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San Antonio Spurs vs. Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction,
Preview,
and Odds - 1-12-2019

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#569 San Antonio
Spurs 224.5
#570 Oklahoma City
Thunder -6

Saturday, January 12, 2019 at 8:05pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

San Antonio Spurs

25 - 18

26-16
ATS
24-19
O/U
112
PPG
109
OPPG

Oklahoma City Thunder

25 - 16

22-19
ATS
18-22
O/U
112
PPG
107
OPPG

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It’s a battle of Western Conference teams in the playoff picture down in the Sooner State. The San Antonio Spurs are on the road as they travel to face the Oklahoma City Thunder Saturday night. These teams kicked off a home and home set Thursday night in San Antonio with the Spurs taking a wild 154-147 double overtime win. The Spurs lead the all-time regular season series 93-75 with Thursday’s game being the first matchup between the teams this season.

San Antonio Spurs Look to Pick Up Win in Road Half of Home and Home

San Antonio bounced back from a loss to Memphis on the road by downing Oklahoma City at home Thursday night. The Spurs entered Friday with a half-game edge over the Rockets in the Southwest Division race. San Antonio led by 10 after the opening quarter and by 12 after three quarters before seeing the Thunder rally to force overtime. In the second overtime, the Spurs took command as they never trailed and outscored the Thunder 13-6 en route to the win. San Antonio shot 56.6 percent from the field, including a blistering 16 of 19 from three point range, and sank 26 of 29 free throw attempts in the game. LaMarcus Aldridge scored a career-high 56 points to go with nine rebounds, four assists and four blocks to lead the Spurs. San Antonio is 9-11 ATS on the road this season and the over is 12-7-1 in those games.

The Spurs are above average offensively this season, ranking 11th in scoring offense with 112.3 points per game. San Antonio is 19th in rebounding with 44.5 boards a contest while the team is 11th in assists with 24.9 dimes per game. San Antonio is 11th in the league in scoring defense as they allow 109.2 points a game. LaMarcus Aldridge contributes 20.7 points and 8.6 rebounds a night. DeMar DeRozan puts up a team leading 22.2 points and 6.5 assists per game in his first season in San Antonio. Pau Gasol averages mans the low post while Rudy Gay (13.6 points, 6.6 boards), Patty Mills, Davis Bertans, Bryn Forbes (12.4 points), Dante Cunningham, Marco Belinelli (10.1 points), Lonnie Walker IV and Jakob Poeltl all are going to be looked at to contribute for coach Gregg Popovich’s team. The Spurs are 4th in the league by shooting 47.9 percent from the field. San Antonio is tied for 24th in three point field goals per game with 9.8 per contest. The Spurs are 1st in the league by knocking down 40.5 percent of their long range attempts. Dejounte Murray (torn ACL, out for the season) and Gay (sprained wrist) are missing: Gay is out indefinitely.

Oklahoma City Thunder Trying to Close Gap in Northwest Division

Oklahoma City piled up a ton of points and did everything you could ask for offensively but took their third straight loss. The Thunder entered Friday third in the Western Conference, 3.5 games behind the Nuggets for the top spot in the conference and the Northwest Division. Oklahoma City battled but their defense let them down Thursday. The Thunder trailed by as many as 16 in the game and was down 12 after three quarters before rallying to force overtime. In the second overtime, Oklahoma City ran out of steam and ended up with the loss. The Thunder shot 50.9 percent from the field, including 15 of 35 from three point range, but missed eight of 24 free throw attempts in the loss. Paul George led the Thunder with 30 points while Russell Westbrook had 24 points, 13 rebounds and a career-high 24 assists. Oklahoma City is 10-9 ATS at home this season while the over is 11-7-1 in those contests.

The Thunder is slightly above average offensively this season as they are 10th with an average of 112.6 points per game. Oklahoma City is 2nd in the league in rebounding with 48.5 boards per contest. The Thunder is 24th in assists with 22.5 per game. Oklahoma City is 8th in the league in scoring defense as they allowed 107.3 points a night. Russell Westbrook is second on the team as he puts up 21.3 points, 10.8 rebounds, 10.7 assists and 2.52 steals per game. Paul George adds 26.9 points plus eight boards and 2.18 steals a contest in his second year with the team. Steven Adams chips in 15.5 points plus 10.1 boards a night while Dennis Schroder adds 15.2 points and 4.4 assists per game. Jerian Grant (12.6 points, five rebounds), Corey Brewer, Terrance Ferguson, Andre Roberson, Raymond Felton, Alex Abrines and Patrick Patterson have to make their presence known on both ends. Roberson is still out after rupturing his patellar tendon on January 27. He suffered a setback and will be out until at least mid-January as a second surgery may be required. Oklahoma City is tied for 16th in the league in field goal percentage as the team shoots 45.7 percent from the floor. The Thunder is tied for 24th with 9.8 made threes per game and stand 30th in three point shooting at 32.6 percent.

The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.

Full-Game Side Bet
Rating:

San Antonio has been on a roll of late with six wins in their last seven games coming into this contest. The Spurs entered Friday with a half game edge in the Southwest Division race and they got the upper hand against Oklahoma City. The Thunder is dealing with question marks as Adams is questionable here while Noel and Abrines are missing. With one key big man missing and another one questionable here, you have to be worried about the Thunder. Look for San Antonio to get the win here.

Prediction: San Antonio Spurs

Full-Game Total Pick
Rating:

You have to wonder how much these teams have left after that war that skyrocketed over the total Thursday night. Both teams needed Friday just to recover from that contest. The loss of Gay for the Spurs is going to be problematic but the Thunder has their own issues to deal with on the injury front. Oklahoma City has played well at home but three straight losses has to be a bit of a concern. Can the Thunder find a way to get back in the win column in this contest?

The under is 6-2 in the Spurs’ last 8 Saturday games and 8-3 in their last 11 against Western Conference opponents. Oklahoma City has seen the under go 5-1 in their last 6 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game, 15-5 in their last 20 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game and 6-2 in their last 8 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. The teams have stayed under the total in each of their last four meetings in Oklahoma City: after Thursday’s explosive offensive showing, this one ends up under the number.

Prediction: Under

Chris Kubala

Christopher Kubala has been crunching stats and following sports for over 30 years. His in depth analysis and passion for sports have led him to writing books about sports, regularly being featured on sports talk radio and as the go-to person for any obscure trivia. He keeps an eye on transactions and statistics like a hawk, especially when it comes to football, both the NFL and college, the NHL, the NBA and college basketball and MLB.

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