Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#4959 San Diego Padres vs.
#4960 Colorado Rockies
Sunday, September 25, 2022 at 3:10pm EDT
Written by David Delano

This article covers a past game!

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The Colorado Rockies (65-86) will host the San Diego Padres (83-68) on Sunday in the final contest of a three-game series. The Rockies took the opener 4-3 in 10 innings. This preview was written before the completion of Saturday's game.

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Padres are not in the clear

The Padres went into Saturday on a two-game losing streak which has come right after they had won five straight games. San Diego is holding onto the final NL wild-card spot leading the Brewers by two games, and after Sunday San Diego will head home to face the Dodgers in a three-game series.

Due to never having Fernando Tatis Jr this season and inconsistencies, the San Deigo offense has been more average than exceptional. The Padres are 15th averaging 4.4 runs per game this season, and rank 20th in home runs. Manny Machado is the team's MVP with a .296 batting average, 30 home runs, and 95 RBI. Juan Soto, one of the biggest trade deadline acquisitions, is batting .234 with five home runs and 15 RBI in 42 games since coming over from Washington, but he did go deep on Friday.

Mike Clevinger (6-7. 4.23 ERA) is scheduled to start on Sunday. In three games against the Rockies this season Clevinger is 1-1 with a 4.40 ERA. After struggling in two starts against the Dodgers and against the Mariners to begin the month, Clevinger tossed 5.2 shutout innings against St. Louis last Tuesday.

Rockies 4-0 when Freeland starts against Padres in 2022

The Rockies ended a four-game losing streak with a 4-3 extra innings win on Friday, which also gave them their 10th win in 17 head-to-head games against the Padres this season. The Rockies have beat the Padres in seven out of eight games played at Coors Field.

At Coors Field, the Rockies are a different animal altogether ranking as the third best home moneyline team in baseball this season (+$988) according to covers.com. They also average an MLB-best 5.7 runs per game at home.

Kyle Freeland (9-10, 4.38 ERA) will make the start on Sunday. Freeland has a 5.16 ERA against San Diego this season but a 3-0 record with Colorado winning all four of those start against the Padres. Also, in four September starts, Freeland is 2-1 with a 1.48 ERA.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

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I have to take the Rockies for the plus money here. The Rockies have won 40 of the last 57 games against the Padres at Coors Field, including seven out of eight this season. Colorado is also a perfect 4-0 in games started by Kyle Freeland against San Digo in 2022. Clevinger has struggled with a 6.35 ERA in his last eight road starts, and I don't want to lay juice on a Padres team with a bad matchup here. Take the Rockies.

Prediction: Colorado Rockies +134

Full-Game Total Pick

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The Padres have allowed at least five runs in five of the last six road starts made by Clevinger, with the only exception coming against the light-hitting Marlins. Expect Clevinger to struggle again here, as he has a 7.36 ERA in 7.1 innings at Coors Field this season. The two games that Freeland has started against the Padres at Coors Field, resulted in a 10-4 Rockies win and an 8-5 Rockies win. Runs shouldn't be too hard to come by here. I am taking the over, with Colorado winning 7-5.

Prediction: Over 10.5
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Written By David Delano , "David Delano"

David Delano is a Bowling Green State University graduate with a passion for sports, traveling, and music. David loves to handicap MLB, NFL, NCAAF, NCAAB, NBA, WNBA, and is also a big fan of boxing and track and field. Over the years, David has worn several hats in the sports world, from being behind the camera to writing, filming, editing, scouting, and coaching, along with servicing his clients as a sports handicapper.  He is also an expert sports bettor. We are glad to have David on our Winners & Whiners team, and we recommend that you follow along with him every day. 

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