Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#2911 Los Angeles Dodgers vs.
#2912 San Diego Padres
Wednesday, September 28, 2022 at 9:40pm EDT
Written by Blake V.

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Los Angeles will play the second game of its series against National League West foe San Diego on Wednesday night. The Dodgers entered this series coming off a pair of wins over St. Louis, while San Diego won the final two games of its series in Colorado. This story was published prior to Tuesday night’s series opener.

Urias trying to maintain top ERA in NL

Los Angeles has been the best team in the MLB this season, which is why the Dodgers are the favorites to win the World Series. They are 5.5 games ahead of Houston for the best record in the majors heading into Tuesday night's slate. Los Angeles won three out of five against Arizona at home last week before taking two out of three against St. Louis over the weekend. The Dodgers are playing their final road games of the regular season before returning home for six games against Colorado to close out the campaign. They could clinch the best record in the MLB within the next few days.

Their offense has been fantastic this season, ranked second in the majors with a batting average of .259. First baseman Freddie Freeman leads the way with 191 hits and 95 RBIs, while shortstop Trea Turner has 184 base knocks. Right fielder Mookie Betts has hit a team-high 35 home runs. They are facing a San Diego pitching staff that is No. 11 with an ERA of 3.86. Left-handed pitcher Julio Urias is going to start for Los Angeles on Wednesday. He allowed one run on three hits and one walk while striking out five across 5.1 innings against Arizona last Thursday. Urias has been the top starting pitcher in the NL, lowering his ERA to 2.25 overall this season. The Dodgers are unlikely to push Urias in this start due to their playoff position.

Padres eyeing rare win over Dodgers

San Diego has not had much success against Los Angeles during the second half of the season, losing seven out of nine meetings. The Padres have won seven of their last nine games coming into this series, though. They took three out of four against Arizona, two out of three against St. Louis and two out of three in Colorado over the weekend. San Diego is on a nine-game homestand to close out the regular season, as it will host the White Sox and Giants down the stretch. The Padres are 1.5-games ahead of Philadelphia and 3.0-games ahead of Milwaukee for the second NL Wild Card spot heading into Tuesday’s slate.

They have been a mediocre offensive team, ranked No. 18 in batting average (.241). Star third baseman Manny Machado leads the way with 163 hits, including 31 home runs. Second baseman Jake Cronenworth has 133 hits, while left fielder Jurickson Profar has 131 hits. They are facing a Los Angeles pitching staff that is No. 1 in the MLB with an ERA of 2.83. Right-handed pitcher Joe Musgrove is going to be on the mound for San Diego in this game. He allowed one run on five hits and two walks while striking out four in five innings in a loss to the Cardinals last Thursday. Musgrove has allowed 13 home runs in 66 innings since the All-Star break, but he still has a 3.12 ERA overall.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

Insiders Status:

Rating:

I certainly do not want to make a habit out of fading the best team in the MLB, but I think that is the play in this game. The Dodgers are almost guaranteed to clinch the best record in the majors sometime in the next few days, while San Diego is fighting for a playoff spot. Los Angeles has the top starter in the NL on the mound in this game, but Urias is going to have his workload closely monitored as the playoffs approach. Meanwhile, Musgrove has been one of the top starters in baseball as well, and the Padres cannot afford to manage his workload. San Diego has been in good form of late and has value on Wednesday night.

Prediction: San Diego +116

Full-Game Total Pick

Insiders Status:

Rating:

These teams have both been going under the total at a high rate of late, and I would be shocked if this is not another low-scoring game with this starting pitching matchup. Musgrove and Urias have been two of the best starters in the MLB, as Urias enters this game with the lowest ERA of any NL starter. He is facing a San Diego lineup that has been below average this season and is without star slugger Fernando Tatis Jr. The Padres have gone under the total in eight of their last 12 games, while the Dodgers have cashed the under in 10 of their last 14 games.

Prediction: Under
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Written By Blake Von Hagen , "Blake V."

Blake is a lifelong sports fan and hoops junkie. Prior to joining our team at Winners & Whiners and StatSalt, Blake worked for several newspapers and websites. He enjoys combining his beat writing expertise with the knack for finding the winning edge in a matchup. Blake is also an avid sports being expert and you would not be disappointed in following him on a daily basis. Remember, it’s a marathon, not a sprint. 
Follow on Twitter @Blake_Vonhagen