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Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Portland Trailblazers,
02/05/17 - Prediction

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#855 Portland
Trailblazers
#856 Oklahoma City
Thunder

Sunday, February 5, 2017 at 3:05pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Portland Trailblazers

-

-
ATS
-
O/U
0
PPG
0
OPPG

Oklahoma City Thunder

-

-
ATS
-
O/U
0
PPG
0
OPPG

Betting Trends

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Portland Trail Blazers (22-29 SU, 22-29 ATS, 29-22 O/U) vs. Oklahoma City Thunder (29-22 SU, 27-23-1 ATS, 23-28 O/U)

NBA: Sunday, February 5, 2017, Chesapeake Energy Arena, Oklahoma City, Oklahoma, 3 pm ET

Line: Oklahoma City -4; Over/Under: 216.5

It’s a matchup of Northwest Division foes down in the Sooner State. The Portland Trail Blazers are on the road as they travel to face the Oklahoma City Thunder Sunday afternoon. Portland lost for the second time in three games as they fell 108-104 at home to the Mavericks Friday night. Oklahoma City snapped a three game losing skid as they took down the Grizzlies 114-102 at home Friday night. The Thunder holds a narrow 115-110 advantage in the all-time regular season series between the teams. The Trail Blazers took the first meeting this season, winning 114-95 at home on December 13, 2016.

Portland Trail Blazers Trying to Improve Playoff Chances

Portland battled but didn’t have enough to take down a Dallas team that has been playing pretty solid basketball of late. The Trail Blazers dug themselves a 13 point deficit after the opening quarter and despite their best efforts, it proved to be too much to overcome. Portland shot 45.5 percent from the field but was burned by three point shooting in the game. The Trail Blazers shot 9 of 30 from beyond the arc while the Mavericks drilled 17 of 31 attempts from long range. C.J. McCollum led Portland with 28 points in the loss while Damian Lillard had 13 while shooting only 4 of 20 from the floor.

Portland comes into this one 8th in the league in scoring with 107.7 points per game. The Trail Blazers are 24th in the league in rebounding as they collect 42.7 boards a night. Portland is 18th in the league in assists with 22.1 per contest. The Trail Blazers are below average defensively as they come in 26th in the league by allowing 109.9 points a night. Damian Lillard is far and away the go-to guy for the Blazers as he rings up 25.9 points per game while dishing out 5.8 assists per contest. C.J. McCollum (23.5 points) and Maurice Harkless (10.8 points) are both scoring in double figures for the Blazers. Al-Farouq Aminu, Mason Plumlee (11 points, eight rebounds), Allen Crabbe (10.7 points) and Evan Turner all contribute at least seven points a night for Portland’s attack. Portland is tied for 13th in the league in field goal percentage by shooting 45.6 percent from the floor. The Trail Blazers are knocking down 10.2 three pointers a night, which is 9th in the league, while ranking 15th by shooting 35.8 percent from downtown.

Oklahoma City Thunder Seeking Second Straight Win

Oklahoma City managed to get back in the win column after a three game slide but it wasn’t easy by any stretch. The Thunder trailed by two after one quarter, led by 10 at the half and then trailed by two entering the fourth quarter. In the final stanza, it was the Russell Westbrook show as he helped Oklahoma City pick up the win. The Thunder outscored the Grizzlies 34-20 in the fourth quarter to get the win. Oklahoma City shot 47.5 percent from the field and knocked down 13 of 26 three point attempts. The Thunder held a dominant 48-29 edge on the glass in the contest. Westbrook posted a triple-double with 38 points, 13 rebounds and 12 assists in the win.

The Thunder is a good offensive unit this season as they are 13th with an average of 105.8 points per game. Oklahoma City is 4th in the league in rebounding with 45.6 boards per contest. The Thunder is 21st in assists with 21.2 per game. Oklahoma City is 18th in the league in scoring defense as they allow 105.6 points a night. Russell Westbrook leads the team with 30.8 points, 10.5 rebounds and 10.3 assists per game this season. Victor Oladipo contributes 15.9 points per game while Steven Adams chips in 12.2 points and 7.8 rebounds a night. Enes Kanter (14.4 points, 6.7 rebounds) and Domantas Sabonis are key big men in the rotation while Anthony Morrow, Andre Roberson, Kyle Singler and Jerami Grant are major pieces in the backcourt. Kanter is currently out with a broken arm sustained after punching a chair last month. Oklahoma City is 18th in the league in field goal percentage as the team shoots 45.2 percent from the floor. The Thunder is tied for 24th with 8.5 made threes per game and a measly 29th in three point shooting at 32.5 percent.

Trends:

Portland

  • Trail Blazers are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning home record

Oklahoma City

  • Thunder are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400
  • Thunder are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games
  • Thunder are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record

The Trail Blazers have one of the most explosive backcourt duos in the league but they don’t play defense. Oklahoma City has Westbrook, who is worth the price of admission on any given night. The Thunder is a good team at home this season and Portland struggles on the road. The Trail Blazers don’t have the weapons to take advantage of Oklahoma City’s shortcomings. Look for the Thunder to come up with the victory in this contest as they make it two straight wins at home.

Pick: Oklahoma City Thunder -4

The Trail Blazers are in a five team dogfight for what may be only one playoff spot in the Western Conference. Denver, Portland, Minnesota, Sacramento and New Orleans all entered Saturday within three games of each other with the Nuggets holding the final playoff spot. The Thunder has a bit more wiggle room but they would like to be able to catch the Jazz and take over the Northwest Division lead if for no other reason to improve their seeding. With that means a more favorable first round matchup in addition to potential home court advantage in the opening round.

The under is 5-0 in the Trail Blazers last 5 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game, 4-1 in their last 5 games playing on 1 day of rest and 9-3 in their last 12 games following a straight up loss. Oklahoma City has seen the under go 6-0 in their last 6 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points and 4-1 in their last 5 vs. a team with a losing straight up record. The teams have seen the under go 22-7-2 in the last 31 meetings in Oklahoma City. Expect that trend to continue here with another lower total.

Under 216.5

4

Chris Kubala

Christopher Kubala has been crunching stats and following sports for over 30 years. His in depth analysis and passion for sports have led him to writing books about sports, regularly being featured on sports talk radio and as the go-to person for any obscure trivia. He keeps an eye on transactions and statistics like a hawk, especially when it comes to football, both the NFL and college, the NHL, the NBA and college basketball and MLB.

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