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Phillies vs. Braves,
9-24-2017 - Expert Prediction

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#953 Philadelphia
Phillies
#954 Atlanta
Braves

Sunday, September 24, 2017 at 1:35pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Philadelphia Phillies

-

W's
L's
0
ERA
0
WHIP

Atlanta Braves

-

W's
L's
0
ERA
0
WHIP

Betting Trends

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Philadelphia Phillies (61-93; 68-72-14 O/U) vs. Atlanta Braves (69-83; 77-70-5 O/U)

MLB: Sunday, September 24, 2017 at 1:35pm EST

Line: Atlanta -131/Philadelphia +121

Total: 9.5

The Atlanta Braves will battle the Philadelphia Phillies in the series finale Sunday afternoon from SunTrust Park. The Phillies will give the nod to 24-year old right-hander Nick Pivetta, and 21-year old left-hander Luiz Gohara will take the mound for the Braves. The Phillies lead the season series 12-5.

Pivetta Strikes Out Eight in Win Over Dodgers

Nick Pivetta will get the nod for the 25th time of the year, targeting his second straight win. Pivetta came through with a much-needed strong start last time out, holding the Dodgers to only two runs in six innings and earned the win to bring his record to 6-10. The rookie right-hander is having a rough go in his first taste of the Big Leagues, posting a 6.57 ERA and a 1.54 WHIP in 122 innings logged. He allowed three runs in five innings in his first start against the Braves, and followed that up by tossing six innings of one run ball in a 7-6 Phillies win in the second meeting. Pivetta has tallied 129 strikeouts on the season. Rhys Hoskins is at it again, collecting another six RBI’s in his last four games. The 24-year old rookie left-fielder has taken the Majors by storm, posting a .285 average with 18 home runs and 45 RBI’s in 42 games. Hoskins has notched a hit in 4 of 16 at bats with one RBI against the Braves this season.

The Phillies are now averaging 4.24 runs per game, ranking them 26th in the Majors, and are hitting .250 as a team. The Philadelphia pitching owns a 4.65 team ERA, positioning them 22nd in the Major Leagues.

Gohara Allows 11 Hits in Loss to Nationals

Luiz Gohara will make his fourth start of the season, aiming for his second victory. Gohara allowed four runs on 11 hits in 6.1 innings against the Nationals last time out, and was charged with the loss. The rookie left-hander did hold the Nationals to one earned run in a six inning performance in his second start, but was roughed up in his Major League debut. He has conceded a total of 12 runs (11 earned) in 16.1 innings pitched with the Braves. Gohara posted a stifling 2.62 ERA in the Minor Leagues this year. Freddie Freeman is finishing his season off strong, sporting a .312 average with 14 RBI’s this month. The 28-year old first baseman is having another fantastic season, currently hitting .314 with 28 home runs and 71 RBI’s. Freeman has belted four homers with six RBI’s against the Phillies this season.

The Braves are scoring an average of 4.57 runs per game, ranking them 20th in the Majors, and are hitting .263 as a team. The Atlanta pitching is carrying a 4.78 team ERA, positioning them 25th in the Major Leagues.

Trends:

The Philadelphia Phillies are:

  • over is 4-1 in Pivetta’s last 5 starts on five days of rest.
  • over is 6-2 in their last 8 road games against a team with a losing home record.
  • over is 6-1 in Pivetta’s last 7 starts against the NL East.

The Atlanta Braves are:

  • No Key Trends

I am taking the over in this matchup. Pivetta has been very unreliable this season, and owns a terrible 8.85 ERA over his last nine starts, plus his ERA on the road is now at 7.29. In addition, Gohara is also having trouble on the mound, conceding 11 runs on 21 hits in his 16.1 innings pitched this season, and the Phillies are swinging the bats well, so both clubs should have a strong afternoon at the plate.

Pick: Over 9.5

Adam Rauzino

Adam has been a sports fanatic his entire life, closely following hockey, baseball, basketball and football. Adam enjoys analyzing various stats, as well as studying Sabermetrics and analytics to take his picks to a whole new level. Adam has a passion for writing about about various sports as well as personal finance. He graduated with a diploma in business marketing and business finance.

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