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Golden State Warriors vs. Dallas Mavericks Prediction,
Preview,
and Odds - 1-13-2019

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#589 Golden State
Warriors -6
#590 Dallas
Mavericks 228.5

Sunday, January 13, 2019 at 7:05pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Golden State Warriors

28 - 14

18-24
ATS
22-20
O/U
117
PPG
111
OPPG

Dallas Mavericks

20 - 22

25-17
ATS
20-21
O/U
109
PPG
109
OPPG

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It’s a battle of Western Conference foes in the Lone Star State on the parquet floor. The Golden State Warriors are on the road as they travel to face the Dallas Mavericks Sunday night. Golden State comes in off a 146-109 demolition of the Bulls at home Friday night. Dallas comes in off a 119-115 road win over Minnesota Friday night in their last game. The Mavericks lead the all-time regular season series 80-77 but the Warriors have won 11 of the last 12 matchups. The teams split two meetings earlier this season with Golden State taking a 120-116 home win in the last matchup on December 22, 2018.

Golden State Warriors Look to Pick Up Road Win

Golden State destroyed Chicago at home in their last contest to pick up their third straight game. The Warriors entered Saturday second in the Western Conference, one game behind the Nuggets. Golden State leads the Pacific Division by 3.5 games over the Clippers. The Warriors buried Chicago early, taking a 43-17 edge after the opening quarter and didn’t look back. Golden State shot a sizzling 57.6 percent from the field, including 18 of 39 from three point range, and dominated the glass by a 49-29 margin. Klay Thompson paced the Warriors with 30 points in the win. Golden State is 8-11 ATS on the road this season while the over is 12-7 in those games.

The Warriors currently are 1st in the league in scoring with 117.4 points per game. Golden State stands 9th in rebounding with 46.1 boards per contest. The Warriors are 1st in the league by dishing out 28.5 assists a night. Golden State is below average defensively as they are 20th in scoring defense, allowing 111.7 points a night. Kevin Durant is the team’s second-leading scorer this season, posting 28.2 points and 7.3 rebounds plus 6.1 assists per game. Stephen Curry is leading the team as he posts 28.8 points plus 5.6 assists while Klay Thompson contributes 21.8 points a night. Draymond Green chips in with 7.1 points, eight rebounds, 6.8 assists and 1.61 steals per game on the year. Andre Iguodala, Kevon Looney, Quinn Cook (8.1 points), Jonas Jerebko and Shaun Livingston are key complementary pieces for the Warriors’ rotation. The Warriors are 1st in the league as they are shooting 48.2 percent from the floor as a team this year. Golden State is 4th with 12.5 triples a night while the team is 3rd by sinking 38.3 percent of their attempts from beyond the arc. DeMarcus Cousins is ramping up his activity as he targets a January 18 return after suffering an Achilles injury back in February. Damian Jones suffered a torn pectoral in the loss to Detroit December 1 and is expected to miss the rest of the season.

Dallas Mavericks Try to Spring Upset

Dallas won their second straight as they picked up a rare road win as they downed Minnesota Friday night. The Mavericks entered Saturday 11th in the Western Conference, 2.5 games behind the Lakers for the final playoff spot. Dallas led by two after the opening quarter and by 11 at the half before getting into a tight game late. Luka Doncic hit a three pointer with 23.9 seconds to play to give the Mavericks the lead and the win. The Mavericks shot 45.4 percent from the field, including 13 of 38 from three point range, and lost the rebounding battle 53-43. Doncic led the team with 29 points, eight rebounds and 12 assists in the win. Dallas is 14-6 ATS on the road this season while the under is 11-8-1 in those games.

The Mavericks have been average on the offensive end of the floor this season. Dallas is 19th in the league in scoring with 109.9 points per game. The Mavericks are 10th in rebounding with 46 boards per contest and are 23rd in the league with 22.6 assists per game. Dallas is average on the defensive end, ranking 13th in scoring defense by allowing 109.4 points per game. Rookie Luka Doncic is currently leading the team with 20 points plus 6.7 rebounds and five assists per game this season. Wesley Matthews puts up 13.4 points a night while DeAndre Jordan is good for 10.9 points and 14 boards per contest. Dwight Powell, Dennis Smith Jr. (12.6 points), Dorian Finney-Smith and J.J. Barea (10.9 points, 5.6 assists) are off to strong starts. Maximilian Kleber, Jalen Brunson, Devin Harris along with the recuperating Dirk Nowitzki, who just made his season debut December 13 against Phoenix, Devin Harris and Harrison Barnes (18.1 points) will be key pieces for Rick Carlisle as the season wears on. Dallas is tied for 21st in the league in field goal percentage as they shoot 45.2 percent as a team. The Mavericks are tied for 6th in threes with 11.9 per game but are tied for 12th in three point shooting by hitting 34.6 percent from beyond the arc. Barea tore his Achilles against the Timberwolves on January 11 and is expected to miss the rest of the season.

The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.

Full-Game Side Bet
Rating:

Dallas has played well at home this season but they are going to have their work cut out facing the defending champs. The Mavericks are going to have to try and contain the big three for the Warriors, which is going to be a challenge. Golden State has picked up some momentum and are in the mix for the top spot in the Western Conference. The Mavericks hang around for a while but the Warriors do enough to put this one away and earn the win.

Prediction: Golden State Warriors -5.5

Full-Game Total Pick
Rating:

Dallas is going to have to deal with the highest scoring team in the league in this contest. The Mavericks have been excellent at home this season, going 16-4 straight up and 14-6 ATS at home on the year. Doncic is playing solid basketball at home on the year as they look to try and climb the standings in the Western Conference to try and get back in the playoff picture. Golden State is extremely tough and once Cousins joins the team, they’ll be even more dangerous. Can the Warriors maintain their momentum and comes up with the win here?

The over is 4-0 in the Warriors’ last 4 vs. a team with a losing straight up record, 4-1 in their last 5 overall, 4-1 in their last 5 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game and 4-1 in their last 5 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game. Dallas has seen the over go 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a winning straight up record and 4-1 in their last five on Sunday. The teams have gone over the total in each of their last four meetings and four of the last five in Dallas. This one ends up over the number thanks to terrific offensive showings on both sides.

Prediction: Over 228.5

Half-Time Side Pick
Rating:

Golden State continues to ride their Big Three as Durant, Curry and Thompson each are putting up more than 21 points a night this season. It will be interesting to see how the touches get distributed when Cousins makes his season debut. With that said, we just saw that trio put up 80 points in the romp over Chicago at home. Dallas is trying to rely heavily on their rookie Doncic and Barnes. There’s not enough weapons to keep up with in this one: the Warriors have the edge at the half.

Prediction: Golden State Warriors -2.5

Half-Time Total Bet
Rating:

We’re going to see a clash of styles in this one as the Warriors are the league’s top offensive unit. Golden State has been putting up big point totals of late, which has helped push their season average up nearly two points a game over the last couple of weeks. Dallas has been average on both ends of the floor. The Mavericks are going to have to replace the leadership and production that Barea brought the second unit. It won’t happen easily and that dents the production that Dallas’s bench group brings. Look for this one to be under the number at the half.

Prediction: Under 117

Chris Kubala

Christopher Kubala has been crunching stats and following sports for over 30 years. His in depth analysis and passion for sports have led him to writing books about sports, regularly being featured on sports talk radio and as the go-to person for any obscure trivia. He keeps an eye on transactions and statistics like a hawk, especially when it comes to football, both the NFL and college, the NHL, the NBA and college basketball and MLB.

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