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Nationals vs. Mets,
9-24-2017 - Expert Prediction

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#951 Washington
#952 New York

Sunday, September 24, 2017 at 1:10pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Washington Nationals



New York Mets



Betting Trends


No betting trends available for this game. Click here to see all available for MLB.

Washington Nationals (92-61; 67-76-10 O/U) vs. New York Mets (66-87; 87-54-12 O/U)

MLB: Sunday, September 24, 2017 at 1:10pm EST

Line: Washington -165/New York +150

Total: 7.5

The New York Mets and the Washington Nationals will wrap up a three game divisional series Sunday afternoon from Citi Field. The Nationals will give the nod to 33-year old right-hander Max Scherzer, and 29-year old right-hander Jacob DeGrom will take the mound for the Mets. The Nationals lead the season series 11-6.

Scherzer Targets Third Win in Last Four Starts

Max Scherzer will get the starting nod for the 30th time of the season, hunting for win number 16. Scherzer as solid in his previous start, allowing two runs in seven innings to the Braves in a 4-2 Nationals win. The nine-year veteran is having another tremendous season, sporting a 2.59 ERA and a 0.91 WHIP accompanied with a 15-6 record in 191.1 innings logged. He has conceded nine runs in 22 innings with a 2-1 record against the Mets this season, and now owns a 7-4 record with a stifling 2.27 ERA in 14 starts against the Mets. Travis D’Arnaud is 3 for 15 with seven RBI’s against Scherzer, while Brandon Nimmo is 1 for 6, and Asdrubal Cabrera is 14 for 16. Daniel Murphy has had more success against the Mets than any other team this season, notching a hit in 20 of 56 at bats with 13 RBI’s. The career .299 hitter is having another tremendous season, posting a .315 average with 22 home runs and 89 RBI’s. Murphy has driven in five runs this month.

The Nationals deep lineup is averaging 5.12 runs per game, good for third in the Major Leagues, and feature a .266 team batting average. The Washington pitching features a terrific 3.88 team ERA, ranking them sixth in the Majors.

DeGrom Seeks Fourth Win Over Nationals this Season

Jacob deGrom will take the mound for the 31st time of the season, looking to improve his record to 16-9. DeGrom was sharp in his previous performance, limiting the Braves to only one run in seven strong innings, and recorded the win. The 6-foot-4 right-hander has pitched well in two straight starts and now boasts a 3.55 ERA and a 1.20 WHIP in 195.1 innings of work. He has shut down the Nationals this season, conceding only eight runs (seven earned) with a 3-1 record in 28.1 innings, and possesses a 5-3 record with an excellent 2.75 ERA in 11 career starts against the division rivals. Ryan Zimmerman is 5 for 16 with seven RBI’s against deGrom, while Anthony Rendon is 0 for 16, and Daniel Murphy is 3 for 12. Asdrubal Cabrera is having a strong month to close the season, sporting a sizzling .403 average with 11 RBI’s in September. The 31-year old shortstop is having a decent season, currently hitting .279 with 13 home runs and 53 RBI’s. Cabrera is 10 for 37 with six RBI’s against the Nationals this season.

The Mets are currently averaging 4.61 runs per game, ranking them 18th in the Majors, and are hitting .252 as a team. The New York pitching owns a 5.05 team ERA, placing them down at 28th in the Major Leagues.


The Washington Nationals are:

  • No Key Trends

The New York Mets are:

  • 7-1 in deGrom’s last 8 starts against the Nationals.
  • 5-1 in their last 6 home games.
  • 4-1 in their last 5 home games against a right-handed starter.

I am taking a shot with the Mets in this one however my stronger play is on the total. Jacob deGrom has limited the Nationals to only eight runs (seven earned) in 28.1 innings with a 3-1 record this season, and now features a 2.75 career ERA against Washington, so I am confident backing him. Also, the Nationals are only averaging 3.5 runs over their last ten games, so the Mets have a shot in this one with their ace on the hill.

Pick: New York Mets

Scherzer has shut down the Mets bats throughout his career, and deGrom has been able to silence the Nationals this season. Scherzer owns a dazzling 2.27 career ERA against the Mets and he features a dominant 1.84 ERA on the road this season, plus the under is 19-7-4 in the Nationals last 30 road games. Jacob deGrom has pitched well in all four starts against the Nationals this season, and they are only hitting a combined .207 against him, plus the under is 4-0 in deGrom’s last 4 home starts against the Nationals.

Pick: Under


Adam Rauzino

Adam has been a sports fanatic his entire life, closely following hockey, baseball, basketball and football. Adam enjoys analyzing various stats, as well as studying Sabermetrics and analytics to take his picks to a whole new level. Adam has a passion for writing about about various sports as well as personal finance. He graduated with a diploma in business marketing and business finance.


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