Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#4829 Miami Heat vs.
#4830 Philadelphia 76ers
Thursday, January 14, 2021 at 7:30pm EST
Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia
Written by Philly Flash

We have an Eastern Conference NBA matchup to consider for Thursday when the Miami Heat meets the Philadelphia 76ers for the second time this season and the second time in three days. Miami is 4-5 this season and fell to Philadelphia by a score of 137-134 in Philadelphia while the 76ers will be looking to sweep their two-game first-half series on Thursday.

Heat Fall in Overtime

Miami is struggling a bit and has lost three of their last five games but the three losses were by a combined total of 15 points. They are close but no cigar right now. Jimmy Butler has missed three of Miami’s first nine games and hasn’t seemed to find his legs yet this season. Tyler Hero leads Miami in scoring, averaging 17.7 points, Bam Adebayo leads Miami in rebounds with nine caroms and Goran Dragic leads the Heat with five assists per contest.

The Heat hung in there until the end of overtime but fell to the 76ers thanks to a Dakota Matthias triple with 22 seconds left in their last contest. Hero led the way with 34 points with seven rebounds and four dimes, Duncan Robinson chipped in with 26 points while Gabe Vincent scored 24 points to lead Miami. Jimmy Butler, Bam Adebayo, and Avery Bradley all missed this one due to covid-19 protocols and their status is unclear for Thursday.

Miami plays at the tenth fastest pace while scoring an average of 113.3 points alongside allowing 112.7 points per game. The Heat has the seventh-best true shooting percentage and twenty-ninth in offensive rebounding percentage this season.

Matthias is a Hero

Philadelphia hired Doc Rivers to get the 76ers over the hump and so far the results have been good. Philadelphia is 8-4 on the season and has won two of their last five games. Joel Embid leads the team in scoring (26.6) and caroms (12.1) while Ben Simmons leads the team in assists (7.5). The 76ers have also received good play from Seth Curry, Shake Milton, and Tyrese Maxey.

Dakota Matthias scored just three points on Tuesday but those three points ended up being the difference in the contest and a three-point overtime home win over Miami. Joel Embiid led the way with 45 points along with 16 rebounds and Danny Green added 26 points with six dimes. Ben Simmons scored just five points in his return from injury. Curry missed the game with protocol issues and his status remains unclear at this time.

The 76ers play at the fifth-fastest pace in the NBA this season and score an average of 113.4 points while allowing 110.9 points per game. Philadelphia ranks fourteenth in true shooting percentage and thirteenth in offensive rebounding percentage this season.

Best Bets for this Game

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Full-Game Side Bet

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This game isn’t on the board yet but Tuesday night’s game was a whopper and I expect the same on Thursday. We don’t have a clue who is or isn’t playing but we know the Heat and its bench players are a scrappy bunch and nearly beat the 76ers with their second team and covered a nine-point spread as underdogs. I think Miami will cover again and maybe even beat the 76ers on Thursday.

Prediction: Heat +10.5

Full-Game Total Pick

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Should we expect as high of a scoring game this time? There were 59 assists in their last meeting along with both teams shooting over 46 percent from three so maybe they won’t shoot as well on Thursday night. Miami is a horrible offensive rebounding team but Embiid will have a tougher time with Adebayo than he did with Olynyk. I will take the UNDER in this one.

Prediction: Under
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Written By Phil Naessens , "Philly Flash"

Phil Naessens is a professional high-performance tennis coach, writer, and radio host currently based in Cleveland Ohio. Phil is also known as “Fantasy Phil” and has a high level of experience as a former professional Daily Fantasy Sports player with 18 GPP wins. He is now solely focused on sports handicapping and sports betting and has joined OUR TEAM to help everyone win on a consistent basis.