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Houston Astros vs. Toronto Blue Jays,
9-26-2018 - Prediction & Preview

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#915 Houston
Astros -100
#916 Toronto
Blue Jays 8

Wednesday, September 26, 2018 at 4:05pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Houston Astros
C. DEVENSKI

100 - 57

0
W's
0
L's
0
ERA
0
WHIP

Toronto Blue Jays
S. REID-FOLEY

71 - 87

2
W's
4
L's
5.4
ERA
1.67
WHIP

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The Toronto Blue Jays will host the Houston Astros in the three-game series finale Wednesday afternoon from the Rogers Centre in downtown Toronto. The Astros will be going with a bullpen start for this one, and the Blue Jays will counter with 23-year old right-hander Sean Reid-Foley. The Astros lead the season-series 3-1.

Astros Utilizing Bullpen for Entire Game

The Astros will be using their bullpen for the entirety of this game as Gerrit Cole will get an extra day of rest and start on Thursday. Chris Devenski will see action first in this one. The third-year right-hander owns a 4.12 ERA in 43.2 innings pitched on the season. Collin McHugh and Brad Peacock have both been starters in the past, and both could pitch in this one. McHugh is having an outstanding season, sporting a 2.07 ERA and a 0.89 WHIP in 69.2 innings of work, and Peacock features a 3.13 ERA and a 1.12 WHIP on the season. The Astros feature a dominant bullpen that leads the Major Leagues with a sharp 3.05 ERA to go along with a .215 opponent batting average.

Alex Bregman has done big damage against the Blue Jays this season, registering 10 hits in 18 at bats with three homers and seven RBI’s. The 24-year old third baseman is having the best season of his young career, sporting a .288 average with 30 home runs and a team-leading 101 RBI’s. Bregman has notched five home runs with 15 RBI’s on the month. The Astros dangerous lineup ranks fifth in the big leagues with an average of 4.97 runs per game. The Houston pitching staff continues to dominate, and they lead the Majors with a 3.14 team ERA.

Rookie Starter Reid-Foley Targets First Home Win

Sean Reid-Foley will make his seventh start of the season, hunting for his third win of the month. Reid-Foley wasn’t sharp last time out, conceding four runs (two earned) on four walks in four innings against the Rays, leading to the loss to drop his record to 2-4. The rookie right-hander has only notched one Quality Start in his six starts on the year, and he owns a 5.40 ERA and a 1.67 WHIP in 30 innings of work. This will mark his first career meeting against the Astros. Reid-Foley posted a solid 3.26 ERA in the Minors this season.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is one of the hottest hitters in the Blue Jays lineup, belting three home runs along with seven RBI’s in his last seven games. The 24-year old rookie second baseman is off to a promising start in his first taste of the big leagues, hitting .281 with 11 homers and 35 RBI’s in 65 games played. Gurriel Jr. has yet to see the Astros this season. The Blue Jays are currently averaging 4.40 runs per game, ranking them 16th in the Major Leagues. The Toronto pitching staff possesses a weak 4.85 team ERA, pegging them 27th overall.

The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.

Full-Game Side Bet
Rating:

I am taking the Astros in this contest. The Astros have won four consecutive games heading into Tuesday’s action, and they continue to thrive at the plate, averaging a stellar 5.2 runs in their last 10 games. They are up against Blue Jays’ rookie starter Sean Reid-Foley who owns a poor 5.40 ERA and a 1.67 WHIP on the season. Furthermore, the Blue Jays pitching, including their bullpen, continues to flounder, and they have squandered at least five runs in four out of their last five games.

Prediction: Houston Astros +118

Full-Game Total Pick
Rating:

The over is a solid play in this contest. The Astros have scored a combined 22 runs in four games against the Blue Jays this season heading into Tuesday’s action, and the over is 4-1 in Blue Jays’ starter Reid-Foley’s last five starts overall. In addition, the Blue Jays are averaging a solid 4.5 runs in their last 10 games played, and the over is 20-6-3 in the Astros’ last 29 games in the third game of a series.

Prediction: Over 8

Full-Game Prop Bet
Rating:

I am selecting the Astros as the last team to score. The Astros’ highest scoring inning occurs in the eighth inning where they have scored a whopping 117 runs. Toronto’s bullpen is struggling, and they rank down at 23rd in the Majors with a weak 4.51 ERA, so there is a good chance Houston can add on some late runs.

Prediction: Last Team to Score: Houston Astros +100

First Five Innings Side Pick
Rating:

I am staying with Houston on the five inning line. Houston is using their bullpen for the entire game. Their bullpen has been outstanding all season, and they lead the Majors with a 3.05 ERA, and Houston’s two long relievers Collin McHugh and Brad Peacock own a 2.17 ERA and a 3.13 ERA. In addition, Blue Jays starter Sean Reid-Foley has issued 13 walks in his last 13.2 innings, and that spells trouble against this Houston lineup.

Prediction: Houston Astros +110

First Five Innings Total Bet
Rating:

Blue Jays rookie starter Sean Reid-Foley has been inconsistent in his first taste of the Majors, and he owns a 5.40 ERA on the year, so I expect multiple runs from Houston. In addition, the Blue Jays most productive two innings stretch in a game occurs in the fourth and fifth innings where they have scored 83 and 92 runs respectively. 

Prediction: Over 4

First Five Innings Prop Prediction
Rating:

I am taking the Astros to score first. The Astros are productive in the first inning where they have tallied 80 runs, followed by 87 runs in the second frame. The Blue Jays have only scored 64 runs in the opening inning, and 70 runs in the second inning.

Prediction: Astros to Score First -135

Adam Rauzino

Adam has been a sports fanatic his entire life, closely following hockey, baseball, basketball and football. Adam enjoys analyzing various stats, as well as studying Sabermetrics and analytics to take his picks to a whole new level. Adam has a passion for writing about about various sports as well as personal finance. He graduated with a diploma in business marketing and business finance.

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