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San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants,
9-26-2018 - Pick and Prediction

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#913 San Diego
Padres 7
#914 San Francisco
Giants -115

Wednesday, September 26, 2018 at 10:15pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

San Diego Padres
L. PERDOMO

63 - 95

1
W's
6
L's
7.94
ERA
2.04
WHIP

San Francisco Giants
C. KELLY

73 - 85

0
W's
1
L's
2.61
ERA
1.65
WHIP

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The San Francisco Giants will host the San Diego Padres as the NL West foes conclude a three game series Wednesday night from AT&T Park. The Padres will send 25-year old right-hander Luis Perdomo to the mound, and the Giants will hand the ball to 28-year old right-hander Casey Kelly. The Giants own a 10-7 lead in the season-series.

Perdomo Aims for Third Career Win Against Giants

Luis Perdomo will make his 12th appearance and 10th start of the season, aiming for his second win of the year. Perdomo has pitched in a limited relied role out the of the bullpen this month. The third-year right-hander has struggled this season, posting a terrible 7.56 ERA and a 1.99 WHIP accompanied with a 1-6 record in 41.2 innings of work. Perdomo has fared well against the Giants in his career, registering a 2-0 record with a 3.80 ERA in 45 career innings. San Diego’s bullpen has been a strength all season, and they rank seventh in the Majors with a 3.58 ERA.

Hunter Renfroe has been one of the few Padres hitters to have success against Madison Bumgarner, going 5 for 13 with two homers and four RBI’s. The 26-year old right fielder is having a solid season, hitting .251 with a team-leading 25 home runs and 67 RBI’s. Renfroe has crushed three home runs along with seven RBI’s in his last eight games. The Padres are only averaging 3.82 runs per game, placing them 28th overall. The San Diego pitching staff is carrying a 4.48 team ERA, positioning them 21st in the Majors.

Casey Kelly Makes Spot Start

Casey Kelly will make his seventh appearance and third start of the season, aiming for his first win of the year. Kelly allowed two runs in one inning against the Cardinals in his previous appearance earlier this week against the Cardinals. The fourth-year right-hander has pitched well in his limited action this season, posting a 2.89 ERA and a 1.45 WHIP accompanied with an 0-2 record in 18.2 innings pitched. Kelly has tossed 3.1 scoreless innings in his career against the Padres. The Giants bullpen currently owns a 3.71 ERA on the season.

Brandon Crawford has consistently produced against the Padres this season, registering a .351 average with eight RBI’s in 57 at bats. The 31-year old slick-fielding shortstop is having a subpar season similar to many of his teammates, and he is currently hitting .256 with 14 homers and 54 RBI’s. Crawford has only tallied five RBI’s on the month. The Giants are currently averaging 3.75 runs per game, ranking them down at 29th in the Majors. The San Francisco pitching staff owns a 3.87 team ERA, pegging them 13th in the big leagues.

The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.

Full-Game Side Bet
Rating:

I am taking the Padres in this one. The Giants are struggling to score runs in a big way, averaging only 2.9 runs in their last 10 games, and they have lost five straight games heading into Tuesday’s action. Furthermore, the Padres have scored a combined 17 runs in their last three games against the Giants heading into Tuesday, and they are actually averaging more runs per game than the Giants on the season. San Francisco is not scoring enough runs to win ball games right now.

Prediction: San Diego Padres +135

Full-Game Total Pick
Rating:

The under is a solid play in this contest. The Padres have struggled to score with any consistency against the Giants this season, averaging only 3.9 runs in 17 games heading into Tuesday’s action, and the under is 4-1 in their last five games in San Francisco. The Giants are only averaging 3.77 runs against the Padres this season, and they are only hitting .223 as a team in their last five games, plus the under is 19-6-1 in their last 26 home games.

Prediction: Under 7

Full-Game Prop Bet
Rating:

The over on the Padres team total is worth a look. The Giants pitching is struggling right now, squandering at least five runs in five out of their last six games. San Diego is showing some life at the plate, and they have scored at least five runs in three out of their last six games.

Prediction: Padres Team Total: Over 3.5

First Five Innings Side Pick
Rating:

I am taking the Giants on the five inning line. This one could go either way after five innings considering the weak offense from both teams. Giants’ starter Casey Kelly has held his opposition to only three earned runs in his 10.1 innings pitched as a starter this season. The Padres have the better bullpen, and I expect them to shut down the Giants in the second half of the game.

Prediction: San Francisco Giants -125

First Five Innings Total Bet
Rating:

The under on the five inning line is also a strong play. Giants’ starter Casey Kelly owns a stellar 2.89 ERA in his 18.2 innings logged on the season. In addition, Padres’ starter Luis Perdomo features a solid 3.80 career ERA against the Giants.

Prediction: Under 4

First Five Innings Prop Prediction
Rating:

I am taking the Giants to score first. The Padres are very quiet at the plate in the early stages of a game, scoring only a combined 187 runs through innings 1-3. In addition, the first inning is the Giants’ third-highest scoring inning of a game, and they are up against Perdomo who owns a 7.56 ERA on the year.

Prediction: Giants to Score First +100

Adam Rauzino

Adam has been a sports fanatic his entire life, closely following hockey, baseball, basketball and football. Adam enjoys analyzing various stats, as well as studying Sabermetrics and analytics to take his picks to a whole new level. Adam has a passion for writing about about various sports as well as personal finance. He graduated with a diploma in business marketing and business finance.

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