Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#2973 Toronto Blue Jays vs.
#2974 Minnesota Twins
Saturday, September 25, 2021 at 7:10pm EDT
Written by Nick Raffoul

This article covers a past game!

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The Toronto Blue Jays will travel to Target Field on Saturday as they get set to continue their postseason push with an American League battle versus the Minnesota Twins.

After dropping two in a row, the Blue Jays come in with an 85-68 overall record but have fallen one game behind the division-rival New York Yankees for the final AL Wild Card spot. Meanwhile, Minnesota sits in last place in the AL Central division standings with a 68-85 overall record.

Can the Twins play the role of spoiler with a win at home against the Blue Jays on Saturday afternoon?

Ray seeks bounce-back effort versus Minnesota

Veteran left-hander Robbie Ray will toe the rubber for the Blue Jays in the third game of their weekend series in Minnesota. The 29-year-old comes in with a 12-6 overall record to go along with a 2.72 ERA in 30 starts but he’s had some trouble as of late. Ray has worked fewer than five innings in two of his last three appearances, yet still owns a healthy 2.78 ERA in four starts this month. Last time out, the Blue Jays’ southpaw surrendered just three earned runs in 4 ⅔ innings of work in a loss versus the Tampa Bay Rays. The loss snapped a personal four-game winning streak for Rays, who struck out fewer than 10 batters for just the second time in his last seven starts.

In his eighth MLB season, Ray is in the midst of career year on the mound in Toronto. The Blue Jays lefty has fanned 11.77 batters and walked a career-low 2.27 hitters per nine innings of work this season. He’s also generated an elite 15.8 percent swinging-strike rate while holding opposing batters to a .211 batting average.

Ray has made three career appearances (one start) against the Twins, going 0-1 with an unsightly 10.80 ERA in those contests. However, all three of those appearances came way back in his rookie season back in 2014. According to Baseball Savant, the current Twins roster is batting .375 in nine plate appearances heading into Saturday’s start.

Gordon sparking strong finish for Twins offense

Minnesota has yet to announce a starter for Saturday’s contest.

The Twins come in riding a three-game winning streak after totaling 21 runs over their last three games. For the season, Minnesota ranks fourth in the MLB in home runs with 216 dingers this year. However, the Twins rank just 15th in runs scored and 11th in OPS.

Jorge Polanco comes in batting .273 with 31 home runs and 91 RBIs to lead the team in all three categories. The Twins have been on fire at the plate over the last week. Minnesota has three players with two home runs in the last seven days, led by shortstop Nick Gordon, who is batting a red-hot .474 with two home runs and eight RBIs during that span.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

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It’s hard not to like the Blue Jays in this game. As hot as Minnesota has been at the plate, this looks like a good spot for them to slow down. Ray has been missing bats at an elite clip lately and Toronto is still vying for a postseason spot, so it can’t afford to lose here. The Blue Jays are also due for some regression at the plate after scoring four runs or fewer in four straight contests. Take Toronto to come out on top in the third game of their series at Target Field this weekend. 

Prediction: Toronto Blue Jays -1.5

Full-Game Total Pick

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This game has some high-scoring potential. Toronto is due for some regression at the plate while Minnesota has averaged seven runs per game over its last three contests. While Ray has been lights out as of late, he’s completed fewer than five innings in two of his last three starts, which gives Minnesota some added hope in this one. The Blue Jays’ lefty has also had some trouble in his only three career starts versus the Twins, so there are some bad memories there as well. Take this game to go over the projected total on Saturday evening. 

Prediction: Over
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Written By Nick Raffoul , "Nick Raffoul"

Shortly after graduating with an Honors in Business Administration, Nick turned his attention from traditional stocks and bonds to investing in the performance of sports teams. He has been a very successful sports bettor over the years and has now brought his talents to us here at Winners & Whiners. Nick uses a combination of advanced stats and historical data to create sports investment models to identify value and generate consistent profits. Let Nick win for you.