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A pair of Eastern Conference teams in different situations take the floor down in Hotlanta. The Milwaukee Bucks are on the road as they travel to face the Atlanta Hawks Sunday afternoon. Milwaukee was beaten 113-106 on the road by Washington Friday night in their last game. Atlanta picked up a 123-121 road win over Philadelphia Friday night in their previous contest. The Hawks lead the all-time regular season series 110-107 but the Bucks have won five straight meetings, including a 144-112 home win in the first matchup this season on January 4.
Milwaukee Bucks Look to Bounce Back
Milwaukee played Friday night without Giannis Antetokounmpo and ended up falling to the Wizards. The Bucks entered Saturday 1.5 games behind the Raptors for the top spot in the Eastern Conference and held a 1.5 game lead over the Pacers in the Central Division. Milwaukee trailed by 14 after the opening quarter and never led the rest of the way. The Bucks tied the game midway through the third quarter but saw Washington pull away with the win. Milwaukee shot 44.9 percent from the field, including 13 of 40 from three point range, but allowed Washington to knock down 18 of 33 from beyond the arc. Khris Middleton led the Bucks with 25 points and eight rebounds in the loss. Milwaukee is 8-9-1 ATS on the road this season while the under is 11-7 in those games.
— Milwaukee Bucks (@Bucks) January 12, 2019
The Bucks are above average so far this season offensively, ranking 2nd in the league with 117.2 points a game. Milwaukee is elite on the boards at this point of the year as they are 1st with 49.2 rebounds per game. The Bucks are 5th in assists as they dish out 26.5 per contest. Milwaukee is 10th in scoring defense as they allow 108.1 points per game. Giannis Antetokounmpo leads the team with an average of 26.6 points to go with 12.8 rebounds and six assists per game. Khris Middleton (17.8 points), Brook Lopez (12.2 points), Eric Bledsoe (15.1 points, 5.6 assists) and Malcolm Brogdon (15.7 points) are all averaging in double figures for the Bucks. Ersan Ilyasova, Donte DiVincenzo, George Hill, Tony Snell, Pat Connaughton, Thon Maker and Jason Smith are all contributors for coach Mike Budenholzer. Milwaukee is 4th in the league in field goal percentage as the team shoots 47.8 percent from the floor. The Bucks are tied for 2nd with 13.4 three point field goals per game and stand tied for 18th as they shoot 34.7 percent from beyond the arc.
Atlanta Hawks Seek to Build Off Road Win
Atlanta went on the road and upended Philadelphia, who played without Joel Embiid. The Hawks entered Saturday 12th in the Eastern Conference, 6.5 games behind the Hornets for the final playoff spot. Atlanta was involved in a tight, back and forth game throughout the contest. The Hawks were tied in the closing minute before John Collins hit the go-ahead jumper with 9.1 seconds to play. Atlanta survived a wild final possession where Jimmy Butler missed two free throws and then the 76ers missed two potential putbacks that could have tied the game. The Hawks shot 55.6 percent from the field, including 12 of 25 from three point range, and overcame 21 turnovers in the game. Kevin Huerter finished with a career-high 29 points in the win. Atlanta is 6-11 ATS on the road this season while the over is 9-8 in those games.
.@KevinHuerter is making his presence known in the league.
New career-high of 2⃣9⃣ points.#TrueToAtlanta
— Atlanta Hawks (@ATLHawks) January 12, 2019
The Hawks are 20th in the league in scoring offense with 109 points per game this season. Atlanta is 13th in the league in rebounding (45.4 rpg) and 9th with 25.4 assists per contest. The Hawks are 30th in the NBA in scoring defense as they allow 117.3 points per game. Taurean Prince is third on the team with 15 points per game on the year. Rookie Trae Young is second on the team with 15.6 points plus 7.2 assists while Kent Bazemore is putting up 14 points a night. The Hawks need more production from Miles Plumlee, John Collins (team-high 19.1 points, 10.5 rebounds), Jeremy Lin (10.9 points), Dewayne Dedmon, Omari Spellman, Vince Carter, Alex Poythress and Alex Len offensively in order to have any success. The Hawks are 24th in the league by shooting 44.7 percent from the floor as a team. Atlanta is 10th in the league with 11.4 made three pointers a night and 28th in three point shooting as the team hits 33.5 percent from beyond the arc. Prince is out until at least mid-January with an ankle sprain: that takes the Hawks’ third-leading scorer out of the mix. Bazemore is also out until mid-January with an ankle sprain while Plumlee is out until late January after a non-surgical procedure on his knee, which could be a factor here.
- Hawks are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 home games
- Hawks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS win
- Bucks are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss
- Bucks are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400
- Bucks are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following an ATS loss
The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.
Full-Game Side Bet
Atlanta picked up a win over Philadelphia in their last game but they won’t get the same break here. The Hawks caught a break without Embiid on the floor for the 76ers Friday night. Unfortunately for Atlanta, Antetokounmpo is probable for this one, which means that the franchise player for Milwaukee is back in the mix. The Bucks are going to be motivated to prove that the loss to Washington was a fluke: look for them to bounce back here.
Prediction: Milwaukee Bucks -10.5
Full-Game Total Pick
This one is going to be a high scoring affair, much like we saw in the first meeting a couple weeks ago. Milwaukee trounced Atlanta 144-112 at home already this season. The Hawks have struggled on the offensive end of the floor this season and trying to stop the opposition from putting points on the board has been a struggle. The Bucks sputtered against Washington without Antetokounmpo: with him back in the mix, can Milwaukee get back in the column here?
The under is 4-0 in the Bucks’ last 4 road games, 6-0 in theirs last 6 games following a straight up loss, 5-1 in their last 6 games following an ATS loss and 13-3 in their last 16 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game. Atlanta has seen the under go 7-1 in their last 8 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game, 4-1 in their last five at home and 4-1 in their last five after scoring at least 100 points. This one comes close to the number but Atlanta’s improved defense keeps this one under the number.
Half-Time Side Pick
Milwaukee will be glad to have Antetokounmpo back in the mix for this one after he missed Friday’s game with a sore quad. The Bucks have a ton of good options to work with on the offensive end, even with dropping to second in scoring offense behind the Warriors. Atlanta has improved on the defensive end of the floor recently, which has helped them, but they can’t hang with Milwaukee here. Look for the Bucks to have the upper hand at the half in this contest.
Prediction: Milwaukee Bucks -6.5
Half-Time Total Bet
Atlanta’s been sharper defensively after holding Toronto to 104 points earlier this week. The Hawks are battling to try and climb back into the playoff picture in the Eastern Conference. Facing the Bucks is going to be an entertaining contest as Budenholzer makes his return to face his former team in this one. Milwaukee has their high octane offensive attack coming into this one. Their ability to light things up from the outside and put points on the board helps push this one over the total at the half.
Prediction: Over 113.5