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Rockies vs. Padres,
9-24-2017 - Pick and Prediction

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#963 Colorado
Rockies
#964 San Diego
Padres

Sunday, September 24, 2017 at 4:40pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Colorado Rockies

-

W's
L's
0
ERA
0
WHIP

San Diego Padres

-

W's
L's
0
ERA
0
WHIP

Betting Trends

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Colorado Rockies (83-71 SU, 78-76 RL, 62-85-7 O/U) vs San Diego Padres (69-85 SU, 83-71 RL, 76-70-8 O/U)

When: 4:40 PM EDT, Sunday, September 24, 2017

Where: Petco Park in San Diego, California

Lines: Colorado -122/ San Diego +112

Total: 8.5

MLB action within the National League West this afternoon and the Colorado Rockies will duke it out with the San Diego Padres at Petco Park in San Diego, California in game four of their four-game series. Pitching Probables: The Rockies will send out German Marquez (10-7, 4.41 ERA) and the Padres will counter with Luis Perdomo (8-10, 4.57 ERA).

Rockies Grab Much-Needed Win In Game Two

The Colorado Rockies had been struggling as they came into their game with the Padres having lost their last four games in a row and they had scored just six runs in the four games. Well, on Friday night they got one back by beating the Padres by a score of 4-1 to maintain their 1.5 game lead over the St Louis Cardinals in the race for the 2nd wildcard slot in the National League. Coming up with a huge start for the Rockies was Jon Gray, who allowed just one ER on five hits in 6.0 innings of work. He is now 9-4 with a 3.62 ERA on the year. The offense still has to be a concern for this team as they have now scored just 10 runs in their last five games, after scoring 22 runs in their previous two games. The Rockies have gone 40-39 on the road for the year and they have averaged 4.15 rpg and have allowed 4.26 rpg in those games. Toeing the rubber for the Rockies in this one will be German Marquez and he has gone 10-7 with a 4.41 ERA in 27 starts on the year, including 0–1 with a 5.93 ERA in his last three starts and 4-4 with a 4.23 ERA in 15 starts on the road. Marquez has gone 11-8 with a 4.49 ERA in 30 career starts overall and 4-2 with a 3.24 ERA in 12 career day starts, while against the Padres he has gone 1-1 with a 7.20 ERA in four games (two starts), including 0-1 with an 11.05 ERA in two games (one start) here at Petco Park.

Colorado has been strong on offense this year so far as they come in ranked 6th in the league in scoring, putting up 5.04 rpg, while also ranking 2nd in hitting at .271 and 23rd in homers with 181. On the mound they have been a bit below average so far as they come in ranked 16th in the league in ERA at 4.52, while also ranking 18th in WHIP at 1.38.

Padres Can’t Figure Out Gray And Company

The San Diego Padres have been one of the worst offensive teams in the league again this year and that offense struggles even more at home. They did beat the Rockies in game one of this series, but also scored just three runs in that game. On Saturday, they fell by a score of 4-1 as their offense just failed to show up for the game. They were able to muster just seven hits and one walk in the game while striking out 11 times. That is the kind of offense that this team has been getting much this year and the last few years for that matter. They really need to get better offensive players or they will continue to not be a part of the postseason discussion. San Diego has gone 42-37 here at home for the year and they have averaged 3.74 rpg and have allowed 4.22 rpg in those games. The Padres will send out Luis Perdomo in this one and he has gone 8-10 with a 4.57 ERA in 27 starts on the year, including 1-2 with a 3.63 ERA in his last three starts and 6-4 with a 4.59 ERA in 15 starts here at home. Perdomo is 16-19 with a 4.69 ERA in 47 career starts overall and 5-8 with a 4.64 ERA in 22 games (17 starts) in the daytime in his career, plus he is 10-9 with a 5.29 ERA in 30 games (23 starts) here at Petco, while against the Rockies he has gone 0-3 with a 6.58 ERA in six games (four starts).  

The Padres have not been a good offensive team so far as they come in ranked 30th in the league in scoring, putting up 3.79 rpg, while also ranking 30th in hitting at .233 and 22nd in homers with 182. On the mound, they have been a bit below average so far as they come in ranked 18th in the league in ERA at 4.57, while also ranking 14th in WHIP at 1.36.

Trends

Colorado is:

  • The Under is 21-8-1 in their last 30 games vs. a right-handed starter
  • The Under is 10-2 in Marquez’s last 12 starts on grass

San Diego is:

  • The Under is 6-1 in Padres last seven home games vs. a team with a winning record
  • The Under is 10-1 in Perdomo’s last 11 starts with five days of rest

This is a very important series for the Rockies as they look to fend off a charge from the Cardinals and Brewers for the 2nd wildcard slot in the National League. They have an advantage on the mound, but I will be looking at the total in this one. This is a pitcher’s park and both teams have struggled at the plate of late, especially the Rockies as they have scored just 10 runs in their last five games. The Padres have averaged just 3.74 rpg here at home and I just don’t see either offense breaking out in this game which should give us a nice easy win on the Under, especially since the Under is 4-1 the last five games in this series.  

Pick: Under 8.5

David Hess (@DavidHess311)

I have always had a fascination with numbers and sports, so I combined the two to become a handicapper and a blogger. I love sports and I love writing about them and all the info I put in my blogs is well-thought-out and well-researched. I am a big fan of all the major sports and the colleges, plus I know golf pretty well, tennis and the WNBA. I am very versatile. Hope you enjoy my content.

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