Los Angeles Lakers (16-31 SU, 20-26-1 ATS, 26-20-1 O/U) vs. Dallas Mavericks (14-29 SU, 21-22 ATS, 18-24-1 O/U)
NBA: Sunday, January 22, 2017, American Airlines Center, Dallas, Texas, 3:30 pm ET
Line: Dallas -5.5; Over/Under: 206
It’s a matchup of two of the worst teams in the Western Conference meeting up in the Lone Star State. The Los Angeles Lakers are on the road as they battle the Dallas Mavericks Sunday afternoon. Los Angeles snapped a five game skid as they knocked off Indiana 108-96 at home Friday night. Dallas dropped their second straight with a 112-107 overtime loss at home to the Jazz Friday night. Los Angeles has a commanding 104-44 edge in the all-time regular season series. Dallas has reeled off 12 straight wins in the series, including a 101-89 win on the road in the most recent matchup this season on December 29, 2016.
Los Angeles Lakers Look for Rare Road Victory
Los Angeles had dropped five straight but took care of the Pacers at home to get back in the win column. It was just the Lakers’ sixth win in their last 27 games after starting the year 10-10. Los Angeles bounced back from a two point halftime deficit by outscoring Indiana 35-22 in the third quarter. The Lakers hit 47.1 percent from the field and splashed 14 of 33 from beyond the arc. Los Angeles controlled the glass by a 51-37 margin and forced 20 turnovers to help overcome 23 of their own. Lou Williams put up 27 points to lead the Lakers for his seventh game with at least 25 points off the bench. That mark leads the NBA this season.
The Lakers are 17th in the league in scoring offense as they put up 104.7 points per game. Los Angeles is 13th in rebounding with 43.9 per contest and 24th in assists with 20.9 per game. The Lakers stand 27th in the league in scoring defense as they allow 110.2 points per night. Lou Williams leads the team with 18 points plus 3.1 assists a night off the bench. Julius Randle puts up 13.3 points plus 8.5 rebounds while Jordan Clarkson is good for 14 points a night. Nick Young (13.8 ppg) and D’Angelo Russell (14.3 ppg, 4.4 assists) are also scoring in double figures this season. Timofey Mozgov, Brandon Ingram, Luol Deng and Larry Nance Jr. are key reserves in the mix for Los Angeles. The Lakers are 21st in the league in field goal percentage as they shoot 44.6 percent as a team. Los Angeles is tied for 13th in the league with 9.3 triples per game while standing 17th in three point shooting at 35.5 percent from downtown.
Dallas Mavericks Try to Snap Skid
Dallas lost their second straight tough game as they battled the Jazz only to fall short in the extra session. The Mavericks shot 44.8 percent from the field in the game while hitting 8 of 23 three point attempts. Dallas was beaten 53-42 on the glass as they didn’t have an answer for Rudy Gobert. The Mavericks gave up a ton of free throws and that proved critical in the contest. Utah hit 28 of 39 at the charity stripe while Dallas was 21 of 28 in the game. Harrison Barnes led seven Mavericks in double figures with 19 points in the loss. Dirk Nowitzki had one of the worst games in his career, going 1 of 13 from the floor and finishing with three points though he did add 10 rebounds.
The Mavericks have struggled on the offensive end of the floor this season. Dallas is last in the league in scoring with 96 points per game. The Mavericks are last in rebounding with 37.9 boards per contest and are fourth worst in the league with 20 assists per game. Dallas is above average on the defensive end, ranking 4th in scoring defense with 100.7 points per game. Harrison Barnes leads the team with 20.5 points plus 5.3 rebounds a night. J.J. Barea puts up 12.2 points plus 4.9 assists a night while Deron Williams contributes 13.7 points plus 7.1 assists per night. Wesley Matthews chips in 15 points a game while Dirk Nowitzki kicks in 13 points plus 5.9 boards. Seth Curry (10.5 points), Andrew Bogut, Justin Anderson and Dorian Finney-Smith are other players that need to step up and help the Mavericks. Dallas is 27th in the league in field goal percentage as they shoot 43.5 percent as a team. The Mavericks are 6th in threes with 10.7 per game but are tied for 18th in three point shooting by hitting only 35.4 percent from beyond the arc.
- Lakers are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 vs. NBA Southwest
- Lakers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games
- Lakers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 1 day of rest
- Mavericks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game
- Mavericks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. NBA Pacific
- Mavericks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall
This one is an interesting matchup as the Lakers are still a young team that is trying to put things together. Dallas has some veteran pieces but injuries derailed their chances at a successful season. The Mavericks will miss Barea’s presence as a spark plug and have to figure out who will step in and take his place in the interim. Los Angeles is inconsistent as they have to find the right fit for some of their young guys. The Mavericks, playing at home, play off the Lakers’ road woes and get the victory here.
Pick: Dallas Mavericks
Two teams from the Western Conference that are stuck looking to next year more than likely battle here. The Mavericks went to the wire against the Jazz but didn’t have an answer for Rudy Gobert in the low block, who destroyed them with 27 points and 25 rebounds. Dallas also lost Barea, who re-injured his hamstring in a different spot and according to coach Rick Carlisle, might be out “weeks instead of days.” Los Angeles got back in the win column by downing the Pacers but are just 5-18 on the road this season.
Los Angeles has gone under the number in seven of their last eight against teams with a losing record, in five of their last six on the road against teams with a losing home record and four of their last five after an ATS win. The Mavericks have gone under the total in their last seven Sunday games, in their last four after an ATS win and in their last four after scoring at least 100 points. The under is 10-1 in Dallas’s last 11 on one day of rest and 5-1 in their last six against the Pacific. In the last five meetings between these teams, four have gone under the total and so have five of the last seven meetings in Dallas. This will be a lower scoring affair as the Mavericks struggle to score, even with the Lakers’ weak defense.