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Marlins vs. Rockies,
9-25-2017 - Pick and Prediction

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#909 Miami
Marlins
#910 Colorado
Rockies

Monday, September 25, 2017 at 8:40pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Miami Marlins

-

W's
L's
0
ERA
0
WHIP

Colorado Rockies

-

W's
L's
0
ERA
0
WHIP

Betting Trends

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Miami Marlins (73-81 SU, 78-76 RL, 80-63-11 O/U) vs Colorado Rockies (83-72 SU, 78-77 RL, 62-86-7 O/U)

When: 8:40 PM EDT, Monday, September 25, 2017

Where: Coors Field in Denver, Colorado

Lines: Colorado -165/ Miami +155

Total: 12

The National League East takes on the National League West tonight as the Miami Marlins invade Coors Field in Denver, Colorado to rumble with the Colorado Rockies in game one of their three-game series. Pitching Probables: Odrisamer Despaigne (0-3, 4.37 ERA) will get the call for the Marlins this evening and he will be opposed by Tyler Chatwood (8-13, 4.56 ERA).

The Marlins’ Offense Could Have Fun Here In Coors

The Miami Marlins have been having a ton of fun at the plate right now and they are heading to Coors Field, which means that they could be on the verge of having even more fun, The Marlins just beat the Diamondbacks on Saturday by a score of 12-6 and have now averaged 6.29 rpg in their last 14 games, including 10.00 rpg in their last five games. They have really needed their offense to play well as they have allowed 6.5 rpg in their last 12 games. This could be a very fun series as the Rockies hit well at home, but don’t pitch well. In the win over the Diamondbacks, Giancarlo Stanton had three hits and drove in four runs. One hit was a homer and he now has 57 on the year, which leads the league. Justin Bour also hit a homer in the game and it was the 4th game in a row that he hit one. Bour now has 25 on the year. The Marlins are 33-44 on the road and have averaged 5.06 rpg and have allowed 5.52 rpg in those games. Taking the hill for the Marlins in this one will be Odrisamer Despaigne and he has gone 0-3 with a 4.37 ERA in 16 games on the year overall, including 0-3 with a 4.60 ERA in six games as a starter and 0-1 with a 4.86 ERA in his last three starts. Odrisamer has gone 9-19 with a 4.45 ERA in for career starts overall and he is 2-0 with a 1.65 ERA in six games (two starts) against the Rockies in his career, including 1-0 with a 3.68 ERA in three games (one start) here at Coors Field.

The Marlins have been solid on offense this year as they come in ranked 12th in the league in scoring, putting up 4.77 rpg, while also ranking 4th in hitting at .266 and 17th in homers with 189. On the mound, they have been a bit below average so far as they come in ranked 25th in the league in ERA at 4.79, while also ranking 25th in WHIP at 1.43.

More Offensive Woes For Colorado

The Colorado Rockies are having series offensive woes at the moment as they have been blanked three times in their last four games after losing 5-0 to the Padres on Saturday. The Rockies have scored just 10 total runs in their last six games (prior to Sunday), but we also note that most of those games have been played on the road and in pitcher’s parks and now they are back home where their offense really clicks and they will be facing a Miami staff that has been rocked of late. The pitching has not been bad of late as they have allowed just 2.75 rpg over their last eight games, but again, five of those games were on the road and the other three were at home against the worst offense in the league. The Rockies’ lead in the wildcard race is down to just one game over the Brewers and 1.5 games over the Cardinals. Colorado is 43-32 here at home and have averaged 5.97 rpg and have allowed 5.19 rpg in those games. Tyler Chatwood gets the nod for the Rockies in this one and he has gone 8-13 with a 4.56 ERA in 31 games (24 starts) on the year, including 2-1 with a 2.16 ERA in his last three starts and 3-6 with a 5.85 ERA in 15 games (11 starts) here at home. Chatwood has gone 6-8 with a 4.59 ERA in 25 games (22 starts) in Sept/ Oct in his career and he is 17-18 with a 5.11 ERA in 51 games (43 starts) here at Coors in his career, while against the Marlins overall he has gone 0-1 with a 14.29 ERA in two starts.   

Colorado has been strong on offense this year so far as they come in ranked 8th in the league in scoring, putting up 5.01 rpg, while also ranking 2nd in hitting at .270 and 23rd in homers with 181. On the mound, they have been a bit below average so far as they come in ranked 16th in the league in ERA at 4.52, while also ranking 20th in WHIP at 1.38.

Trends

Miami is:

  • 5-1 in their last six vs. the National League West
  • 4-0 in the last five meetings

Colorado is:

  • 3-8 in their last 11 home games vs. a right-handed starter
  • 1-5 in their last six games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30

The Rockies really struggled on their recent road, especially on offense and they are hoping that coming home will help their offense get back on track. They have a very good shot at doing so against a Miami staff that has really struggled of late. The problem is that the Miami offense has been very strong of late and the Rockies don’t pitch well at home. The Marlins are playing well and the Rockies are struggling. ;plus Colorado is playing their first game back home off a road trip and have no rest in between. Colorado may be the better overall team and they have motivation in this game, but I look for the Marlins to steal game one.

Pick: Miami +155

The Colorado Rockies have really been struggling on offense of late as they have scored a total of 10 runs in their last six games (prior to Sunday). The problem with most of that is that it has been on the road where their offensive struggles have occurred and they have averaged a solid 5.97 rpg here at home. They will be taking on a Miami staff that has allowed 5.52 rpg on the road and 6.5 rpg in their last 12 games overall. The Rockies have pitched well of late, but they have allowed 5.19 rpg here at home and Miami has averaged 10.00 rpg in their last five games and 6.29 rpg in their last 14 games. I look for this one to be very high scoring.

Pick: Over 12

Confidence: 5

David Hess (@DavidHess311)

I have always had a fascination with numbers and sports, so I combined the two to become a handicapper and a blogger. I love sports and I love writing about them and all the info I put in my blogs is well-thought-out and well-researched. I am a big fan of all the major sports and the colleges, plus I know golf pretty well, tennis and the WNBA. I am very versatile. Hope you enjoy my content.

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