Upcoming Free Picks

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Colorado Rockies,
9-26-2018 - Prediction & Preview

This is a past game! View all upcoming MLB games instead!

Game Snapshot with Current Line

#909 Philadelphia
Phillies 10.5
#910 Colorado
Rockies -195

Wednesday, September 26, 2018 at 8:40pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Philadelphia Phillies
N. PIVETTA

78 - 79

6
W's
13
L's
4.6
ERA
1.29
WHIP

Colorado Rockies
G. MARQUEZ

87 - 70

13
W's
10
L's
3.95
ERA
1.22
WHIP

Betting Trends

All MLB

No betting trends available for this game. Click here to see all available for MLB.

The Philadelphia Phillies and Colorado Rockies will play the third game of their four-game series at Coors Field on Wednesday night.

The Rockies remain entrenched in a heated race for the final two postseason spots in the National League. Colorado is just a half-game back to the St. Louis Cardinals for the final Wild Card spot and 1.5-games behind the Los Angeles Dodgers, who currently sit atop the NL West standings.

Phils playing out the string

The Phillies are scheduled to hand the ball to right-hander Nick Pivetta, who has pitched well over his last five starts despite not completing more than five innings in any of those outings. The 26-year-old has allowed three earned runs or less in each of those outings and is coming off of tossing five inning of one-run ball in his last outing on the road against the Braves’ The Phillies’ right-hander allowed just four hits, striking out four and walking one batter on the night, but was unable to snap his personal four-game losing streak. Pivetta comes into Wednesday’s start with a 7-13 overall record to go along with a 4.58 ERA in 32 appearances (31 starts) this year, but he hasn’t won a decision since August 7.

Pivetta’s only start against the Rockies this season wasn’t pretty. He surrendered six earned runs on eight hits in six innings of work to take the loss. In his only other career start against Colorado, the Phillies’ right-hander allowed eight earned runs, lasting just 2 ⅔ frames in a disastrous outing. According to Baseball Savant, the current Rockies lineup is batting .500 with an .800 slugging percentage in 38 plate appearances off of Pivetta coming into this matchup.

Colorado is slated to counter by sending 23-year-old German Marquez to the hill at Coors Field for his 32nd start of the season. Marquez sports a 13-10 overall record to go along with a 3.91 ERA this season, but he’s been a different pitcher since the All-Star Break. In 12 starts since the break, the Rockies’ right-hander is 5-2 with a 2.77 ERA and he’s struck out 104 batters in just 81 ⅓ innings of work during that span. He has four double-digit strikeout performances in his last five games and completed six innings or more in 19 of his last 22 starts, including each of his 11 overall. Marquez accomplished both of those feats in his last outing, fanning 11 batters and walking none in seven innings of two-run ball on the road against the Arizona Diamondbacks.

Marquez’s only start against the Phillies was a forgettable one. He allowed six earned runs on seven hits, including two home runs over six innings of work, striking out eight batters and walking two in a losing effort.

The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.

Full-Game Side Bet
Rating:

There’s not doubt who has been the better pitcher as of late. Pivetta owns a 4.57 ERA in 12 starts since the All-Star break. Meanwhile, Marquez has been one of the best pitchers in baseball over the past two months, posting an 11.5 K/9 rate and a 2.77 ERA since the All-Star break. The Rockies have more to play for, the better pitcher, and solid numbers off of Pivetta coming into this game, so I’m giving this one five stars. Take the Rockies at home in this National League battle on Wednesday night.

Prediction: Pick: Colorado Rockies -190

Full-Game Total Pick
Rating:

Marquez has been unbelievable as of late and he’s tossed a quality outing in all 11 of his starts since the Break. On the other hand, Pivetta has allowed three runs or less in each of his last five starts, so it is hard not to like the under in this spot. The Phillies rank 22nd in baseball in runs scored over the past week, so I’m leaning towards the under in this matchup.

Prediction: Under 10.5

Full-Game Prop Bet
Rating:

Ian Desmond has hit 20 home runs this season but 18 of those came before the All-Star Break. His OPS has dipped to just .649 in the second half, but he’s picked things up during the month of September, batting .280 during the month. He’s yet to homer though, so he kind of feels like he’s due for one here, especially considering he’s hit at least one home run in every month this year. Desmond enters Wednesday’s contest batting .333 with one home run in three at-bats against Pivetta coming into this game, so he’s my pick to hit the first home run of this ball game at Coors Field.

Prediction: Ian Desmond to hit the first home run

First Five Innings Side Pick
Rating:

Marquez has been unreal in the second half of the season, but especially as of late. He’s compiled four double-digit strikeout games over his last five starts, fanning a stupid 50 batters over his last 34 ⅔ innings of work, while walking just five during that span. Pivetta is 1-6 since the All-Star Break and he’s allowed nine home runs in 63 innings during that span. Take the Rockies on the five-inning run line in this matchup on Wednesday night.

