Chicago Cubs (86-68 SU, 66-88 RL, 72-75-7 O/U) vs St Louis Cardinals (81-73 SU, 75-79 RL, 78-68-8 O/U)
When: 8:15 PM EDT, Monday, September 25, 2017
Where: Busch Stadium in St Louis, Missouri
Lines: St Louis -124/ Chicago +114
Major League Baseball action on Monday even and a pair of National League Central foes will square off as the Chicago Cubs duke it out with the St Louis Cardinals at Busch Stadium in St Louis, Missouri in game one of their four-game series. The Cubs lead the season series 11-4. Pitching Probables: Jon Lester (11-8, 4.56 ERA) gets the nod for the Cubs in this one and he will be opposed by Luke Weaver (7-1, 2.05 ERA).
Wade Davis Blows It Against Milwaukee
The Chicago Cubs have been playing really well, but they did suffer a bad loss against the Brewers on Saturday. The Cubs had a 2-1 lead in that game, but Wade Davis blew the save as he allowed the Brewers to tie the game in the bottom of the 9th. The Cubs took a lead in the top of the 10, but Davis did it again when he allowed two runs in the bottom of the inning, which gave the Brewers a much-needed win and the Cubs a very tough loss. It was his first blown save of the year and he is now 4-2 with a 2.38 ERA on the season so far. The Cubs are still 9-1 in their last 10 games and they still have a 4.5 game lead over the Brewers in the division. They should walk away with the division again, even though this is the start of four games in St Louis. The Cubs have gone 40-36 and have averaged 4.70 rpg and have allowed 4.13 rpg in those games. Jon Lester gets the nod for the Cubs in this one and he has gone 11-8 with a 4.56 ERA in 30 starts on the year, including 2-1 with a 5.51 ERA in his last three starts and 5-5 with a 4.64 ERA in 13 starts on the road. Lester has gone 35-15 with a 3.06 ERA in 61 games (60 starts) during Sept/ Oct, while against the Cardinals in his career he has gone 4-4 with a 2.36 ERA in 13 starts, including 2-1 with a 1.65 ERA in five starts here at Busch Stadium.
The Cubs have been a good offensive team so far as they come in ranked 5th in the league in scoring, putting up 5.05 rpg, while also ranking 16th in hitting at .256 and 10th in homers with 212. On the mound, they have been solid so far as they come in ranked 10th in the league in ERA at 4.05, while also ranking 10th in WHIP at 1.29.
Lynn Gets Roughed Up In The Steel City
The St Louis Cardinals are five game out of first in the division, so winning the Central may be a bit out of reach, unless they are able to sweep the Cubs, which will be hard to do as they have lost eight of their last nine games to Chicago this year. The Cards still have a shot at a wildcard berth as they are just 1.5 games behind the Rockies for the 2nd wildcard slot in the National League. The had a nice four game winning streak going, but fell to the Pirates by a score of 11-6 on Saturday. Lance Lynn got the start in the game but he didn’t last very long at all as he allowed eight ERs on six hits and two walks in just two-thirds of an inning. It was his worst start of the year and he has now gone 11-8 with a 3.47 ERA on the year. The offense for the Cards has been hot as they have averaged 7.0 rpg in their last five games and they will need that offense to show up in this series as the Cubs have been hot on offense and will get their share of runs. St Louis has gone 42-32 here at home and have averaged 4.54 ERA and have allowed 3.92 rpg in those games. Toeing the rubber for the Cardinals in this one will be Luke Weaver and he has gone 7-1 with a 2.05 ERA in 11 games (eight starts) on the year, including 3-0 with a 1.08 ERA in his last three starts and 3-1 with a 1.35 ERA in six games (four starts) here at home. Weaver is 8-5 with a 3.24 ERA in 16 career starts overall and he is 4-1 with a 2.52 ERA in nine games (six starts) in his career here at Busch Stadium, while against the Cubs in his career he is 0-0 with a 4.50 ERA in one start.
The Cardinals have been a below average offensive team so far as they come in ranked 11th in the league in scoring, putting up 4.79 rpg, while also ranking 10th in hitting at .260 and 18th in homers with 186. On the mound, they have been solid as they come in ranked 7th in the league in ERA at 3.95 while also ranking 11th in WHIP at 1.29.
- 4-9 in their last 13 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15
- 2-7 in Lester’s last nine starts vs. a team with a winning record
St Louis is:
- 9-1 in their last 10 home games vs. a left-handed starter
- 30-12 in their last 42 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30
The Cubs can pretty much wrap up the division with a good showing in this series and they have been playing well of late as they have won nine of their last 10 games. Still, the Cardinals can get in through a wildcard and the Rockies have been struggling of late, so a good showing from them in this series would help them greatly in that respect. Luke Weaver has been dominant of late as he has gone 7-0 with a 1.69 ERA in his last seven starts. Jon Lester is 3-2 in his last seven starts, but with a 6.51 ERA in those games and the Cardinals have averaged 7.00 rpg in their last five games. I feel that this game means so much more for the Cards and they have a good edge on the mound, which should be enough to get the job done.