The Washington Nationals will host the Miami Marlins as the NL East foes open a three game series Monday night from Nationals Park. The Marlins will give the starting nod to 23-year old right-hander Sandy Alcantara, and the Nationals will send 30-year old right-hander Stephen Strasburg to the mound. The Nationals own a 10-6 lead in the season-series.
Alcantara Walks Six Batters in First Career Loss
Sandy Alcantara will make his fifth start of the season, aiming for his third victory. Alcantara just battled the Nationals in his previous start and he struggled with his command, allowing three runs on six walks in four innings against the Nationals, leading to the loss. The rookie right-hander was outstanding in his first three starts which included seven shutout innings against the Phillies, and he features a terrific 2.35 ERA and a 1.30 WHIP to go with a 2-1 record in 23 innings pitched on the season. Alcantara has now walked 16 batters over his four starts.
J.T. Realmuto has done big damage against the Nationals this year, belting four home runs along with 13 RBI’s in 66 at bats. The 27-year old catcher has been the Marlins best hitter this season, and he is currently hitting .284 with 21 home runs and 73 RBI’s on the season. Realmuto has driven in six runs on the month. The Marlins are currently averaging a Major League-low 3.67 runs per game. The Miami pitching staff owns a weak 4.79 team ERA, pegging them 26th in the Majors.
Strasburg Fans 11 Marlins Batters in Second Straight Win
Stephen Strasburg will take the mound for the 21st time of the season, aiming for his third straight win. Strasburg just saw the Marlins in his latest effort and he was solid, holding them to two runs in six innings, leading to the victory to improve his record to 9-7. The ninth-year right-hander has allowed two or fewer earned runs in four consecutive starts, and he features a 3.83 ERA and a 1.18 WHIP in 120 innings of work on the year. Strasburg has held Miami to only two runs with a 2-0 record in 11 innings this season, and he features a 17-7 record with a 3.04 ERA in 30 career starts against the division rivals.
Juan Soto is having a productive season against the Marlins pitching, driving in 10 runs in 60 at bats. The 19-year old left fielder is battling with Ronald Acuna Jr. of the Braves for NL Rookie of the Year, and he is currently hitting .293 with 20 homers and 65 RBI’s. Soto continues to excel at the plate, belting four homers with nine RBI’s in his last 11 games. The Nationals rank 10th in the big leagues with an average of 4.68 runs per game. The Washington pitching staff is carrying a 3.98 team ERA, pegging them 14th in the Majors.
The Washington Nationals are:
- 10-1 in Strasburg’s last 11 home starts against the Marlins.
- 4-0 in Strasburg’s last 4 Monday starts.
- 19-7 in their last 26 games against the Marlins.
The Miami Marlins are:
- 16-39 in their last 55 games in Washington.
- 9-21 in their last 30 games against a team with a winning record.
- 4-14 in their last 18 games in the first game of a series.
The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.
Full-Game Side Bet
I am taking the Nationals on the run line (-1.5) in this contest. The Marlins have dropped nine out of their last 10 road games, and they will be up against Stephen Strasburg in this road matchup. Strasburg has led the Nationals to a win in five out of his last six starts, and he features a stifling 2.55 ERA over his last four starts. The Nationals’ last five wins have come by at least two runs, giving me confidence they can win this one by a few runs as well.
Prediction: Washington Nationals -1.5
Full-Game Total Pick
The over is worth a look in this contest. The Marlins have fared well against the Nationals this season, averaging 4.9 runs in 16 games this season, and the over is 10-3-1 in their last 14 road games. In addition, the Nationals are averaging a sizzling 6.1 runs against the Marlins this season, and the over is 5-0 in their last five home games against the Marlins.
Prediction: Over 7.5
Full-Game Prop Bet
I am taking the over on the Nationals team total. The Marlins pitching staff owns an abysmal 7.65 ERA in their seven games at Nationals Park this season. Washington is averaging over six runs against Miami this season, and I expect another productive night at the plate.
Prediction: Nationals Team Total: Over 4.5
First Five Innings Side Pick
I am staying with the Nationals on the five inning line. Strasburg has held the Marlins to a total of only two runs with a 2-0 record in two starts this season. In addition, the Nationals were able to score three runs in four innings against Marlins’ starter Sandy Alcantara last week.
Prediction: Washington Nationals -1.5
First Five Innings Total Bet
The under on the five inning total is worth a look. While I do anticipate some offense from the Nationals, Sandy Alcantara has pitched well for the most part, posting a 2.35 ERA in his 23 innings of work. Stephen Strasburg has been very steady as of late as well. I expect a majority of the scoring two occur in the second half of this one.
Prediction: Under 4
First Five Innings Prop Prediction
I am expect a scoreless first frame. Strasburg’s best inning occurs in the first inning where he features a stifling 2.70 ERA. In addition, while a small sample size, Sandy Alacantra has not allowed a run in his four innings pitched in the first inning this year.
Prediction: A Run in the First Inning: No -125