Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#3979 New York Mets vs.
#3980 Oakland Athletics
Friday, September 23, 2022 at 9:40pm EDT
Written by Mason Folz

This Friday, the (95-56) New York Mets and the (55-94) Oakland Athletics will play game one of this three-game series. The first pitch will be thrown out at 9:40 PM EST inside the Oakland Coliseum. This will also be the first time that these two teams have matched up this regular season.

The New York Mets are coming into this one after winning their previous series against the Milwaukee Brewers. Their bats were on fire in the first two games, as they scored 12 combined runs. Unfortunately, they were shut out in game three. They will need their bats to stay hot in this one if they want to challenge the A's on the road.

The Oakland Athletics are entering this one after winning their previous series against the Seattle Mariners. The A's took the first two games of that series, as their pitching was incredible. They only surrendered two combined runs, as the Mariners struggled to consistently reach base against them. They will need to carry that momentum over into this series if they want to get the job done in this one.

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Can the Mets Play Well on the Road?

The New York Mets are currently 6-4 in their last 10 games played, as their play has allowed them to hold onto the second seed in the NL Playoffs. They are also still in first place in the NL East, as they have a 1.0-game lead over the second-place Atlanta Braves. The Mets will need to finish the season strong if they want any chance of winning the division.

At the plate, the Mets are scoring 4.75 runs per game and they are hitting .257 as a team. This is the seventh most runs scored per game and the fifth-highest overall team batting average. They have shown that they can consistently reach base safely and they have also been clutch with men in scoring position. New York has also been able to show off their power this season, as they are averaging 1.04 bombs per game. I would watch for Pete Alonso at the plate, as he leads the team with 37 home runs this season. New York has also been conservative once they have reached base safely. They have allowed their bats to move base runners into scoring position, as they have only stolen 62 bases this season. This is the 22nd most, as they don't have a ton of speed inside of their lineup.

According to MLB.com, the Mets will be starting Chris Bassitt on the mound in this one. He is currently 14-8 with a 3.32 ERA and a 1.14 WHIP. In his last start, he pitched for 6.0 innings and he only gave up three hits and zero earned runs. He completely shut the Pirates down in that one. He has also been great on the road this season, as he is 8-2 with a 3.84 ERA. The Mets bullpen is giving up the 10th least amount of runs and the Mets are surrendering 3.77 runs per game. This is the fifth least amount of runs allowed this season, as they haven't been easy to score on.

Can the A's Stay Hot?

The Oakland Athletics are currently 5-5 in their last 10, but they are still way behind in the standings. They are in dead last place in the AL West, as they trail the Houston Astros by 43.5 games. They will not be playing in the postseason this year either, as they are 26.5 games back from the third and final AL Wild Card spot.

At the plate, the A's are scoring 3.56 runs per game and they are hitting .216 as a team. This is the lowest overall team batting average in the MLB and the second least amount of runs scored per game. They have struggled to consistently reach base safely, as they aren't giving themselves enough opportunities to score. The Athletics have also realized that they have very little power inside of their lineup. Oakland is only averaging .84 bombs per game, which is the fourth least amount of bombs hit. I would also expect the A's to stay conservative on the base paths. They have only stolen 72 bases this season, which is the 19th most in the league.

According to MLB.com, the Athletics will be starting Cole Irvin on the mound. He is currently 9-11 with a 3.79 ERA and a 1.10 WHIP. It has not been easy to consistently reach base against him and he looked great in his last start. He picked up a win against the Astros, as he pitched for 7.0 innings and he only gave up four earned runs. He did give up three bombs in that game, though. His ERA drops to 2.75 when he is playing inside the Oakland Coliseum, as well. The Oakland bullpen hasn't been as solid. They are allowing 4.39 runs per game, which is the 24th most in the MLB. As a team, the A's are surrendering 4.84 runs per game, which is also the 24th most in the league.

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Full-Game Side Bet

Insiders Status:

Rating:

I do not see the Athletics saying hot at the plate in this game. They looked solid in their last series, but now it is back to reality. They are currently scoring the second least amount of runs per game and they have the lowest overall team batting average. They aren't going to reach base consistently and the Mets will be able to keep them off the scoreboard for the majority of the game. The Mets will also start Chris Bassitt on the mound, as he has been a road warrior this season. He is currently 8-2 on the road, as I have a ton of confidence in him showing up in this game. Bassitt looked like an absolute beast in his last start, as well. He will keep it rolling in this one and the A's won't score enough runs to cover this run line spread. Now, I see the Mets having a ton of success in this game. They are scoring the seventh most runs per game and they have the fifth-highest overall team batting average. They also have a one-game lead over the Braves in their division, as they can't afford to lose these games.

The Mets will show up in this one. Hammer them and lay the run line spread (-1.5).

Prediction: New York Mets -1.5 (-125)

Full-Game Total Pick

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Rating:

I'm going to hammer the under (8) runs in this matchup between the A's and the Mets. If your book doesn't have the total set at this number, then I would recommend buying it. The Mets are going to have success at the dish, but I still don't see them scoring enough to push this total over the number. The A's pitching rotation was on fire in their last series, as they will pitch well enough to keep the Mets from completely blowing them out. Now, I don't see the A's doing anything at the plate, as this is why I will be taking the under (8) runs. Oakland is scoring the second least amount of runs and they have the lowest batting average in the league. Bassitt will be able to keep them off the scoreboard for the majority of the game and they won't be able to score enough runs to push this total over (8). Bassitt was in a groove in his last start and I see that carrying over into this game. He will pitch very deep into this one and completely silence the A's bats. I also trust the Met's bullpen, as they are allowing the 10th least amount of runs per game. If Bassitt has to be relieved they will be able to come in and continue to shut down the A's.

Hammer the under (8) runs and expect the A's to struggle at the dish.

Prediction: Under 8
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Written By Mason Folz , "Mason Folz"

Mason graduated from the University of Colorado, Boulder and he has been watching SportsCenter since before he could walk. He has been crunching numbers since he could learn to count and nothing makes Mason happier in this world than talking sports, unless he is on the golf course! We are very happy to have added Mason to our team at StatSalt and you will be glad as well. Let's win some money!