Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#565 Memphis Grizzlies 227.5 vs.
#566 Detroit Pistons -1
Friday, January 24, 2020 at 7:05pm EST
Little Caesars Arena, Detroit
Written by Chris Kubala

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#565 Memphis
#566 Detroit
20-24
17-28
22-21-1
17-26-2
22-22
27-17-1
113
109
116
110

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It’s an interconference matchup on the hardwood in the Motor City on the parquet floor. The Memphis Grizzlies are on the road as they take the floor against the Detroit Pistons Friday night. Memphis was drubbed 119-95 on the road by Boston in their last contest Wednesday night. Detroit rolled over Sacramento 127-106 at home Wednesday night in their previous contest. The Pistons lead the all-time regular season series 26-20 and took both meetings last season. That includes a 100-93 home win in the most recent matchup on April 9, 2019.

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Memphis Grizzlies Hope to Stop Slide at Two

Memphis dropped their second straight after a seven-game winning streak as they were shellacked in Beantown by the Celtics. The Grizzlies entered Thursday fourth in the Southwest Division, 7.5 games behind the Mavericks and Rockets for the top spot. In the Western Conference playoff picture, the team stood ninth, half a game behind the Spurs for the final spot. Memphis led by two after the opening quarter before getting outscored 74-36 over the middle two stanzas to trail by 36. The Grizzlies made a small dent in garbage time but the contest had long been decided. Memphis shot 42.4 percent from the field, including 11 of 32 from three-point range, and allowed Boston to hit 50.6 percent from the floor. Jonas Valanciunas led the Grizzlies with 16 points and 13 rebounds in the loss.

The Grizzlies are 9th in the league in scoring offense as they put up 113.2 points per game on the year. Memphis stands 16th in the league in rebounding with 45.5 boards a night while the team is first by dishing out 27.9 assists per contest. The Grizzlies are 27th in the league in scoring defense as they allow 116.1 points per game on the year. Ja Morant is second on Memphis with 17.5 points plus seven assists per game this season. Dillon Brooks puts up 15.5 points a night while Jonas Valanciunas contributes 15 points and 10.1 rebounds per game. Brandon Clarke (12 points) and Jaren Jackson Jr. (17.7 points) are solid secondary options. Jae Crowder (10 points), Grayson Allen, Kyle Anderson and Tyus Jones are important rotation pieces for the Grizzlies. The Grizzlies are 7th in the league in field goal percentage as they shoot 47 percent from the floor as a team this season. Memphis is 17th in the league with 11.7 three-pointers a night while the team is tied for 12th in three-point shooting as they hit 35.7 percent from beyond the arc this season.

Detroit Pistons Looking to Gain Ground in Eastern Conference Playoff Picture

Detroit won for the third time in four games as they took down the Kings in one-sided fashion Wednesday night. The Pistons entered Thursday third in the Central Division, 22 games behind the Bucks. In the Eastern Conference playoff picture, the team stood ninth, 2.5 games behind the Nets for the final spot. Detroit trailed by one after the opening quarter before outscoring Sacramento 67-48 in the second and third quarters en route to the victory. The Pistons shot 53.4 percent from the field, including 12 of 29 from three-point range, and controlled the game at the line. Detroit hit 37 of 44 at the stripe while Sacramento was 12 of 23. Christian Wood paced the Pistons with 23 points off the bench in the win.

The Pistons enter this contest 18th in the league in scoring offense with 109.3 points per game on the season. Detroit stands 30th in rebounding with 42.3 boards per contest and 14th with 24.4 assists per game. The Pistons are in the middle of the pack in scoring defense, ranking 17th by allowing 110.6 points per game. Andre Drummond is second on the team with 17.3 points, 15.7 rebounds, 2.1 steals and 1.8 blocks per game. Derrick Rose contributes a team-high 18.5 points plus 5.9 assists a night while Luke Kennard chips in 15.8 points per game. Blake Griffin has averaged 15.5 points plus 4.7 boards a contest. Markieff Morris adds 11.2 points plus 3.9 rebounds a night while Langston Galloway has chipped in 10.2 points a night. Detroit is tied for 8th in the league in field goal percentage as they hit 46.9 percent from the floor as a team on the year. The Pistons are tied for 15th in threes made per game with 11.8 per contest and stand fourth in three-point shooting as they connect on 37.3 percent of their shooting from beyond the arc.

Reggie Jackson missed 42 games with a stress fracture in his lower back before returning against Sacramento January 22. Griffin underwent knee surgery January 7 and is out indefinitely. The Pistons received a disabled player exception for him on January 22 so his season could be over. Kennard is also out with a knee injury and may not return until after the All-Star break. Drummond missed Wednesday’s game after having a tooth knocked out in the loss Monday to Washington. He is day to day at this point.

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The Grizzlies have dropped two straight as they were dumped by New Orleans and hammered by Boston after their seven-game win streak. Memphis slipped right out of the final playoff picture with those losses as San Antonio jumped back over them. Detroit has won three of four coming in but one has to be concerned about the number of injuries piling up for them. Getting Jackson back was a nice boost though one has to wonder how long he’ll be on a minutes restriction. Playing at home gives the Pistons a slight edge in this one as they try to gain ground on Brooklyn in the playoff picture.

Prediction: Detroit Pistons -1.5

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Memphis comes in with solid offensive production but they are weak defensively. The Grizzlies are 18th in the league in field goal percentage defense (46.3 percent) and 25th in three-point field goal percentage defense (36.9 percent) this season. Detroit shoots the ball well but they have their own defensive deficiencies to work through this season. The Pistons stand just 27th in the league in field goal percentage defense (47.3 percent) and 24th in three-point field goal percentage defense (36.7 percent) this season. Given that both teams are weak defensively, this one squeezes over the total.

Prediction: Over

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Memphis comes into this contest 11th in the league in first half scoring offense as they put up 56.1 points a night this season. The Grizzlies only put up 53.2 points per game on the road in the first half this year. Memphis stands 18th in first half scoring differential with a -0.5 ppg scoring margin though that number climbs to -2 ppg on the road. Detroit stands 10th in first half scoring as they average 56.2 points per game this season. The Pistons are 20th in first half scoring differential with a -0.8 ppg scoring margin on the year though that improves to +0.7 ppg at home. Give Detroit a slim edge here at the half.

Prediction: Detroit Pistons

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Memphis struggles on the defensive end of the floor. The Grizzlies are tied for 19th in the league in first half scoring defense as they allow 56.6 points per contest. That number does improve to 55.2 points a game on the road. The average first half for the Grizzlies see an average of 112.7 ppg this season. Detroit is 24th in the league in first half scoring defense by allowing 57.1 points per game in the opening half. That number drops to 57 points per game at home on the year. The average first half for the Pistons sees 113.3 ppg this season. Look for this one to end up over the number as both teams struggle defensively.

Prediction: Over
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Written By Chris Kubala

Christopher Kubala has been crunching stats and following sports for over 30 years. His in-depth analysis and passion for sports have led him to writing books about sports, regularly being featured on sports talk radio and as the go-to person for any obscure trivia. Now he is writing for our team here at Winners @ Whiners. Chris keeps an eye on transactions and statistics like a hawk, especially when it comes to football, both the NFL and college. He is also very knowledgeable in the NHL, the NBA, college basketball and MLB. If you want consistency, then be sure and check out Chris’ content daily.