Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#2911 San Francisco Giants vs.
#2912 Colorado Rockies
Friday, September 24, 2021 at 8:10pm EDT
Written by Nick Raffoul

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The San Francisco Giants will head to Coors Field on Friday evening for the opening game of their National League West series showdown against the Colorado Rockies.

The Giants continue to fend off the Los Angeles Dodgers for the top spot in the NL West standings. San Francisco enters with the best record in baseball at 99-54 but it has been good enough for a slim one-game lead over L.A. in the division standings. Meanwhile, Colorado is trying to finish the season strong after losing two of three at home against the Los Angeles Dodgers.

Can the Giants take down Colorado on the road at Coors Field on Friday night?

Wood looking to build off strong start vs. Atlanta

San Francisco is expected to hand the ball to lefty Alex Wood for its series opener at Coors Field on Friday. The 30-year-old enters with a 10-4 overall record to go along with a 3.99 ERA in 24 starts and he’s allowed two earned runs or fewer in each of his last four starts. Wood is fresh off of returning from the injured list with three scoreless frames in a no-decision against the Atlanta Braves last weekend.

While Wood has posted similar home/road splits, he has had a lot more success in the win column at Oracle Park. The Giants’ left-hander is 7-2 with a 3.86 ERA in 14 home starts compared to just 3-2 with a 4.18 ERA in 10 road appearances.

In his first season in San Francisco, Wood has posted solid peripherals on the mound, striking out 9.72 batters and walking just 2.73 batters per nine innings of work. He’s also generating swings and misses at an impressive 12.4 percent clip, the second-highest mark of his career.

In six career appearances (two starts) against Milwaukee, Wood is 3-0 with a sparkling 1.65 ERA. According to Baseball Savant, current Rockies are batting .274 in 123 plate appearances off of the Giants’ southpaw heading into Friday’s contest.

Lambert set for first MLB start in 735 days

Right-hander Peter Lambert is scheduled to come off of the 80-day injured list to make his season debut for the Rockies on Friday night. The 24-year-old owns a career 3-7 overall record and a 7.25 ERA in 19 MLB starts, all of which came in the 2019 season. It will be 735 days between MLB starts for Lambert, who will be making his return from Tommy John surgery. Lambert made seven minor league starts and flashed improvement as he moved up into the Double-A and Triple-A levels. While Lambert has pitched in seven minor league games this season, he’s worked a combined 16 innings, so don’t expect the Rockies to lean on him for much longer than an inning or two in this game.

In 2019, Lambert went 3-7 with a 7.25 ERA in 19 starts as a rookie. He fanned just 5,74 batters and walked 3.63 batters per nine innings of work. Lambert also struggled with the long ball, giving up 1.81 home runs per nine, which helped inflate his ERA.

Lambert has made two career starts against the Giants, going 0-0 with a 4.50 ERA in those contests. According to Baseball Savant, current Giants are batting .263 in 43 plate appearances off of the Rockies’ right-hander heading into Friday’s start.

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It’s hard not to like the Giants in this game. This will likely turn into a bullpen game for the Rockies, who just went extra innings in two of their last three games against the Dodgers. Colorado will be starting a pitcher in Lambert, who hasn’t pitched in the big leagues in almost two seasons and hasn’t ramped up his stamina yet to go the distance as a starter. Meanwhile, Wood is pitching to solidify his spot in the Giants’ postseason rotation and help San Francisco clinch the pennant. Take the Giants to cover the run line at home in this spot on Friday evening.

Prediction: San Francisco Giants -1.5

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This game has some high-scoring potential. Colorado’s bullpen has been taxed over the last few games and they will be asked to carry the load once again with Lambert making his first start in nearly two years. Meanwhile, Colorado has been trending up at the plate as of late, scoring at least five runs in seven of its previous 11 contests. Given that this is just his second appearance since coming off of the injured list, Wood also carries some added uncertainty with him into this game. Take this matchup to go over the projected total in Colorado on Friday.

Prediction: Over
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Written By Nick Raffoul , "Nick Raffoul"

Shortly after graduating with an Honors in Business Administration, Nick turned his attention from traditional stocks and bonds to investing in the performance of sports teams. He has been a very successful sports bettor over the years and has now brought his talents to us here at Winners & Whiners. Nick uses a combination of advanced stats and historical data to create sports investment models to identify value and generate consistent profits. Let Nick win for you.