Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#4975 Los Angeles Angels vs.
#4976 Minnesota Twins
Sunday, September 25, 2022 at 2:10pm EDT
Written by Dave Kovaleski

The season trudges on for two also-rans in the American League as the Minnesota Twins host the LA Angels in the final game of a three-game series Sunday. The Twins are third in the AL Central while the Angels are third in the AL West -- and both are well out of playoff contention. First pitch is at 2:10 p.m. ET at Target Field in Minneapolis.

Angels can finish strong

It has been yet another disappointing season for the Angels, but they can get some positive momentum with a good run down the stretch. They have a very favorable schedule the rest of the way with games against only the A's and Rangers down the stretch, the two worst teams in their division. Shohei Ohtani leads the Angels batting .271 with 34 home runs and 90 RBI while Mike Trout is hitting .273 with 36 home runs and 74 RBI. They are 25th in runs per game and 11th in home runs.

The Angels won the series opener 4-2. They will start Jose Suarez on Sunday. Suarez, a left-hander, is 6-8 on the season with an ERA of 4.11 in 20 appearances overall, including 18 starts. He has 91 strikeouts and 32 walks in 96.1 innings pitched. Suarez got pounded for 5 runs in 5 innings in his last start against the Mariners -- a 9-1 loss. The Angels have a team ERA of 3.86, which is 12th in the league. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.01, which ranks 17th in the majors.

Twins sent into tailspin

The Cleveland Guardians pretty much wrecked the Minnesota Twins. The Guardians won 7 of 8 from the Twins in September, including 4 out of 5 last weekend. That latest series drubbing killed the Twins' playoff chances and since then the Twins have gone into a downward spiral. They got swept by the Royals and then lost the first game of this series to the Angels, 4-2.

While the season is over, they will look to get their groove back Sunday with Dylan Bundy on the mound. Bundy, a right-hander, is 8-7 with an ERA of 4.78 in 27 starts this season. He has 89 strikeouts and 26 walks in 131.2 innings pitched. Bundy got a no-decision in his last start, allowing 4 runs on 4 hits, including 2 home runs, in 4.2 inning against the Royals -- a loss. The Twins have a team ERA of 4.00, which is 19th in the league. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.87, which ranks 14th in the majors.

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Full-Game Side Bet

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The Twins have had quite the hangover after the Guardians ended their season last weekend. Now, they know it is over, which, after dealing with the disappointment of seeing your season end, you start to move on. They are wrapping up their season at home with only a few more games before they hit the road for the final games, so I look for them to get a win here against an Angels team that may have also checked out. The thing is, the Twins hit lefties well, particularly at home, so they should be able to tee off on Suarez, who has struggled. The Twins are 13-3 in their last 16 home games versus a left-handed starter. Take the Twins with the money line.

Prediction: Minnesota -110

Full-Game Total Pick

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Bundy had been having a pretty good season, but the wheels have come off down the stretch. In his last 3 starts, he is o-1 with an ERA of almost 9. Look for the Angels sluggers to pound him and maybe pad their stats a bit. The overs are 12-9 on the season when Bundy pitches. Suarez has been a little better in recent starts, with a record of 0-1 and an ERA of 4.10, but with the total set pretty low at 8, I see the offenses winning the day against subpar pitching. The over is 4-1-1 in the Angels' last 6 game 3s of a series and 5-2-1 in their last 8 road games with the total set between 7.0-8.5. Take the over in this one.

Prediction: Over 8
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Written By Dave Kovaleski , "Dave Kovaleski"

Dave has covered every major sport with passion and expertise for national sports publications and we are very happy to have him as a part of our team here at Winners & Whiners and StaSalt. In addition to being a sportswriter and sports bettor, Dave has also worked in the financial industry and brings a critical eye for numbers to his analysis of games. Dave thoroughly researches the statistics to spot the trends and break down the matchups to successfully find the winners in the NFL, NBA, MLB, college hoops, and other sports. You will not be disappointed in following Dave on a daily basis.