Prediction: Colorado Rockies

First Five Innings Total Bet
Rating:

Pivetta pitched well on a tight leash over the last month and he’s now allowed two earned runs or less in seven of his last 10 outings. Few pitchers in the National League have been as good as Marquez since the All-Star break and his strikeout rate continues to rise. Look for this game to stay under the projected five-inning total at Coors Field in this spot.

Prediction: Under

First Five Innings Prop Prediction
Rating:

Pivetta has a 4.35 ERA in the first inning, a 4.85 ERA in the second and an 8.13 ERA in the fourth inning so far this season. Philadelphia has little left to play for and Pivetta is likely to have a longer leash in this game, which isn’t necessarily a good thing for the Phillies. The Rockies have strong numbers off of Pivetta coming into this game, so I think there is some value in taking Colorado on the 4 ½ inning run line in this game on Wednesday night.

Prediction: 4 1/2 inning run line – Colorado Rockies -1.5

Nick Raffoul

Shortly after graduating with an Honors in Business Administration, Nick turned his attention from traditional stocks and bonds to investing in the performance of sports teams. He uses a combination of advanced stats and historical data to create sports investment models to identify value and generate consistent profits.

Login

Forgot Password?
Forgot your password? Enter your email and we'll send you a reset token:

Return to login
Enter the token from your email and a new password. Don't forget to check your spam folder if you didn't get the email.

