Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#4973 Detroit Tigers vs.
#4974 Chicago White Sox
Sunday, September 25, 2022 at 2:10pm EDT
Written by Mason Folz

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This Sunday, the (58-92) Detroit Tigers and the (76-75) Chicago White Sox will play the final game of this three-game series. The first pitch will be thrown out at 2:10 PM EST inside Guaranteed Rate Field. The last time these two teams matched up, the White Sox ended up stealing two of three games. The Tigers did steal game one of this series, though.

The Detroit Tigers are coming into this one after winning their previous series against the Baltimore Orioles. The Tiger's bats were on fire in game one of that series, as they scored 11 runs. They will need to stay hot at the dish in this one if they want to take down the White Sox.

The Chicago White Sox are entering this series after being swept by the Cleveland Guardians in their previous series. The White Sox couldn't get their bats to warm up, as they only scored four combined runs in the final two games. They will also need to warm up at the dish if they want to finish this series strong.

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Can the Tigers Finish Strong?

The Tigers are currently 4-6 in their last 10 games played, as their poor play has taken them out of the AL Wild Card race. They trail the Seattle Mariners by 24.0 games, as they will not be playing in the postseason in 2022. Detroit is also still in dead last place in the AL Central, as they trail the Guardians by 25.5 games.

At the plate, the Tigers are currently scoring 3.44 runs per game and they are hitting .229 as a team, as this is the least amount of runs scored per game and the fourth lowest overall team batting average. They have failed to consistently reach base safely this season, which has made it much more difficult to score. They have also realized that they have very little power littered throughout their lineup. The Tigers are only hitting .67 home runs per game, which is the lowest average in the MLB. I would expect the Tigers to stay conservative once they have reached base safely, as well. They have only stolen 42 bases this season, which is the second least in the MLB.

According to MLB.com, the Tigers will be starting Tyler Alexander on the mound. He is currently 4-10 with a 4.91 ERA and a 1.32 WHIP. In his last start, he pitched for 7.0 innings and he gave up two hits and zero earned runs. He completely shut down the Orioles in that one. Alexander is 2-7 on the road with a 6.14 ERA, though. The Tiger's bullpen has held its own in 2022. They are currently allowing 3.50 runs per game, which is the ninth least in the MLB. As a team, the Tigers are surrendering 4.58 runs per game, which is the 20th most.

Can the White Sox Make a Run?

The Chicago White Sox are currently 4-6 in their last 10 and they have lost four in a row, as their poor play has kept them from being a Wild Card team. Chicago is 6.5 games back from the Marines for the third and final AL Wild Card spot, as they will have to get hot if they want to make a push. The White Sox are also still in second place in the AL Central, as they trail the first-place Cleveland Guardians by 8 games.

At the plate, the White Sox are scoring 4.37 runs per game and they are hitting .260 as a team. This is the 16th most runs scored per game and the second highest overall team batting average, as the White Sox have continued to consistently reach base this season. Chicago has struggled with men in scoring position, though. This has made it much more difficult to score, as they are just leaving runs on the base paths. The White Sox have realized that they don't have a ton of power inside of their lineup, either. They are only hitting .97 bombs per game, which is the 22nd most in the league. I would expect the White Sox to stay conservative once they have reached base safely, as well. They have only taken 53 bases this season, which is the 25th most in the MLB.

According to MLB.com, the White Sox will start Dylan Cease on the mound. He is currently 14-7 with a 2.13 ERA and a 1.09 WHIP. In his last start, Cease pitched for 6.0 innings and he gave up four hits and one earned run. He hasn't been as solid at home this season, though. He is currently 6-4 inside Guaranteed Rate Field and his jumps to 2.49. The Chicago bullpen is also allowing the 18th most runs per game. As a team, the White Sox are allowing 4.45 runs per game, which is the 19th most in the MLB.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

Insiders Status:

Rating:

I will be hammering the White Sox (-1.5) in this matchup against the Tigers, as I see them finishing this series strong. They can't afford to drop another game if they want to make a run at the Wild Card and they have their best pitcher on the mound. Chicago will start Dylan Cease on the mound, as I don't see him allowing the Tigers to do anything at the dish. Cease is currently 14-7 this season and he has a 2.13 ERA. The Tigers are scoring the least amount of runs per game and they have the fourth lowest overall team batting average. They won't consistently reach base against Cease and they won't score enough runs to keep this game within the spread. Cease has been solid all season and I don't see that stopping now. I also see the Tigers giving up a few runs early in this game. Tyler Alexander will be starting on the mound and he currently has a 4.91 ERA. He is also 4-10 this season, as he has continued to struggle. The White Sox are scoring 4.37 runs per game and they have the second-highest team batting average. They will give themselves multiple opportunities to blow this game open, as I don't see this game staying close.

Hammer the Chicago White Sox and lay the run line spread (-1.5).

Prediction: Chicago White Sox -1.5

Full-Game Total Pick

Insiders Status:

Rating:

Yes, this total is extremely low, but I am still sticking with the under (7). I don't see the Tigers doing anything at the plate, as they have continued to struggle. The White Sox also really need to win this game and they have their ace on the mound. Cease is currently 14-7 with a 2.13 ERA and a 1.09 WHIP, as he will be putting his foot down in this one. He will pitch very deep into this game, as I don't see him surrendering more than a run. Now, I also see the White Sox struggling to push this total over the number by themselves. I just don't see them scoring 7 or 8 runs, as they have continued to leave runs on the base paths. They are not clutch with men in scoring position, as they are only scoring the 16th most runs per game. They will eventually cash in on the scoreboard, but I don't see them blowing this game open. Detroit will put up a fight and keep this game under (7).

Cease isn't going to let the Tigers do anything at the plate and the White Sox won't explode on the scoreboard. Take the under (7) runs and trust me on this one.

Prediction: Under 7
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Written By Mason Folz , "Mason Folz"

Mason graduated from the University of Colorado, Boulder and he has been watching SportsCenter since before he could walk. He has been crunching numbers since he could learn to count and nothing makes Mason happier in this world than talking sports, unless he is on the golf course! We are very happy to have added Mason to our team at StatSalt and you will be glad as well. Let's win some money!