Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#2957 New York Mets vs.
#2958 Milwaukee Brewers
Saturday, September 25, 2021 at 7:10pm EDT
Written by Jordy

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The Milwaukee Brewers hope to stay on the winning track in Saturday’s showdown with the visiting New York Mets. They ended an ugly five-game losing streak in Friday’s opener, and they’ll try to keep from moonwalking backwards with the playoffs right around the corner. Another win won’t come easy against a prideful Mets team that still plays good defense. Rich Hill has been pegged as the starting pitcher for the Mets opposite of Milwaukee’s Corbin Burnes.

Should haves, would haves, could haves for the Mets

Mets third basemen J.D. Davis is already feeling the sting from missing the playoffs, even though games are still technically being played. He went as far as pointing out the post All-Star break series the Mets failed to sweep against the lowly Pittsburgh Pirates.

“Take, for example, the Pirates series,” Davis said, via the New York Post. “Should we have swept the Pirates? Yes, absolutely. It’s those little games where we should have taken care of business.”

We’ll see if the Mets can take care of business in a big game on Saturday against a Brewers team boasting the third-best run-scoring defense. Opposing teams are only averaging 3.80 runs per game against him this season. The pitching for the Brewers has been consistently dominant for most of the season, which is why they’ve maintained their status as one of the best teams in the league.

The Mets have to get something going offensively. Of course, that’s easier said than done against such a talented defensive opponent. The Brewers have outscored them 10-1 in their last two meetings. However, it’s important to remember the Brewers came into the opener on a five-game losing streak before breaking it over Milwaukee’s head.

Brewers snap losing streak

Speaking of taking care of business, it was back to business for the Brewers on Friday night as they put an end to an ugly five-game losing streak. They overmatched the Mets on a night where they showed up on both offense and defense.

But the latter is what matters most.

This Brewers team can put opponents under lock and key when the pitching is on point. There’s little doubt that’ll be the case on Saturday with Corbin Burnes (2.34 ERA) slated to start on the mound. The 26-year-old righty is pitching out of his mind this season. He’s a handful for some of the best teams in the league, much less a struggle with a Mets team that’s still working to put the contending pieces together.

New York met Burnes earlier in the season, and he blew past them in a game the Mets still ended up winning in extra innings. The Brewers will be looking to finish what they started with a pitching rotation averaging the most strikeouts. Burnes has racked up 221 strikeouts of his own already this season. So he’ll be looking to burn a hole through New York’s lineup.

Milwaukee doesn’t boast a splashy offense, but it’s one that deserves respect. The team is still averaging 4.59 runs per game. At the very least, they’ve shown they’re capable of getting after a tough Mets defense.

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The Brewers didn’t look the least bit shaky in their effort to get back on track in dominant fashion against the Mets on Friday night. That arrival came just in time for a Corbin Burnes start on the mound. It’s a significant mismatch to see a pitcher of Burnes’ caliber stepping in against a Mets offense that’s still struggling.

Their batting average is sitting at a .239 with a .705 OPS on the season. Those are pedestrian numbers when faced with the possibility of being completely dominated by Milwaukee in this meeting. The Brewers have one of the best defensive slash lines in baseball (.216/.297/.353). So they should be able to continue their surge towards getting back on track in this game.

The Mets just don’t have enough pop at the plate to go blow-for-blow with the Brewers. Can you even imagine that scenario with Burnes on the mound? There won’t be nearly enough opportunities for the Mets to stay in the fight for this game.

I’m rolling with Milwaukee on Saturday.

Prediction: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)

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The Brewers have dug out the big arm with ace Corbin Burnes slated to start in this game. This is a Rays team looking to make a statement en route to a postseason berth this season. Burnes has been absolutely sensational on the mound, and he’ll be leading the charge for an offense allowing only 7.10 hits and 3.78 runs per game.

But Burnes isn’t the only dominant force on the mound.

The Mets have also decided to add Rich Hill to the mix. Even at age 41, he’s still hanging in there like a hair on a biscuit. It’ll be interesting to see him stand toe-to-toe with  Milwaukee’s offense. Give me the under in this one.

Prediction: Under (7.5)
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Written By Jordy McElroy , "Jordy"

Born in Germany and raised in the beautiful state of Tennessee, Jordy McElroy is a storyteller of sports, a sports betting enthusiast, and a semi-deep thinker. Being a New England Patriots fan means he's a six-time Super Bowl winner as well, which means you'd have to be a fool to ignore his advice. Prior to joining our team here at Winners & Whiners, Jordy’s work appeared on CNN.com, FOX Sports, Bleacher Report, USA TODAY, and BJPenn.com. There are no beaches where he comes from -- just rolling hills, green valleys, and all the Sun Drop you can drink.