAF
#221 Wake Forest 73
#222 Memphis -3
12:00pm
View Pick
#223 Houston 67.5
#224 Army -3.5
3:30pm
View Pick
#225 Buffalo -2.5
#226 Troy 53.5
7:00pm
View Pick
#227 Louisiana Tech 58.5
#228 Hawaii -1
10:30pm
View Pick
Wednesday, Dec 26
NCAAF
#229 Boston College 55
#230 Boise State -2.5
1:30pm
View Pick
#231 Minnesota 61
#232 Georgia Tech -4.5
5:15pm
View Pick
#233 TCU 41
#234 California -1
9:00pm
View Pick
Thursday, Dec 27
NCAAF
#235 Duke 56.5
#236 Temple -4
1:30pm
View Pick
#237 Miami - FL -3.5
#238 Wisconsin 47
5:15pm
View Pick
#239 Vanderbilt -4.5
#240 Baylor 55
9:00pm
View Pick
Friday, Dec 28
NCAAF
#241 Auburn -3.5
#242 Purdue 54.5
1:30pm
View Pick
#243 Syracuse 74
#244 West Virginia -1.5
5:15pm
View Pick
#247 Iowa State 54.5
#248 Washington State -3.5
9:00pm
View Pick
Saturday, Dec 29
NCAAF
#249 Florida 50.5
#250 Michigan -7.5
12:00pm
View Pick
#251 South Carolina -5.5
#252 Virginia 55
12:00pm
View Pick
#245 Arkansas State -2
#246 Nevada 58.5
1:15pm
View Pick
#255 Notre Dame 56
#256 Clemson -13.5
4:00pm
View Pick
#253 Oklahoma 79
#254 Alabama -14
8:00pm
View Pick
Monday, Dec 31
NCAAF
#257 Virginia Tech 53.5
#258 Cincinnati -5.5
12:00pm
View Pick
#259 Pittsburgh 52
#260 Stanford -6
2:00pm
View Pick
#261 Michigan State 48
#262 Oregon -3
3:00pm
View Pick
#263 Missouri -7.5
#264 Oklahoma State 71
3:45pm
View Pick
#265 Northwestern 45
#266 Utah -7
7:00pm
View Pick
#267 NC State 58.5
#268 Texas A&M -6.5
7:30pm
View Pick
Tuesday, Jan 1
NCAAF
#269 Iowa 44.5
#270 Mississippi St -7
12:00pm
View Pick
#273 LSU -7.5
#274 UCF 54.5
1:00pm
View Pick
#271 Kentucky 48
#272 Penn State -7
1:00pm
View Pick
#275 Washington 58.5
#276 Ohio State -6.5
5:00pm
View Pick
#277 Texas 58
#278 Georgia -13.5
8:45pm
View Pick
Monday, Dec 24
NFL
#131 Denver Broncos -2.5
#132 Oakland Raiders 45
8:15pm
View Pick