Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#507 Oklahoma City Thunder -1 vs.
#508 Minnesota Timberwolves 225.5
Saturday, January 25, 2020 at 8:05pm EST
Target Center, Minneapolis
Written by Chris Kubala

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Teams
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W/L
ATS
O/U
PPG
OPPG
#507 Oklahoma City
#508 Minnesota
27-19
15-30
30-15-1
17-26-2
22-24
25-20
110
111
108
114

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A pair of Northwest Division teams take the floor in the Land of 10,000 Lakes on the hardwood. The Oklahoma City Thunder is on the road as they travel to face the Minnesota Timberwolves Saturday night. Oklahoma City was at home on Friday night as they hosted Atlanta in an interconference contest and rolled to an easy 140-111 victory. Minnesota was at home on Friday night as they hosted Houston in a battle of Western Conference teams, taking a 131-124 defeat. The Thunder owns an 84-36 advantage in the all-time regular season series and have won three straight matchups, including two this season. In the most recent meeting, Oklahoma City took a 117-104 road win on January 13.

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Oklahoma City Thunder Playing Second Game of Back to Back

Oklahoma City was at home as they battled Atlanta in an interconference tilt Friday night. The Thunder entered Friday’s action third in the Northwest Division, 5.5 games behind the Jazz for the top spot. In the Western Conference playoff picture, the Thunder stood seventh, 9.5 games behind the Lakers for the top spot and 5.5 games ahead of ninth-place Memphis. Oklahoma City is 12-10 on the road this season. The Thunder averages 106.2 ppg while allowing an average of 106 ppg in those contests. Oklahoma City is 4-3 in the second game of back to back situations this year and outscore their opponents by an average of 3.8 points per game. The Thunder is 5-4 against Northwest Division teams and holds a +3.4 ppg scoring margin in those contests.

The Thunder enters this one 17th in the league in scoring offense as they average 109.9 points per game. Oklahoma City is 23rd in rebounding with 43.2 boards a night while ranking 26th in assists by dishing out 21.8 dimes per game. The Thunder stands 11th in the league in scoring defense by allowing 108.1 points per contest. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is leading Oklahoma City with 19.8 points plus six rebounds per game on the season. Danilo Gallinari contributes 19 points plus 5.8 rebounds per game while Chris Paul chips in 17 points plus 6.4 assists a night. The Thunder can look to Steven Adams (11.3 points, 9.7 rebounds) and Dennis Schroder (18.6 points, 3.8 rebounds, 3.9 assists) in order to get their offense going. Terrance Ferguson, Mike Muscala, Abdel Nader and Darius Bazley all have to contribute for the Thunder to have success. Oklahoma City is tied for 8th in the league in field goal percentage as they hit 46.9 percent from the floor as a team this season. The Thunder is tied for 24th in threes made per game as they drain 10.4 per contest while ranking 20th by hitting 34.7 percent of their attempts from beyond the arc.

Minnesota Timberwolves Trying to Get Untracked

Minnesota was in action at home against Houston hoping to snap a seven-game skid. The Timberwolves entered Friday in the basement of the Northwest Division, 16 games behind the Jazz for the division lead. In the Western Conference playoff picture, the team is tied for 13th, 5.5 games behind the Spurs for the final playoff spot. Minnesota is just 6-15 at home this season. The Timberwolves average 108 points per game while allowing 112.3 points per game in those situations. Minnesota is 2-4 in the second game of back to back situations this season while getting outscored by an average of 5.3 points per game. The Timberwolves are 2-8 against Northwest Division opponents and have been outscored by an average of 4.5 points per game in those contests.

The Timberwolves enter this one 15th in the league in scoring offense as they average 111.1 points per game this season. Minnesota is eighth in the league in rebounding as they collect 46.1 boards per contest and 20th as they dish out 23 assists per game. The Timberwolves are 25th in the league in scoring defense as they allow 114.6 points per contest. Karl-Anthony Towns is leading the team with 26.5 points, 10.9 rebounds and 4.3 assists per game. Andrew Wiggins contributes 22.4 points a night while Robert Covington (12.7 points), Jake Layman (10.5 points) and Shabazz Napier (9.4 points) are solid scoring options as well. Shabazz Napier, Allen Crabbe, Jarrett Culver and Gorgui Dieng are other guys that need to contribute. Minnesota is tied for 28th in field goal percentage as they shoot 43.3 percent from the floor this season. The Timberwolves are tied for 7th by knocking down 12.8 threes per game while the team is 29th by shooting only 32.5 percent from beyond the arc as a team this season. Layman (toe) remains without a firm timetable, making him likely missing for this contest. He has returned to shooting at practice but hasn’t played since November 18.

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Both teams are logging the second game of a back to back situation here with the Timberwolves having the edge of not having to travel for this one. Minnesota has sputtered whether or not Towns has been on the floor and their chances of a postseason berth seem to be fading. Oklahoma City is in the playoff picture as they continue to hang in despite the big trades before the season started. The Thunder is getting quality production from guys like Gilgeous-Alexander and Schroder to help offset what they lost in dealing Paul George and Russell Westbrook. With Minnesota fading badly, you have to give the edge to the Thunder here.

Prediction: Oklahoma City Thunder

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Both teams are playing the second game of a back to back situation here, which is going to take a toll. It's also the third game in four nights for both squads. Both teams are in the middle of the pack in field goal percentage defense as Oklahoma City is 16th with 45.7 percent shooting while Minnesota is 17th at 46.2 percent this year. The difference between the teams comes on the offensive end of the floor as Oklahoma City is by far the superior team when it comes to shooting the ball. It's hard to see these teams having big offensive numbers in the third game of three games in four nights stretch. Look for this one to end up just short of the number.

Prediction: Under
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Written By Chris Kubala

Christopher Kubala has been crunching stats and following sports for over 30 years. His in-depth analysis and passion for sports have led him to writing books about sports, regularly being featured on sports talk radio and as the go-to person for any obscure trivia. Now he is writing for our team here at Winners @ Whiners. Chris keeps an eye on transactions and statistics like a hawk, especially when it comes to football, both the NFL and college. He is also very knowledgeable in the NHL, the NBA, college basketball and MLB. If you want consistency, then be sure and check out Chris’ content daily.