Colorado Rockies (65-89) vs. San Francisco Giants (76-78)
The Colorado Rockies and San Francisco Giants close down their 19-game regular-season series with a three-game set finale at Oracle Park in San Francisco on Thursday night, and the first pitch is set at 9:45 PM ET.
Wednesday’s Game 18 has been excluded from the analysis, while the Giants have won 12 of their first 17 meetings with the Rockies in 2022 including a 5-2 victory in Game 17 this past Tuesday. San Francisco is a strong -210 moneyline fave for the closer, and the totals sit at 7.5 runs.
The Rockies sit bottom of the NL WestThe Colorado Rockies fell to the NL West-worst 65-89 following Tuesday’s defeat at Oracle Park. It was their third consecutive loss and seventh in eight games, as the Rockies had another awful day at the plate. Colorado is slashing an underwhelming .228/.301/.386 in September, while the Rockies’ pitching staff has recorded a pedestrian 5.24 ERA and 1.38 WHIP so far this month.
The Rockies miss almost the entire infield, as Kris Bryant, Jose Iglesias, and Brendan Rodgers are all on the injury list. Ryan McMahon has led the way for Colorado’s offense as of late, hitting six home runs in his last 79 at-bats, while C.J. Cron has five dingers in his previous 72 at-bats.
The second 🍔RyMac Jack🍔 in the last 24 hours! pic.twitter.com/CFGLNEjQkA— Colorado Rockies (@Rockies) September 25, 2022
Ryan Feltner will take the hill Thursday in San Francisco and face the Giants for the second time this season. The 26-year-old right-hander tossed six innings of a one-run, two-hit ball in a no-decision against the Giants on August 20. Since then, he’s recorded a poor 5.97 ERA in six starts and 28.2 innings of work. Feltner is 3-8 with a 5.91 ERA, 1.43 WHIP, and 75/30 K/BB ratio in 17 starts and one relief appearance (85.1 innings pitched) in 2022.
The Giants are trying to finish strongThe San Francisco Giants were mathematically alive in the playoff race on Wednesday, though it was clear they’ll miss the 2022 MLB postseason, trailing the final wild-card spot in the National League by seven and a half games. Tuesday’s victory over the Rockies was San Francisco’s seventh win in eight games, and the Giants were searching for their third straight victory in the middle contest of this series.
San Francisco has gone 15-10 through its first 25 outings in September, posting a strong 3.26 ERA and a mediocre 1.25 WHIP. The Giants’ bullpen has been terrific in the last ten days. Across their last 49.2 innings of work, the Giants’ relievers have registered a 1.63 ERA and 2.57 FIP to go with five wins, five saves, and just one loss.
𝓙ust— SFGiants (@SFGiants) September 28, 2022
Carlos Rodon will get the starting call Thursday, and the 29-year-old left-hander is 1-0 with a 3.60 ERA and 1.30 WHIP in two dates with the Rockies in 2022. Rodon has been a dominant force for most of the season and carries a 13-8 record with a sturdy 2.98 ERA, 1.05 WHIP, and 227/52 K/BB ratio across 172 innings of work (30 starts). He struggled in a no-decision at the Arizona Diamondbacks this past Friday, allowing four earned runs on four hits and three walks through 4.1 innings while punching out seven.
Best Bets for this Game
Full-Game Side Bet
The Giants are heating up at the plate. Their OPS sits at .698 for the month of September, but the Giants have slashed .256/.323/.458 with eight home runs in their last 168 at-bats. I’ve mentioned how good their bullpen has been of late, while Carlos Rodon should fare well against the Rockies, who are 15-for-52 with three homers and six RBI versus the Giants’ lefty.
It’s hard to trust Ryan Feltner despite his last performance against the Giants. The Rockies’ bullpen has thrown 36 innings in the last ten days, posting an ugly 6.25 ERA, so I’m backing the Giants to hit hard and beat the runline. Last week, the Giants swept the Rockies in a four-game series at Coors Field, covering a 1.5-run spread on all four occasions.
Full-Game Total Pick
The Rockies own a 96 OPS+ against the righties and 117 OPS+ against the lefties in 2022. They should score a run or two early in this game, as the Rockies have accounted for exactly two runs in each of their previous two dates with Carlos Rodon.
On the other side, Ryan Feltner will have a tall task to dominate the Giants once more, so I’m going with the over on the totals. Feltner has allowed three or more earned runs in eight of his last ten starts, and the Giants are hitting much better than they did back in August.