Upcoming Free Picks

Bank the Bet Podcast
Wednesday, Oct 17
NBA
#701 Memphis Grizzlies 209
#702 Indiana Pacers -7
7:05pm
View Pick
#703 Milwaukee Bucks -3
#704 Charlotte Hornets 217
7:05pm
View Pick
#705 Miami Heat -2.5
#706 Orlando Magic 210.5
7:05pm
View Pick
#707 Brooklyn Nets 212
#708 Detroit Pistons -5.5
7:05pm
View Pick
#709 Atlanta Hawks 213.5
#710 New York Knicks -3
7:35pm
View Pick
#711 Cleveland Cavaliers 214
#712 Toronto Raptors -13
7:35pm
View Pick
#713 New Orleans Pelicans 229.5
#714 Houston Rockets -8
8:05pm
View Pick
#715 Minnesota Timberwolves 210.5
#716 San Antonio Spurs -2
8:35pm
View Pick
#717 Utah Jazz -8.5
#718 Sacramento Kings 208
10:05pm
View Pick
#719 Dallas Mavericks 215
#720 Phoenix Suns -1
10:35pm
View Pick
#721 Denver Nuggets -1.5
#722 Los Angeles Clippers 227
10:35pm
View Pick
MLB
#911 Milwaukee Brewers 7
#912 Los Angeles Dodgers -170
5:05pm
View Pick
#913 Boston Red Sox 8.5
#914 Houston Astros -145
8:35pm
View Pick
NHL
#51 N.Y. Rangers 6
#52 Washington -260
7:05pm
View Pick
#53 St. Louis -110
#54 Montreal -110
7:05pm
View Pick
#55 Boston -110
#56 Calgary -110
9:35pm
View Pick
#57 N.Y. Islanders 6
#58 Anaheim -155
10:05pm
View Pick
Thursday, Oct 18
NFL
#301 Denver Broncos -1
#302 Arizona Cardinals 41
8:20pm
View Pick
NCAAF
#303 Georgia State 54
#304 Arkansas State -14.5
7:30pm
View Pick
#305 Stanford -2.5
#306 Arizona State 53.5
9:00pm
View Pick
NHL
#13 Boston
#14 Edmonton
9:05pm
View Pick
Friday, Oct 19
NCAAF
#307 Colorado State
#308 Boise State
9:00pm
View Pick
#309 Air Force -11
#310 UNLV 54.5
10:00pm
View Pick
Saturday, Oct 20
NCAAF
#313 Cincinnati 48.5
#314 Temple -3.5
12:00pm
View Pick
#319 Maryland 52.5
#320 Iowa -10
12:00pm
View Pick
#325 Northwestern -20
#326 Rutgers 49
12:00pm
View Pick
#329 Miami - OH 46.5
#330 Army -8
12:00pm
View Pick
#331 Michigan -7
#332 Michigan State 45.5
12:00pm
View Pick
#339 Buffalo -1.5
#340 Toledo 67
12:00pm
View Pick
#345 Illinois
#346 Wisconsin
12:00pm
View Pick
#355 Tulsa 55
#356 Arkansas -7
12:00pm
View Pick
#383 Oklahoma -8
#384 TCU 61
12:00pm
View Pick
#399 Auburn -3.5
#400 Ole Miss 64
12:00pm
View Pick
#317 North Carolina 64
#318 Syracuse -9.5
12:20pm
View Pick
#321 Virginia 45.5
#322 Duke -7.5
12:30pm
View Pick
#375 Bowling Green 69.5
#376 Ohio U -16.5
2:00pm
View Pick
#323 FAU -3
#324 Marshall 59.5
2:30pm
View Pick
#359 Utah State -15
#360 Wyoming 53.5
2:30pm
View Pick
#337 Eastern Michigan -3
#338 Ball State 51.5
3:00pm
View Pick
#363 Western Michigan -4
#364 Central Michigan 58
3:00pm
View Pick
#395 Charlotte 52.5
#396 Middle Tennessee State -17.5
3:00pm
View Pick
#369 Colorado 51
#370 Washington -15
3:30pm
View Pick
#347 Houston -12.5
#348 Navy 61.5
3:30pm
View Pick
#391 Kansas 61.5
#392 Texas Tech -20
3:30pm
View Pick
#389 NC State 53.5
#390 Clemson -17
3:30pm
View Pick
#387 SMU 61
#388 Tulane -7
3:30pm
View Pick
#379 Minnesota 56
#380 Nebraska -3.5
3:30pm
View Pick
#373 Wake Forest 60
#374 Florida State -10.5
3:30pm
View Pick
#353 UL Lafayette
#354 Appalachian State
3:30pm
View Pick
#349 UTEP
#350 Louisiana Tech
3:30pm
View Pick
#343 Penn State -14.5
#344 Indiana 61
3:30pm
View Pick
#341 Akron -4.5
#342 Kent State 54.5
3:30pm
View Pick
#335 Alabama
#336 Tennessee
3:30pm
View Pick
#327 Coastal Carolina 74.5
#328 UMass -3.5
3:30pm
View Pick
#357 Georgia Southern -12
#358 New Mexico State 53.5
4:00pm
View Pick
#371 California -6.5
#372 Oregon State 59
4:00pm
View Pick
#397 Memphis 74
#398 Missouri -10
4:00pm
View Pick
#403 Mississippi St 44.5
#404 LSU -6.5
7:00pm
View Pick
#393 UTSA 45
#394 Southern Miss -17.5
7:00pm
View Pick
#381 UConn
#382 USF
7:00pm
View Pick
#377 Texas State 59
#378 UL Monroe -10
7:00pm
View Pick
#315 UCF
#316 East Carolina
7:00pm
View Pick
#311 Vanderbilt 48
#312 Kentucky -11
7:30pm
View Pick
#333 Ohio State -13
#334 Purdue 63.5
7:30pm
View Pick
#351 Rice
#352 FIU
7:30pm
View Pick
#361 Fresno State -13.5
#362 New Mexico 55.5
7:30pm
View Pick
#367 Oregon 66
#368 Washington State -3
7:30pm
View Pick
#385 North Texas -1
#386 UAB 52
7:30pm
View Pick
#401 ODU 57.5
#402 Western Kentucky -5
7:30pm
View Pick
#405 USC 49
#406 Utah -7
8:00pm
View Pick
#365 Arizona 55
#366 UCLA -8
10:30pm
View Pick
#407 San Jose State
#408 San Diego State
10:30pm
View Pick
Sunday, Oct 21
NFL
#451 Tennessee Titans 45.5
#452 Los Angeles Chargers -6.5
9:30am
View Pick
#453 New England Patriots -3
#454 Chicago Bears 50
1:00pm
View Pick
#455 Cleveland Browns 49.5
#456 Tampa Bay Buccaneers -3
1:00pm
View Pick
#457 Detroit Lions -2.5
#458 Miami Dolphins 47
1:00pm
View Pick
#459 Carolina Panthers 45
#460 Philadelphia Eagles -5
1:00pm
View Pick
#461 Buffalo Bills 44
#462 Indianapolis Colts -7.5
1:00pm
View Pick
#465 Minnesota Vikings -3
#466 New York Jets 47
1:00pm
View Pick
#467 Houston Texans 44
#468 Jacksonville Jaguars -5
1:00pm
View Pick
#469 New Orleans Saints 51
#470 Baltimore Ravens -2.5
4:05pm
View Pick
#471 Dallas Cowboys 42
#472 Washington Redskins -2
4:25pm
View Pick
#473 Los Angeles Rams -9.5
#474 49ers 52
4:25pm
View Pick
#463 Cincinnati Bengals 58.5
#464 Kansas City Chiefs -6
8:20pm
View Pick
NCAAF
#409 Nevada
#410 Hawaii
12:00am
View Pick
Monday, Oct 22
NFL
#475 New York Giants 54
#476 Atlanta Falcons -5.5
8:15pm
View Pick