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Sacramento Kings vs. Golden State Warriors,
01/08/17 - Prediction

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#513 Golden State
Warriors
#514 Sacramento
Kings

Sunday, January 8, 2017 at 9:05pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Golden State Warriors

-

-
ATS
-
O/U
0
PPG
0
OPPG

Sacramento Kings

-

-
ATS
-
O/U
0
PPG
0
OPPG

Betting Trends

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Golden State Warriors (31-6 SU, 15-21-1 ATS, 18-19 O/U) vs. Sacramento Kings (15-21 SU, 18-17-1 ATS, 16-20 O/U)

NBA: Sunday, January 8, 2017, Golden 1 Center, Sacramento, California, 9 pm ET

Line: Golden State -10; Over/Under: 223.5

It’s a Pacific Division tilt between a pair of teams from the state of California. The Golden State Warriors are on the road as they battle the Sacramento Kings Sunday night. Golden State had their four game win streak snapped with a 128-119 overtime loss to Memphis Friday. Sacramento lost for the fourth time in five games as they were dumped 106-98 at home by the Clippers Friday. Golden State has a narrow 197-185 edge in the all-time regular season series between the teams. The Warriors won the last 12 meetings between the teams, including a 123-113 win here in the most recent matchup on January 9, 2016.

Golden State Warriors Seek Win After Epic Meltdown

Golden State was poised to make it five straight wins as they led by as many as 24 and held a 19 point edge entering the fourth quarter against Memphis. The Warriors seemed to have it in the bag but no one told Memphis. Golden State went ice cold, hitting 5 of 22 shots from the floor in the fourth quarter and overtime while being outscored 49-21 to end up with a stunning loss. The Warriors shot 49.4 percent from the floor but went only 8 of 30 from beyond the arc in the contest. Golden State turned the ball over 16 times and saw its bench group outscored 53-14. Stephen Curry had 40 points and six assists to lead the Warriors in the loss.

The Warriors come into this one #1 in the league in scoring with 117.5 points per game. Golden State stands 7th in rebounding with 45.1 per contest. The Warriors are leading the league by dishing out 31 assists a night. Golden State has to improve defensively as they are 20th in scoring defense, allowing 105.7 points a night. Kevin Durant is the leading scorer this season, posting 25.9 points and 8.8 rebounds per game. Stephen Curry adds 24.6 points plus 5.8 assists while Klay Thompson contributes 21.4 points a night. Draymond Green is chipping in with 10.9 points, 8.6 rebounds, 7.5 assists and 2.11 steals so far this year. Zaza Pachulia, Andre Iguodala, David West and Shaun Livingston are key complementary pieces for the Warriors’ rotation. The Warriors are tops in the league, shooting 49.8 percent from the floor as a team. Golden State is 3rd with 11.7 triples a night while the team stands tied for 4th by sinking 37.9 percent of their attempts from beyond the arc.

Sacramento Kings Seek Home Division Victory

Sacramento has slumped a bit lately with four losses in five games. The Kings need to get back on track if they hope to hang in the playoff race in the Western Conference. Sacramento held a 10 point edge after the opening quarter only to get outscored 34-12 in the second to trail by 12 at halftime. The Kings cut the deficit to two entering the fourth but didn’t have enough to get over the hump. Sacramento was held to 41.4 percent shooting from the floor and misfired on 21 of their 30 three point attempts in the loss. DeMarcus Cousins led the Kings with 25 points, 11 rebounds and seven assists in the loss.

The Kings have struggled on the offensive end of the floor this season. Sacramento is 21st in the league in scoring with 102.2 points per game and 29th in rebounding with 40.9 boards per contest. The Kings are tied for 18th with 21.6 assists a night. Sacramento has been average defensively, ranking 16th by allowing 104.6 points per game. Demarcus Cousins leads the way with 28.5 points and 10 rebounds per game this year. Rudy Gay is a solid secondary option for the Kings as he puts up 18.5 points and 6.3 rebounds per game. Darren Collison contributes 12.6 points plus 4.3 assists per contest since returning. Arron Afflalo, Ben McLemore, Matt Barnes, Ty Lawson, Garrett Temple and Kosta Koufos all have to contribute when given a chance for the Kings to succeed.  Sacramento is 17th in the league in field goal percentage as they shoot 45 percent from the floor. The Kings stand tied for 20th in the league with 8.7 three pointers per game and tied for 18th in three point shooting at 35.2 percent from beyond the arc.

Trends:

Golden State

  • Warriors are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 Sunday games
  • Warriors are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record
  • Warriors are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall

Sacramento

  • Kings are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600
  • Kings are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games following a straight up loss

The Warriors have to be seething after letting such a massive lead go by the wayside against Memphis. It was the first time since April 2013 that a team blew a lead of at least 19 points entering the fourth quarter and lost. Golden State has had a tough time covering double digit lines this season and let’s be honest, the Kings aren’t a terrible team. Having Gay back after he missed time with a hip strain is a good boost. Take the points and the Kings if you’re playing the line. Golden State likely gets the win but it’s by single digits.

Pick: Sacramento Kings +10

Golden State has one of the most ridiculous assortment of riches as you’ll find in the salary cap era. Accordingly, it’s led them to the league’s best record and a scoring average that resembles when you play NBA 2K17 against a three year old. The Warriors, for all their scoring, haven’t been a lock to go over the total this season, failing in more than half their games. The under has won out in nine of the Warriors’ last 10 on the road and in eight of their last 10 on one day of rest.

Sacramento is a tough team to read as they have stretches where they look very good combined with some that are absolutely dismal. The Kings have a pair of excellent frontcourt players in Cousins and Gay but they need more perimeter shooting. The under has popped up in seven of the last eight games against division rivals for Sacramento and in four of their last five on Sunday. In the series, the under has come up in four of the last five meetings in Sacramento. That trend continues here in a lower than expected scoring output.

Under 223.5

4

Chris Kubala

Christopher Kubala has been crunching stats and following sports for over 30 years. His in depth analysis and passion for sports have led him to writing books about sports, regularly being featured on sports talk radio and as the go-to person for any obscure trivia. He keeps an eye on transactions and statistics like a hawk, especially when it comes to football, both the NFL and college, the NHL, the NBA and college basketball and MLB.

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