Chicago Cubs (86-67; 72-73-7 O/U) vs. Milwaukee Brewers (81-73; 66-80-7 O/U)
MLB: Sunday, September 24, 2017 at 2:10pm EST
Line: Chicago -126/Milwaukee +116
The Milwaukee Brewers will collide with the Chicago Cubs in an NL Central showdown Sunday afternoon from Miller Park. The Cubs will give the call to 28-year old left-hander Jose Quintana, and the Brewers will counter with 29-year old right-hander Chase Anderson. The Cubs owns a 9-8 lead in the season series.
Quintana Targets First Road Win Since Joining Cubs
Jose Quintana will get the nod for the 31st time of the season, targeting his second win of the month. Quintana conceded three runs in 5.2 innings to the Cardinals in his previous start, and finished with the no decision. The crafty left-hander has pitched reasonably well in four straight starts and now owns a 10-11 record with a 4.27 ERA and a 1.26 WHIP in 175 innings logged. He limited the Brewers to only two runs in six innings in a 2-1 Cubs loss in the lone meeting this year, and has now held Milwaukee to only three runs in 21 career innings. Ryan Braun is 2 for 9 against Quintana, while Neil Walker is 1 for 4, and Travis Shaw is 1 for 10. Jon Jay has been very productive in the leadoff position for the Cubs as of late, notching 11 hits along with four RBI’s over his last seven games. The career .288 hitter is now sporting a solid .290 average with two homers and 31 RBI’s on the season. Jay owns a sizzling .362 average with three RBI’s against the Brewers this season.
The Cubs are looking good offensively, now averaging 5.07 runs per game, good for fifth in the Majors, and own a .256 team batting average. The Chicago pitching is sporting a solid 4.06 team ERA, placing tenth in the Major Leagues.
Anderson Eyes Fourth Consecutive Win
Chase Anderson is back on the hill for the 24th time of the year, looking to continue his outstanding work. Anderson was flawless last time out, firing six shutout innings against the Pirates and collected the win to boost his record to 11-3. The third-year right-hander is having a stellar season, sporting a 2.74 ERA and a 1.11 WHIP in 128 innings of work. He pitched well in two of three starts against the Cubs this season, allowing a total of nine runs in 14 innings with a 2-1 record in three starts. He now features a 3-1 record with a solid 3.68 ERA in six career starts against Chicago. Kris Bryant is 4 for 12 with three RBI’s against Anderson, while Anthony Rizzo is 1 for 9, and Javier Baez is 0 for 7. Domingo Santana is coming up clutch for the Brewers as of late, belting four home runs along with 11 RBI’s over his last eight games. The 25-year old right fielder is having a breakout season, sporting a .279 average with 28 home runs and 80 RBI’s. Santana has notched a hit in 11 of 48 at bats with 10 RBI’s against the Cubs this season. Milwaukee’s playoff hopes are starting to look dim, sitting two games back of the Rockies for the second Wildcard position.
The Brewers are scoring an average of 4.55 runs per game, ranking them 21st overall, and are hitting .250 as a team. The Milwaukee pitching owns a 3.98 team ERA, good for ninth in the Major Leagues.
The Chicago Cubs are:
- 4-9 in their last 13 games against a starter with a WHIP of less than 1.15.
The Milwaukee Brewers are:
- 4-1 in Anderson’s last 5 starts.
- 6-1 in Anderson’s last 7 home starts.
- 6-0 in their last 6 Sunday games.
- 9-3 in their last 12 games against a team with a winning record.
I am siding with the Brewers in this contest. Anderson just tossed five shutout innings against the Cubs in the latest meeting, and he is sporting an excellent 2.39 ERA over his last seven starts, so he should contain the Cubs bats. Furthermore, Quintana owns a subpar 4.56 ERA over his last nine starts, plus this is a must win game for the Brewers, so I am confident they can push across enough runs to get the home win.
Pick: Milwaukee Brewers +116
Anderson has been very consistent on the mound, and Quintana has also been reliable. Anderson has been outstanding at home, posting a 5-0 record with a sparkling 2.34 ERA in his ten home starts this season, and the under is 10-1 in the Brewers last 11 home games against a team with a winning record. Quintana has notched a Quality Start in three out of his last four starts, and the under is 7-1 in the last eight meetings between these two rivals.