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Padres vs. Dodgers,
9-25-2017 - Pick and Prediction

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#913 San Diego
Padres
#914 Los Angeles
Dodgers

Monday, September 25, 2017 at 10:10pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

San Diego Padres

-

W's
L's
0
ERA
0
WHIP

Los Angeles Dodgers

-

W's
L's
0
ERA
0
WHIP

Betting Trends

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San Diego Padres (70-85 SU, 84-71 RL, 76-71-8 O/U) vs. Los Angeles Dodgers (98-57 SU, 76-79 RL, 75-75-5 O/U)

MLB: Monday, September 25, 2017, Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles, California, 10:10 pm ET

Lines: Los Angeles -270, San Diego +240; Over/Under: 8

The final week of the regular season pits a pair of NL West foes from the Golden State kicking off a set in the City of Angels. The San Diego Padres play the first of three against the Los Angeles Dodgers Monday night. San Diego closed out a four game set at home against the Padres looking for a series win Sunday: they won 5-0 Saturday. Los Angeles played the rubber game of their three game series at home against the Giants: they fell 2-1 in the middle game of the series Saturday. The Padres took three of four in the last series between the teams, which took place at Petco Park September 1-3.

San Diego Padres Look to Close Season on Positive Note

San Diego has done a good job trying to make life difficult for potential playoff teams down the stretch. The Rockies have been the latest team to feel their wrath as the Padres took two of the first three games of their series. Austin Hedges (run) led San Diego with three hits in the win while Wil Myers (run) and Cory Spangenberg (two runs) each added a pair. The Padres outhit the Rockies 12-5 in the contest and kept Colorado off the scoreboard. Jhoulys Chacin (13-10) picked up the win after allowing no runs on one hit with three walks and six strikeouts over six innings.

Travis Wood takes the mound for his 39th appearance and 14th start of the season here. This marks his 11th start since coming over from Kansas City in late July. Wood is 4-6 with a 6.55 ERA, a 1.724 WHIP, 41 walks and 63 strikeouts over 89.1 innings of work. He picked up the win in his last start, which came against the Diamondbacks at home Tuesday. Wood threw six innings, allowing two runs on three hits with two walks and three strikeouts in a 6-2 San Diego victory. He is 1-2 with a 14.81 ERA, a 2.23 WHIP, four walks and six strikeouts over 10.1 innings in his last three starts. Wood is 5-2 with a 4.23 ERA and a 1.461 WHIP over 11 appearances, five starts, totaling 38.1 innings, against the Dodgers in his career. He is 3-0 with a 1.13 ERA and a 1.25 WHIP over 16 innings in five appearances, two starts, at Dodger Stadium.

Los Angeles Dodgers Getting Ready for Postseason

Los Angeles is prepping for the postseason as they try to put a rough closing stretch of the season behind them. The Dodgers went into Sunday with just seven wins in their last 28 games after falling Saturday. Los Angeles finished with only six hits in the loss Saturday and didn’t push a run across until the eighth inning. Austin Barnes accounted for that tally as he hit a solo homer, his seventh of the year, leading off the eighth. Enrique Hernandez and Charlie Culberson each had doubles for the other extra base hits for the Dodgers. Hyun-Jin Ryu (5-8) took the loss after allowing one run on three hits with no walks and a strikeout over 2.1 innings. He left after being hit on the arm with a line drive.

Yu Darvish is projected to make his 31st start of the season overall and his ninth with the Dodgers. He is 9-12 overall with a 3.96 ERA, a 1.197 WHIP, 58 walks and 200 strikeouts over 179.2 innings of work. Darvish recorded a no-decision in his last start, which came Tuesday on the road against the Phillies. He threw 5.1 innings, allowing one run (none earned) on four hits with one walk and seven strikeouts in a game the Dodgers went on to lose 6-2. He is 0-1 with a 7.36 ERA, a 1.42 WHIP, four walks and 23 strikeouts over 18.1 innings of work in his last three starts. Darvish is 1-1 with a 5.29 ERA and a 1.529 WHIP over 17 innings in his three career starts against the Padres. He is 0-2 with a 6.46 ERA and a 1.63 WHIP over 15.1 innings in three career outings at Dodger Stadium.

Trends:

San Diego

  • Padres are 5-2 in their last 7 vs. National League West
  • Padres are 5-2 in their last 7 vs. a team with a winning record
  • Padres are 5-2 in their last 7 overall

Los Angeles

  • Dodgers are 3-12 in their last 15 vs. National League West

The Dodgers are clearly the better team on paper but they’ve really taken their foot off the gas over the past month. A .250 winning percentage over that span isn’t inspiring much in the way of good will from Dodger fans as they halcyon days of winning 44 of 51 are long forgotten. Darvish has scuffled since coming over at the trade deadline: the Dodgers need him to step up. San Diego took three of four from the Dodgers earlier this month: it wouldn’t be a surprise to see them steal one here.

Pick: San Diego Padres +240

Los Angeles has to hope they can find the switch to turn things back on as the regular season winds down this week. The Dodgers, who were the best team in baseball by a wide margin earlier this season, have seen the Indians and Astros, who are battling for the top record in the AL, climb within striking distance. Even the Nationals were only 4.5 games back entering Sunday. If Los Angeles falls short of their first championship since the Kirk Gibson/Orel Hershiser days of 1988, there will be plenty of angst in the City of Angels. San Diego is playing for pride and Andy Green’s team has shown grit and tenacity late in the season, holding their own against tough competition.

The over is 8-2-1 in the Padres last 11 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600, 4-0 in Wood’s last 4 starts during game 1 of a series and 4-0 in his last four starts on the road. Los Angeles has seen the over go 4-1 in their last five on Monday, 18-7-1 in their last 26 at home against teams with a losing record and 15-6 in their last 21 against NL West foes. The teams have combined to go over the total in five of their last six meetings: this one is more of the same.

Over 8

4

Chris Kubala

Christopher Kubala has been crunching stats and following sports for over 30 years. His in depth analysis and passion for sports have led him to writing books about sports, regularly being featured on sports talk radio and as the go-to person for any obscure trivia. He keeps an eye on transactions and statistics like a hawk, especially when it comes to football, both the NFL and college, the NHL, the NBA and college basketball and MLB.

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