Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#2903 Pittsburgh Pirates vs.
#2904 Philadelphia Phillies
Friday, September 24, 2021 at 7:05pm EDT
Written by Blake V.

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Philadelphia will be looking to extend its three-game winning streak when it hosts Pittsburgh on Friday night. The Pirates have been one of the worst teams in the MLB this year, but they have been competitive in the month of September. Philadelphia has now won its last three games and seven of its last nine games.

Reynolds leads Pirates

Pittsburgh has only lost consecutive games once since Sept. 5, so it will be looking to avoid that result on Friday night. The Pirates took two out of three against Miami last weekend before splitting what turned into a two-game series at Cincinnati earlier this week. They had Wednesday’s game postponed before losing Thursday’s series opener. Pittsburgh is in last place in the National League Central, sitting 33.5 games behind the Brewers. The Pirates have the second-worst record in the NL. Their offense ranks No. 24 with a team batting average of .235.

Left fielder Bryan Reynolds has been a bright spot during a rough season, leading the team with 155 hits. He has also hit a team-best 24 home runs and has driven in 88 runs. Reynolds is the piece that Pittsburgh is going to build around moving forward. Second baseman Adam Frazier was the team’s leading hitter before he was traded in July. Shortstop Kevin Newman has added 108 hits. They will be facing a Philadelphia pitching staff that is No. 20 with a team ERA of 4.41. Pittsburgh has not announced its starting pitcher for this game.

Gibson trying to pick up a win

Philadelphia is trying to stay in the playoff race down the stretch. The Phillies have won seven of their last nine games, including each of their last three. They took two out of three against the Mets last weekend and then did the same against Baltimore earlier this week. Philadelphia added to those wins with a 12-6 victory over Pittsburgh on Thursday. The Pirates jumped out to a 6-0 lead by the third inning before giving up five runs in the bottom of the third. Philadelphia went on to score seven more runs down the stretch. The Phillies are just 2.5 games back of Atlanta in the NL East standings.

Their offense ranks No. 15 with a team batting average of .241. Shortstop Jean Segura leads the team with 146 hits and a .297 average. Right fielder Bryce Harper has 143 hits, including a team-best 33 home runs. Catcher J.T. Realmuto has added 121 base knocks. They are going to face a Pittsburgh pitching staff that is No. 28 with a team ERA of 5.02. Right-handed pitcher Kyle Gibson is going to start on Friday. He allowed three runs across 6.2 innings against the Mets in his last outing. Gibson has lost three of his last four starts, but that was his best outing during that stretch.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

Insiders Status:


Philadelphia is a hefty favorite in this game, but I don’t see a way it loses this game. The Phillies are closing in on Atlanta in the NL East standings and have to take care of business against a bad team. Gibson is coming off a strong outing against the Mets and should not have a ton of issues against a bad lineup. Pittsburgh does not have anything to play for, so there is a huge motivational mismatch in this game. The Pirates do not have a starting pitcher lined up for this game, so they will rely on a bad bullpen.

Prediction: Philadelphia -1.5

Full-Game Total Pick

Insiders Status:


I can’t trust Pittsburgh’s pitching staff to keep this game under the total of 8.5. The Pirates have gone over the total in eight of their last 10 road games, which is largely due to their bad pitching. They do not have a starting arm lined up for this contest and their bullpen has been awful all year. The over has hit in seven of their last nine road games against a right-handed starter. Philadelphia has gone over in five of its last seven games vs. a team from the NL Central. The Phillies have a motivated lineup taking the field on Friday.

Prediction: Over 8.5

Written By Blake Von Hagen , "Blake V."

Blake is a lifelong sports fan and hoops junkie. Prior to joining our team at Winners & Whiners and StatSalt, Blake worked for several newspapers and websites. He enjoys combining his beat writing expertise with the knack for finding the winning edge in a matchup. Blake is also an avid sports being expert and you would not be disappointed in following him on a daily basis. Remember, it’s a marathon, not a sprint.