Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#2927 Seattle Mariners vs.
#2928 Los Angeles Angels
Friday, September 24, 2021 at 9:38pm EDT
Written by Chris Kubala

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A pair of AL West rivals open up a weekend series on the diamond in the City of Angels. The Seattle Mariners are on the road as they kick off a three-game series with the Los Angeles Angels Friday night. Seattle closed a four-game series on the road against the A’s Thursday afternoon looking for a sweep. The Mariners earned a 4-1 victory Wednesday night in the third game of the series. Los Angeles finished a four-game set at home against the Astros Thursday night hoping to avoid a sweep. The Angels were beaten 9-5 in 12 innings Wednesday night in the third game of the series. This article was published prior to the conclusion of either team’s contests on Thursday.

Seattle Mariners Trying to Gain Ground in AL Wild Card Race

Seattle won their fourth straight game Wednesday night as they beat the A’s again, giving them a shot at the sweep Thursday. The Mariners entered Thursday second in the AL West, eight games behind the Astros for the division lead. In the wild card picture, the team was 2.5 games behind the Yankees for the second wild card spot. On Wednesday, Seattle got three hits from Kyle Seager (run, RBI) while Ty France (two runs, RBI) and Tom Murphy (RBI) each added a pair. Seager (his 35th) and France (his 17th) each homered in the contest for the Mariners. Chris Flexen (13-6) earned the win as he threw seven innings, allowing one run on three hits with two walks and eight strikeouts. Drew Steckenrider allowed a hit with no walks and one strikeout in the ninth for his 11th save of the year.

Logan Gilbert is on the hill as he makes his 23rd start of the season for the Mariners in this contest. He comes in 6-5 with a 4.74 ERA, a 1.172 WHIP, 23 walks and 120 strikeouts over 108.1 innings of work this year. Gilbert picked up the win in his last start, which came on the road against the Royals Sunday. He threw seven innings, allowing one run on three hits with one walk and five strikeouts in a 7-1 Mariners victory. On the road this season, Gilbert is 5-2 with a 4.53 ERA, a 1.148 WHIP, 15 walks and 56 strikeouts over 49.2 innings in 10 starts. Gilbert makes his third career start against the Angels in this contest. He comes in 2-0 with a 2.61 ERA, a 1.161 WHIP, six walks and 16 strikeouts over 10.1 innings of work against them. Both of Gilbert’s starts against the Angels have come at Angel Stadium of Anaheim, giving him experience at the park.

Los Angeles Angels Looking to Play Spoiler

Los Angeles suffered their sixth straight loss as they were knocked off by the Astros in extra innings Wednesday night. The Angels entered Thursday fourth in the AL West, 19 games behind the Astros for the division lead. They have been eliminated from playoff contention. On Wednesday, Luis Rengifo (run, RBI), Phil Gosselin (run) and Jared Walsh (run) each had two hits in the loss. Janson Junk didn’t factor in the decision as he threw four innings, allowing three runs on four hits with one walk and one strikeout. Sam Selman (0-1), the eighth Angels pitcher, took the loss in relief as he allowed four runs (three earned) on four hits with one walk and one strikeout in two-thirds of an inning.

Jose Suarez takes the ball for his 22nd appearance and 13th start of the season for the Angels in this contest. He comes in 7-8 with a 3.67 ERA, a 1.245 WHIP, 33 walks and 79 strikeouts over 88.1 innings of work this season. Suarez took the loss in his last start, which came at home against the A’s Saturday. He threw 5.2 innings, allowing three runs on six hits with two walks and three strikeouts in a 3-1 Angels defeat. At home this season, Suarez is 1-4 with a 4.34 ERA, a 1.393 WHIP, 14 walks and 32 strikeouts over 37.1 innings in nine appearances, six starts. Suarez makes his sixth career appearance and fifth start against the Mariners in this one. He comes in 2-1 with a 4.03 ERA, a 1.388 WHIP, nine walks and 24 strikeouts over 22.1 innings of work against them. Suarez is 1-8 with a 5.88 ERA, a 1.467 WHIP, 29 walks and 67 strikeouts over 75 innings in 18 career appearances, 14 starts, at Angel Stadium in his career.

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These two teams have diverged in the last couple of weeks as the Mariners have leapfrogged Oakland to move into second place in the AL West race and keeping pace in the AL wild-card race. Los Angeles has lost six straight to almost ensure another losing season. Suarez has pitched better than his FIP ERA (4.07) this season but he’s been roughed up at Angel Stadium in his career. Gilbert beat the Angels in his two career starts against them, both of which came here. The Mariners have momentum and they know that wins are critical if they hope to leapfrog their way into a wild card spot. Seattle is playing well right now and that gives them the advantage in this contest as they take the series opener.

Prediction: Seattle Mariners -120

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The Mariners are just 23rd in the majors offensively as they put up an average of 4.26 runs per game on the season. That number actually improves on the road as they average 4.55 runs per contest as the visiting team, which is 15th in the majors. Gilbert has seen an average of 9.9 runs per game in his last 10 starts with the over posting a 7-3 mark in that stretch. Suarez has been in some low-scoring affairs with an average total of 5.29 runs per game in his last seven starts, with the under hitting in six of those. In Gilbert’s two starts against the Angels here, we’ve seen totals of 14 and 11 runs. Based on that, look for the over to come in for this contest.

Prediction: Over 8
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Written By Chris Kubala , "Chris Kubala"

Chris Kubala has been immersed in the world of professional and collegiate sports for more than three decades. Whether it's playing pickup games or being involved in organized sports to being a fan, he's checked all the boxes. From the NFL to arena football, the NHL to the KHL, the NBA to the WNBA to college hoops, and even MLB to the KBO.  If it's out there, he's covered it and bet on it as well. as Chris has been an expert bettor in his career.  Before joining Winners and Whiners back in 2015, his work appeared around the internet and in print. He's written books for Ruckus Books about college basketball, the NBA, NFL, MLB, NHL, golf, and the World Cup. If you're looking for the inside track on hitting a winner, do yourself a favor and read what Chris has to say.