Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#1529 Philadelphia 76ers vs.
#1530 Miami Heat
Saturday, January 15, 2022 at 8:10pm EST
American Airlines Arena, Miami
Written by Chris King

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A pair of teams solidly in the Eastern Conference playoff picture do battle on the parquet floor down in South Beach. The Philadelphia 76ers are on the road as they travel to face the Miami Heat Saturday night. Philadelphia was at home against Boston in an Atlantic Division matchup Friday night. The 76ers fell 109-98 at home against the Hornets in their previous contest Wednesday night. Miami was in action against Atlanta in a Southeast Division clash at home Friday night to close a home-and-home set. The Heat smashed the Hawks 115-91 on the road Wednesday night in their previous game Wednesday. In the all-time regular season series between the teams, the Heat holds a 66-62 advantage, including a 101-96 road win in the only meeting this season on December 15, 2021.

Philadelphia 76ers Looking to Maintain Road Success

Philadelphia was in action at home against Boston Friday night hoping to bounce back from a stinging loss to Charlotte. The 76ers entered Friday second in the Atlantic Division, 2.5 games behind the Nets for the top spot. In the Eastern Conference playoff picture, they were fifth, one game ahead of Charlotte for a guaranteed playoff spot and three games clear of 11th-place New York to remain at least in the play-in tournament field. Philadelphia is 15-8 on the road with a +1.2-ppg scoring differential (106.9 ppg for, 105.7 ppg against) this season. The 76ers are 1-3 in the second game of back-to-back situations with a -7.2-ppg scoring differential (104.8 ppg for, 112 ppg against) this season. Philadelphia is 14-11 against Eastern Conference teams with a +2-ppg scoring margin (107 ppg for, 105 ppg against) on the season.

On the year, the 76ers are 22nd in the league in scoring offense with 107.2 points per game. The 76ers are 30th in rebounding as they collect 42.1 rebounds per contest while they are 21st in assists by dishing out an average of 22.8 dimes a night. Philadelphia is 8th in the league in scoring defense as they allow an average of 105.7 points a contest. Joel Embiid leads the 76ers as he puts up 27.1 points, 10.5 rebounds and 4.3 assists per contest this season. Seth Curry contributes 16.2 points a night, Tobias Harris chips in 18.4 points plus 7.5 rebounds per game while Tyrese Maxey adds 16.6 points plus 4.4 assists per contest. Furkan Korkmaz kicks in 9.1 points a night. Georges Niang (9.9 points), Shake Milton (10.5 points), Danny Green, Andre Drummond, Matisse Thybulle, Isaiah Joe and Paul Reed are key pieces of the rotation for coach Doc Rivers. Philadelphia is 12th in the league in field goal percentage as they shoot 46.1% from the floor as a team this season. The 76ers are 27th in threes per game as they drain 11.2 triples a contest while they are 12th in three-point shooting by connecting on 35.4% of their attempts from beyond the arc.

Ben Simmons (back/mental mindset) remains out for the 76ers. Milton (back) and Green (hip) were out Friday: watch for updates on their status here.

Miami Heat Seeking to Keep Rolling in Southeast Division

Miami was in action at home against Atlanta in the second game of a home-and-home set Friday night looking to build on their advantage in the Southeast Division. The Heat entered Friday winners of three straight games and held a 3.5-game lead on the Hornets in the division. In the Eastern Conference playoff picture, the team is second, tied with the Nets and two games behind the Bulls for the top spot. Miami is 2-4 in the second game of back-to-back situations with a -0.5-ppg scoring margin (110.2 ppg for, 110.7 ppg against) this season. The Heat are 12-4 at home with a +7.8-ppg scoring margin (109.3 ppg for, 101.5 ppg against) on the year. Miami stands 17-7 against Eastern Conference teams with a +6.1-ppg scoring differential (106.3 ppg for, 100.2 ppg against) on the year.

The Heat enters this one 15th in the league in scoring offense with 108.6 points per game this season. Miami is 16th in the league in rebounding with 45.6 boards a contest while the team stands 6th in assists by dishing out 25.6 dimes a night. The Heat stands 4th in the league in scoring defense as they allow 103.9 points per game. Jimmy Butler leads the team with 23.2 points, 5.9 rebounds and 5.4 assists per contest. Tyler Herro kicks in 20.7 points a night while Bam Adebayo chips in 18.7 points plus 10.2 rebounds per contest. Duncan Robinson (12.1 points), Kyle Lowry (13.6 points, 8.3 assists), Markieff Morris, Dewayne Dedmon, P.J. Tucker, Max Strus (11.5 points) and Gabe Vincent are solid role players for the Heat. Miami is 13th in the league in field goal percentage as they shoot 45.9% from the floor this season. The Heat stand 6th in threes per game by draining 13.7 triples per contest and the team is 2nd in three-point shooting by hitting 37.6% from beyond the arc.

Victor Oladipo (knee) remains out for the Heat with no timetable for return. Morris (neck) is out indefinitely and has been out since November 8. Adebayo (thumb) underwent surgery and is expected to be out until at mid-to-late January. Okpala (wrist) and Marcus Garrett (protocols) were out Friday while Butler (ankle) was questionable. Watch out for updates on their respective statuses.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

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Both teams are playing the second game of a back-to-back and their third game in four nights here. The edge, such that it is, would be that the Heat played at home Friday night and therefore don’t have any travel to deal with for this contest. Meanwhile, Philadelphia was at home to face Boston and then had to fly out after that contest to take the floor for this one. That kind of grind can wear on a team. The 76ers have been better on the road than they have been at home this season, which is a marked change from what we’ve seen in recent years. However, they’re facing a Miami team that has played solid basketball despite missing a ton of pieces from their rotation, including several starters. Now that the Heat are getting healthier, you have to like their chances here. Take Miami at home as they take care of business.

Prediction: Miami Heat -2.5

Full-Game Total Pick

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Philadelphia has seen the under post a 23-15-2 mark in their 40 contests this season entering this game. The 76ers play at the fourth-slowest pace in the league as they average 96.1 possessions a night on the season. Philadelphia has stayed under the total in each of their last three games entering Friday. Miami comes into this game having seen the over hit in 25 of their 41 games on the season entering this one. The Heat are just 28th in the league in tempo this season as they average 95.8 possessions per game. These teams combined for only 197 points in the first meeting this season and with fatigue plus solid defense leading the charge, this one likely ends up short of the total as well.

Prediction: Under 212
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Written By Chris King , "Chris King"

Chris King has been immersed in the world of professional and collegiate sports for more than three decades. Whether it's playing pickup games or being involved in organized sports to being a fan, he's checked all the boxes. From the NFL to arena football, the NHL to the KHL, the NBA to the WNBA to college hoops, and even MLB to the KBO.  If it's out there, he's covered it and bet on it as well, as Chris has been an expert bettor in his career.  Before joining Winners and Whiners back in 2015, his work appeared around the internet and in print. He's written books for Ruckus Books about college basketball, the NBA, NFL, MLB, NHL, golf, and the World Cup. If you're looking for the inside track on hitting a winner, do yourself a favor and read what Chris has to say.