Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#4915 Boston Red Sox vs.
#4916 New York Yankees
Saturday, September 24, 2022 at 1:05pm EDT
Written by Mason Folz

This article covers a past game!

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This Saturday, the (72-77) Boston Red Sox and the (91-58) New York Yankees will play the third game of this four-game series. The first pitch will be thrown out at 1:05 PM EST inside Yankee Stadium. The last time these two teams matched up, the Yankees swept the Red Sox in a short two-game series. New York also took game one of this series.

The Boston Red Sox are coming into this one after splitting a two-game series with the Cincinnati Reds. The Red Sox looked great in game one, but they struggled at the plate in the final game. They could only score one run, as they will need their bats to heat up in this one.

The New York Yankees are entering this one after winning their two-game series against the Pittsburgh Pirates. The Yankee's bats were working, as they scored 23 combined runs in those two games. They will need their bats to stay hot if they want to defend Yankee Stadium in this one.

Looking for my Best Bet?

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Can the Red Sox Pull it Together?

The Boston Red Sox are currently 5-5 in their last 1o games, as their average play has kept them from moving up in the AL Wild Card standings. They are still 10.0 games back from the Seattle Mariners and they are still in dead last place in the AL East. They trail the first-place New York Yankees by 19.0 games.

At the plate, the Red Sox are scoring 4.60 runs per game and hitting .259 as a team. This is the eighth most runs scored per game and the fourth-highest overall team batting average. They have shown that they can consistently reach base and drive in men with scoring position, but they have dealt with a ton of injuries this season. They are currently without Trevor Story. The Red Sox have also realized that they don't have as much home run power as they originally thought. Boston is only averaging .96 home runs per game, which is the 21st most in the MLB. I would watch for Rafael Devers in this one, as he leads the team with 27 home runs. I would also expect the Red Sox to stay conservative once they have reached base safely. They have only stolen 51 bases this season, which is the 26th most in the league.

According to MLB.com, the Red Sox will be starting Nick Pivetta on the mound in this one. He is currently 10-11 with a 4.35 ERA and a 1.34 WHIP. In his last start, he pitched for 5.0 innings, but he gave up seven hits and three earned runs to the Royals. Pivetta has also had issues on the road this season, as he is 5-5 with a 3.84 ERA. The Red Sox bullpen has also been up and down this season, as they are allowing the 25th least amount of runs per game. As a team, Boston is surrendering 4.85 runs per game, which is the 24th least in the MLB.

Can the Yankees Finish Strong?

The New York Yankees currently sit as the second seed in the AL playoffs, as they have fallen behind the Houston Astros. They are also still leading the AL East, as they have a 7.5-game cushion between them and the Blue Jays. New York is also 8-2 in their last 10, as their strong play has kept them out of the Wild Card race.

At the plate, the Yankees are scoring 5.08 runs per game and they are hitting .242 as a team. This is the second most runs scored per game, but only the 17th highest overall team batting average. They have had issues consistently reaching base safely, but luckily they have enough power to make up for their lack of contact over the past few weeks. New York is averaging 1.61 bombs per game, which is the most in the MLB. I would recommend watching for Aaron Judge at the plate, as he is closing in on the home run record. He also leads the team with 60 home runs hit this season. I would expect the Yankees to stay aggressive once they have reached base safely, as well. They have already taken 94 bases this season, which is the seventh most.

According to MLB.com, Domingo Germán will be getting the start in this one. He is 2-3 on the season with a 3.12 ERA and a 1.14 WHIP. The last time that he was on the mound, he pitched for 1.2 innings and gave up one hit. He was injured in that game and will be looking to bounce back in this one. German is also 2-0 at home this season with a 3.52 ERA. The Yankees bullpen has also gotten the job done, as they are currently allowing the third least amount of runs per game. As a team, New York is surrendering 3.58 runs per game, which is the third least.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

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I will be hammering the Yankee's money line in this matchup with the Red Sox. They got the job done in extra innings on Thursday night and I see them carrying that momentum through this series. New York is also heating up at the plate, as they are scoring the second most runs per game and they are averaging the most home runs. They can score multiple different ways and the Red Sox just aren't going to be able to stop it. The Red Sox will also start Nick Pivetta on the mound, as he has struggled on the road this season. He has a 5-5 record and I don't see him warming up in this game either. He will continue to give up runs and the Boston bullpen isn't good enough to come in and save them. I see the Yankees consistently scoring throughout this game and pulling away from the Red Sox. I also love the Domingo German is starting, as he is 2-0 at home this season. He will be able to silence the Red Sox bats for the majority of the game and then the New York bullpen will close it out. The Yankees have the hitting and pitching advantage in this one, as I see them showing up in game three.

Hammer the Yankees ML.

Prediction: New York Yankees -155

Full-Game Total Pick

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I will be riding with the over (8) runs in this matchup between the Yankees and the Red Sox. Boston looked good at the plate in game one and I see them getting to Domingo Germán in this game. German is coming back from injury and he will be a little rusty. The Red Sox will be able to string together some hits and do their part in pushing this total over the number. Now, I see the Yankees exploding at the dish and doing the majority of the scoring in this game. They are currently scoring the second most runs and they will be going up against Pivetta in this one. Pivetta has already surrendered 23 home runs this season, as he continues to leave the ball over the middle of the plate. The Yankees will take advantage and blast multiple balls out of the park. They are averaging 1.61 per game, as they have multiple guys that can change this game with one swing of the bat. Boston's pitching and bullpen aren't strong enough to keep the Yankees off the scoreboard. New York will score plenty of runs in this one and the score will go over (8) runs.

Hammer the over (8) runs and trust the Yankee's bats in this one.

Prediction: Over 8
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Written By Mason Folz , "Mason Folz"

Mason graduated from the University of Colorado, Boulder and he has been watching SportsCenter since before he could walk. He has been crunching numbers since he could learn to count and nothing makes Mason happier in this world than talking sports, unless he is on the golf course! We are very happy to have added Mason to our team at StatSalt and you will be glad as well. Let's win some money!