Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#957 Oakland Athletics vs.
#958 Seattle Mariners
Monday, September 27, 2021 at 10:10pm EDT
Written by Chris Kubala

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The final week of the major league baseball regular season is upon us and it brings the start of a series between a pair of AL West rivals in the thick of the wild card chase up in the Pacific Northwest. The Oakland A’s are on the road as they kick off a three-game set with the Seattle Mariners Monday night. Oakland closed a three-game series at home with the Astros Sunday afternoon looking for a sweep. The A’s picked up a 2-1 win on Saturday afternoon in the middle game of the set. Seattle played the rubber game of their three-game set with the Angels on the road Sunday afternoon. The Mariners were trounced 14-1 Saturday night. This article was published prior to the conclusion of both teams’ contests Sunday afternoon.

Oakland A’s Trying to Stay in AL Wild Card Race

Oakland won their second straight as they downed the Astros Saturday though they were swept by Seattle at home in a four-game set last week. The A’s entered Sunday third in the AL West, seven games behind the Astros for the division lead. In the AL wild card race, the team was four games behind the Yankees and Red Sox for the wild card spots with seven to play. On Saturday, Oakland got two hits from Elvis Andrus (run), who was injured scoring the winning run in the bottom of the ninth on a Starling Marte (RBI) double. Sean Manaea didn’t factor in the decision as he threw seven innings, allowing one run on three hits with one walk and eight strikeouts. Andrew Chafin (2-3) earned the win with a scoreless ninth, striking out one, in relief.

Cole Irvin is on the mound as he makes his 31st start of the year for the A’s in this contest. He comes in 10-14 with a 3.99 ERA, a 1.311 WHIP, 38 walks and 117 strikeouts over 169.1 innings of action on the year. Irvin took the loss in his last start, which came Wednesday at home against the Mariners. He threw five innings, allowing three runs on seven hits with three walks and five strikeouts in a game the A’s went on to lose 4-1. Pitching on the road this season, Irvin is 6-7 with a 4.08 ERA, a 1.347 WHIP, 19 walks and 60 strikeouts over 81.2 innings of work in 15 starts. Irvin makes his fifth career start against the Mariners in this contest. He is 0-4 with a 7.56 ERA, a 2.16 WHIP, seven walks and 10 strikeouts over 16.2 innings of work against them. Irvin took the loss in his lone career start at T-Mobile Park, which came July 25. He threw four innings, allowing four runs on five hits with one walk and three strikeouts in a 4-3 A’s defeat.

Seattle Mariners Hoping to Gain Ground in Wild Card Chase

Seattle was pasted by the Angels Saturday night to set up the rubber game of their three-game set Sunday afternoon. The Mariners entered Sunday second in the AL West, six games behind the Astros for the division lead. In the AL wild card chase, the team was three games behind Boston and New York for the two wild card spots with seven games to go. On Saturday, Seattle got two hits from Cal Raleigh while J.P Crawford drove in the lone run with a run-scoring fielder’s choice. Tyler Anderson (7-10) took the loss on the mound as he allowed nine runs on nine hits with a walk and no strikeouts in two-plus innings of work.

Chris Flexen is on the hill as he logs his 30th start of the year for the Mariners in this contest. He comes in 13-6 with a 3.56 ERA, a 1.24 WHIP, 38 walks and 118 strikeouts over 169.1 innings of work this season. Flexen earned the win in his last start, which came Wednesday on the road against the A’s. He threw seven innings, allowing one run on three hits with two walks and eight strikeouts in a 4-1 Seattle victory. At home this season, Flexen is 6-5 with a 3.09 ERA, a 1.145 WHIP, 17 walks and 58 strikeouts over 87.1 innings in 15 starts. Flexen makes his fifth career start against the A’s in this contest. He comes in 2-2 with a 3.24 ERA, a 1.12 WHIP, six walks and 17 strikeouts over 25 innings of work against them. Flexen is 6-5 with a 3.09 ERA, a 1.145 WHIP, 17 walks and 58 strikeouts over 87.1 innings in 15 career starts at T-Mobile Park.

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These teams locked up in Oakland last week with the Mariners sweeping all four games in the series. Flexen beat Irvin in the third game of the series last week and has beaten the A’s twice this season. Irvin has had major problems against the Mariners in his career, losing all four starts and hasn’t gone deeper than five innings in any of those outings. Oakland beat Houston in the first two games of their weekend set but also saw Andrus hurt his ankle scoring the winning run Saturday. It’s hard to know what to expect from the A’s at this point given their ups and downs late in the season. Seattle is at home and they have the momentum from their sweep of the A’s last week. Give the Mariners the advantage at home in this one as they start the final week on a positive note.

Prediction: Seattle Mariners

Full-Game Total Pick

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Irvin has had his ups and downs, much like the rest of the A’s this season. In his last nine starts, he’s seen an average total of 10 runs per game on the board. The over is 4-3-2 in those outings. However, in his four starts against Seattle, the average total is just 6.25 runs with the under clocking in for all four contests. Flexen has seen an average of 9.1 runs per game in his last 10 starts with the under hitting in six of those contests. Eleven of the 16 meetings between the teams this season have fallen short of the total, including five of the last six matchups. With so much at stake for both teams, look for a well-pitched contest that winds up falling short of the total.

Prediction: Under
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Written By Chris Kubala , "Chris Kubala"

Chris Kubala has been immersed in the world of professional and collegiate sports for more than three decades. Whether it's playing pickup games or being involved in organized sports to being a fan, he's checked all the boxes. From the NFL to arena football, the NHL to the KHL, the NBA to the WNBA to college hoops, and even MLB to the KBO.  If it's out there, he's covered it and bet on it as well. as Chris has been an expert bettor in his career.  Before joining Winners and Whiners back in 2015, his work appeared around the internet and in print. He's written books for Ruckus Books about college basketball, the NBA, NFL, MLB, NHL, golf, and the World Cup. If you're looking for the inside track on hitting a winner, do yourself a favor and read what Chris has to say.