Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#4917 Oakland Athletics vs.
#4918 Baltimore Orioles
Sunday, September 4, 2022 at 1:35pm EDT
Written by Chris King

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A pair of American League teams from opposite coasts finish up a weekend series on the diamond in Charm City. The Oakland A’s are on the road as they conclude a three-game series with the Baltimore Orioles Sunday afternoon. In the opening game of the series Friday night, it was the Orioles picking up a 5-2 victory to draw first blood in the series. Which team manages to come up victorious here in the series finale to leave town on a positive note?

Baltimore is going for the sweep after beating Oakland 8-1 on Saturday.

A’s Looking to Derail Baltimore’s Momentum

Oakland hung tough against the Orioles but couldn’t find a way to come up with enough offense to earn the victory Friday night. The A’s entered Saturday last in the AL West, 36.5 games behind the Astros for the division lead. They were 23.5 games behind the Blue Jays for the third and final wild-card spot in the American League. On Friday night, Oakland finished with six hits with no player recording more than one in the game. Tony Kemp drove in both runs for the A’s with a two-run single in the fifth inning. JP Sears didn’t factor in the decision as he threw six innings, allowing two runs on six hits with one walk and five strikeouts. Domingo Acevedo (3-3) took the loss as he gave up three runs on two hits with no walks or strikeouts while hitting a batter in one-third of an inning.

Adrian Martinez is on the mound for Oakland as he makes his seventh start of the season in this contest. He comes in 3-3 with a 5.28 ERA, a 1.345 WHIP, nine walks and 25 strikeouts over 29 innings of work this season. Martinez earned the win in his last start, which came at home against the Yankees last Sunday. He threw 5.1 innings, allowing one run on three hits with two walks and six strikeouts in a game the A’s won 4-1. In his last three starts, Martinez is 1-2 with a 4.50 ERA, a 1.29 WHIP, seven walks and 14 strikeouts over 14 innings of action. Martinez makes his first career start against the Orioles here in his seventh major league outing. As a result, this marks his first career outing at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Prior to being recalled, Martinez was 5-7 with a 5.72 ERA, a 1.416 WHIP, 33 walks and 100 strikeouts over 89.2 innings in 18 starts for Triple-A Las Vegas of the Pacific Coast League.

Baltimore Orioles Fighting for Wild Card Position

Baltimore won their third straight game and their eighth in the last 11 contests as they took the opening game of this set Friday night. The Orioles entered Saturday fourth in the AL East, 8.5 games behind the Yankees for the division lead. They were 1.5 games behind the Blue Jays for the final wild-card spot in the American League standings. On Friday night, Ryan Mountcastle (run, RBI) and Gunnar Henderson (run) each had two hits in the contest. Dean Kremer didn’t factor in the decision as he threw six innings, allowing two runs on five hits with one walk and six strikeouts. Dillon Tate (3-3) earned the win in relief, throwing 1.1 scoreless innings, allowing one hit with no walks and one strikeout.

Spenser Watkins takes the ball for his 20th appearance and 19th start of the season for the Orioles in this contest. He comes in 4-5 with a 4.26 ERA, a 1.32 WHIP, 24 walks and 56 strikeouts over 88.2 innings of work on the year. Watkins took the loss in his last start, which came Tuesday on the road against the Guardians. He threw 4.2 innings, allowing five runs on six hits with no walks and three strikeouts in a 5-1 Orioles loss. In his last three starts, Watkins is 0-3 with a 4.41 ERA, a 1.10 WHIP, two walks and 10 strikeouts over 16.1 innings of action. Watkins didn’t factor in the decision in his lone career start against the A’s, which came on the road back on April 18. He threw five innings, allowing one run on two hits with two walks and one strikeout in a game the Orioles dropped 5-1. Watkins is 2-7 with a 6.60 ERA, a 1.613 WHIP, 21 walks and 45 strikeouts over 75 innings in 19 career appearances, 16 starts, at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

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Martinez may be coming off a win over the Yankees in his last start but let’s be honest, the Bronx Bombers’ bats have been cold for the better part of a month. He may not have that same good fortune against an Orioles team that entered Saturday having won eight of 11 and who is battling for a wild card spot, having entered Saturday with 70 victories, which is already more wins than they had in each of the last four seasons. Baltimore has gotten a jolt from the promotion of Gunnar Henderson, who has gone five of 12 with two doubles and a homer in his first three major league games. The Orioles have the better lineup and that works in their favor as they come up with the victory in this contest.

Prediction: Baltimore Orioles -165

Full-Game Total Pick

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Oakland has seen the under post a 70-55-8 record on the season going into Saturday. The A’s are 29th in runs per game with 3.39 per contest. That number does manage to climb somewhat to 3.91 runs per game on the road this season. Oakland’s average total this season is 7.95 runs per game and that climbs to 8.37 runs per contest as the visiting team. Baltimore has seen the under post a 69-56-6 mark on the season entering Saturday’s action. The Orioles are 19th with an average of 4.21 runs per game. That number increases slightly to an average of 4.39 runs per game at home on the season. Baltimore sees an average total of 8.26 runs per game this year, a number that slumps to 8.24 runs a game at home. Oakland entered Saturday having seen the under hit in six of their previous nine games while Baltimore had posted nine straight unders. Lean toward the under in this contest as the A’s have struggled offensively all season long while the Orioles have gotten solid pitching of late.

Prediction: Under 8.5
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Written By Chris King , "Chris King"

Chris King has been immersed in the world of professional and collegiate sports for more than three decades. Whether it's playing pickup games or being involved in organized sports to being a fan, he's checked all the boxes. From the NFL to arena football, the NHL to the KHL, the NBA to the WNBA to college hoops, and even MLB to the KBO.  If it's out there, he's covered it and bet on it as well, as Chris has been an expert bettor in his career.  Before joining Winners and Whiners back in 2015, his work appeared around the internet and in print. He's written books for Ruckus Books about college basketball, the NBA, NFL, MLB, NHL, golf, and the World Cup. If you're looking for the inside track on hitting a winner, do yourself a favor and read what Chris has to say.